Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $166.3000 (1.88%) ($163.6100 - $166.7700) on Tue. Nov. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $166.3000(1.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(33%)    LQD(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(25%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XAR(1%)    XLY(2%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $163.56(-1.65%)
Resistance Level   $167.51
5 Day Moving Average   $165.01(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $165.44(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $167.51(-0.72%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2012	161.9	167.51	165.44	165.01	164.57	164.15	166.3(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	-30	40	-64	16.05	66%	0.06	-75.7	0.79%	0	-0.5	43	0
2	Nov_5_2012	161.81	167.81	165.49	164.93	164.97	163.3	163.23(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-152	-70	-150	-159	6.16	62%	0.04	-70.4	0.76%	0	-1.7	29	0
3	Nov_2_2012	161.75	168.32	166.04	165.49	165.72	165	162.6(-2.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-143	-30	-140	-153	14.76	62%	0.03	-63.9	0.77%	0	-2.2	24	0
4	Nov_1_2012	161.7	168.83	166.74	165.94	166.39	166.64	166.07(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	20	29	-87	6.02	71%	0.06	-57.2	0.72%	0	-1.1	32	0
5	Oct_31_2012	161.61	169.13	167.06	165.81	166.07	166.44	166.83(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	20	29	-98	4.68	71%	0.15	-56.5	0.73%	0	-0.9	33	0

6	Oct_26_2012	161.37	169.4	167.2	165.96	165.8	166.14	165.93(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	10	14	-119	6.44	71%	0.07	-52.9	0.72%	0	-1.3	26	0
7	Oct_25_2012	161.26	169.71	167.6	166.17	166.1	165.71	166.02(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-20	-7	-136	7.02	74%	0.06	-52.7	0.72%	0	-1.5	25	0
8	Oct_24_2012	161.17	170.03	168.12	166.73	166.44	165.47	164.86(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-135	-50	-121	-176	10.79	74%	0.05	-49.3	0.74%	0	-2.2	17	0
9	Oct_23_2012	161.09	170.31	168.73	167.66	167.35	166.5	165.43(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-124	-40	-113	-156	11.89	74%	0.05	-48.8	0.74%	0	-2.4	26	0
10	Oct_22_2012	161.01	170.61	169.31	168.46	168.28	167.42	167.58(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-89	-40	-75	-130	6.37	80%	0.06	-48.5	0.72%	0	-1.8	32	0

11	Oct_19_2012	160.91	170.8	169.75	168.61	168.72	168.2	166.97(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-98	-20	-86	-133	13.86	80%	0.1	-47.9	0.72%	0	-2.4	28	0
12	Oct_18_2012	160.75	171.06	170.32	169.23	168.97	169.14	168.79(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	0	-35	-97	6.61	87%	0.11	-44.9	0.7%	0	-1.7	36	0
13	Oct_17_2012	160.58	171.21	170.79	169.74	169.4	169.25	169.54(0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-11	-10	6	-63	5.2	87%	0.11	-37.5	0.7%	0	-1.3	36	0
14	Oct_16_2012	160.4	171.33	171.08	170	169.91	168.8	169.42(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-50	-76	-78	6.21	87%	0.06	-18.8	0.7%	0	-1.6	51	0
15	Oct_15_2012	160.3	171.45	171.36	170.31	170.32	169.55	168.35(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-135	-30	-149	-93	10.71	87%	0.1	3.1	0.7%	0	-2.8	43	0

16	Oct_12_2012	160.14	171.58	171.78	171.05	171.05	171.02	170.06(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-0	-28	-19	8.27	94%	0.12	42.3	0.7%	0	-1.7	47	0
17	Oct_11_2012	159.95	171.58	171.99	171.56	171.38	171.09	171.32(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10	-21	-2	5.72	100%	0.13	81.3	0.69%	0	-0.4	47	0
18	Oct_10_2012	159.75	171.67	172.09	172.02	171.7	171.08	170.84(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-61	-30	-78	-8	7.37	90%	0.12	97	0.69%	0	-0.7	48	0
19	Oct_9_2012	159.56	171.55	172.09	172.34	172.38	171.67	170.99(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-45	-30	-60	-0	7.76	90%	0.11	100	0.71%	0	-0.4	47	0
20	Oct_8_2012	159.39	171.42	172.03	172.56	172.62	172.33	172.05(-0.33%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-42	-10	-57	4	3.75	90%	0.11	98.9	0.7%	0	0.4	52	0

21	Oct_5_2012	159.22	171.2	171.94	172.61	172.68	173.08	172.62(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	20	16	36	8.87	76%	0.13	104	0.72%	0	0.8	61	0
22	Oct_4_2012	159.01	171	171.87	172.46	172.66	172.9	173.61(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	10	61	51	10.38	76%	0.15	100.8	0.74%	0	1.2	57	0
23	Oct_3_2012	158.77	170.58	171.63	172.21	172.28	172.29	172.41(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	0	6	23	5.65	78%	0.15	95	0.74%	0	0.8	55	0
24	Oct_2_2012	158.54	170.19	171.56	171.69	172.12	172.42	172.1(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	20	41	40	7.06	78%	0.14	86.4	0.76%	0	0.7	67	0
25	Oct_1_2012	158.32	169.83	171.51	171.42	171.42	172.28	172.3(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	40	48	52	10.68	78%		89.7	0.76%	0	0.9	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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