Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 26, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $169.8100 (-0.56%) ($168.3400 - $170.0500) on Wed. Sep. 26, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $169.8100(-0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(32%)    TIP(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(24%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $171.01(-0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $171.18(-0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.33(0.88%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.92%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.77%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.17%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.43%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.71%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2012	157.78	168.33	171.18	171.01	171	170.35	169.81(-0.56%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-39	-30	-67	47	12.07	75%	0.1	65	0.82%	0	0.4	69	0
2	Sep_25_2012	157.63	167.95	171.04	171.4	171.43	171.1	170.77(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-10	-40	84	10.37	75%	0.07	67.7	0.82%	0	0.7	74	0
3	Sep_24_2012	157.52	167.5	170.79	171.59	171.53	171.66	171.05(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	0	-8	116	9.18	75%	0.08	71.6	0.83%	0	0.9	74	0
4	Sep_21_2012	157.4	167.05	170.45	171.46	171.63	171.76	171.96(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	62	10	34	146	13.36	66%	0.09	76.5	0.82%	0	1.2	79	0
5	Sep_20_2012	157.26	166.54	170.09	171.43	171.29	171.41	171.47(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	0	-10	150	8.71	66%	0.07	84.1	0.89%	0	1.2	84	0

6	Sep_19_2012	157.15	165.99	169.47	171.39	171.46	171.5	171.74(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	85	0	49	193	9.13	66%	0.06	90.2	0.89%	0	1.4	85	0
7	Sep_18_2012	157.05	165.35	168.75	170.63	170.87	171.17	171.72(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	60	20	21	177	12.49	66%	0.06	89.9	0.9%	0	1.6	79	0
8	Sep_17_2012	156.95	164.63	168.02	169.87	170.11	171.43	170.4(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	111	60	81	201	11.28	66%	0.06	85.7	0.89%	0	1.4	78	0
9	Sep_14_2012	156.85	163.95	167.41	169.24	169.37	170.58	171.8(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	165	50	145	225	16.85	66%	0.07	80.5	0.89%	0	1.9	80	0
10	Sep_13_2012	156.74	163.18	166.3	168.57	168.33	168.78	171.31(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	91	10	62	176	28.34	66%	0.07	79.1	0.89%	0	2	79	0

11	Sep_12_2012	156.63	162.38	165.22	167.29	168.03	168.17	167.92(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	78	20	54	151	9.95	62%	0.06	73.2	0.86%	0	1.4	77	0
12	Sep_11_2012	156.54	161.75	164.59	166.57	167.26	167.87	167.9(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	40	43	143	7.52	62%	0.06	66.7	0.86%	0	1.6	80	0
13	Sep_10_2012	156.45	161.14	163.92	165.88	166.27	167.89	167.29(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	126	80	110	172	7.77	62%	0.05	63.7	0.86%	0	1.6	82	0
14	Sep_7_2012	156.37	160.62	163.36	165.27	165.43	166.65	168.44(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	198	50	192	216	19.14	57%	0.06	65.6	0.85%	0	2.2	88	0
15	Sep_6_2012	156.28	160.02	162.66	163.68	163.96	164.66	164.89(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	97	40	77	155	12.97	53%	0.04	65.5	0.85%	0	1.5	85	0

16	Sep_5_2012	156.22	159.59	162.22	162.82	162.87	164.21	164.31(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	110	60	92	164	8.4	53%	0.03	63	0.84%	0	1.6	86	0
17	Sep_4_2012	156.18	159.18	161.68	162.29	162.08	163.27	164.48(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	148	50	135	186	12.04	53%	0	61.1	0.84%	0	1.8	87	0
18	Aug_31_2012	156.18	158.75	160.96	161.67	161.44	161.53	164.22(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	65	-0	44	127	18.03	61%	0.01	58.1	0.96%	0	2.1	80	0
19	Aug_30_2012	156.17	158.3	160.21	161.22	161.29	160.89	160.52(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-20	-38	90	5.81	56%	-0.01	54.5	0.92%	0	0.9	65	0
20	Aug_29_2012	156.18	157.99	159.85	161.49	161.57	161.35	160.59(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10	-24	103	9.29	53%	0	52.9	0.92%	0	1	66	0

21	Aug_28_2012	156.18	157.71	159.38	161.48	161.75	161.69	161.64(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	0	18	118	5.08	53%	0.01	54.6	0.93%	0	1.6	73	0
22	Aug_27_2012	156.16	157.44	158.74	160.92	161.26	161.79	161.36(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	30	32	107	5.38	53%	0.04	58.2	0.94%	0	1.8	73	0
23	Aug_24_2012	156.1	157.22	158.2	160.1	160.56	161.81	161.97(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	114	60	111	121	8.5	53%	0.02	62.8	0.94%	0	2.3	77	0
24	Aug_23_2012	156.07	156.96	157.68	159.05	159.31	160.73	161.89(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	126	70	130	112	17.24	53%	0.03	67.3	0.94%	0	2.9	79	0
25	Aug_22_2012	156.02	156.68	157.14	157.98	158.07	159.3	160.54(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	110	60	115	94	13.61	50%		77.6	0.94%	0	2.9	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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