Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $171.4700 (-0.16%) ($170.2300 - $171.6900) on Thu. Sep. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $171.4700(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(32%)    TIP(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(24%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $171.43(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $170.09(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $166.54(2.96%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.45% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.24%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.51%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.05%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.31%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.15%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.19%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2012	157.26	166.54	170.09	171.43	171.29	171.41	171.47(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	0	-10	150	8.71	66%	0.07	84.1	0.89%	0	1.2	84	NAN
2	Sep_19_2012	157.15	165.99	169.47	171.39	171.46	171.5	171.74(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	85	0	49	193	9.13	66%	0.06	90.2	0.89%	0	1.4	85	NAN
3	Sep_18_2012	157.05	165.35	168.75	170.63	170.87	171.17	171.72(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	60	20	21	177	12.49	66%	0.06	89.9	0.9%	0	1.6	79	NAN
4	Sep_17_2012	156.95	164.63	168.02	169.87	170.11	171.43	170.4(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	111	60	81	201	11.28	66%	0.06	85.7	0.89%	0	1.4	78	NAN
5	Sep_14_2012	156.85	163.95	167.41	169.24	169.37	170.58	171.8(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	165	50	145	225	16.85	66%	0.07	80.5	0.89%	0	1.9	80	NAN

6	Sep_13_2012	156.74	163.18	166.3	168.57	168.33	168.78	171.31(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	91	10	62	176	28.34	66%	0.07	79.1	0.89%	0	2	79	NAN
7	Sep_12_2012	156.63	162.38	165.22	167.29	168.03	168.17	167.92(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	78	20	54	151	9.95	62%	0.06	73.2	0.86%	0	1.4	77	NAN
8	Sep_11_2012	156.54	161.75	164.59	166.57	167.26	167.87	167.9(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	40	43	143	7.52	62%	0.06	66.7	0.86%	0	1.6	80	NAN
9	Sep_10_2012	156.45	161.14	163.92	165.88	166.27	167.89	167.29(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	126	80	110	172	7.77	62%	0.05	63.7	0.86%	0	1.6	82	NAN
10	Sep_7_2012	156.37	160.62	163.36	165.27	165.43	166.65	168.44(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	198	50	192	216	19.14	57%	0.06	65.6	0.85%	0	2.2	88	NAN

11	Sep_6_2012	156.28	160.02	162.66	163.68	163.96	164.66	164.89(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	97	40	77	155	12.97	53%	0.04	65.5	0.85%	0	1.5	85	NAN
12	Sep_5_2012	156.22	159.59	162.22	162.82	162.87	164.21	164.31(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	110	60	92	164	8.4	53%	0.03	63	0.84%	0	1.6	86	NAN
13	Sep_4_2012	156.18	159.18	161.68	162.29	162.08	163.27	164.48(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	148	50	135	186	12.04	53%	0	61.1	0.84%	0	1.8	87	NAN
14	Aug_31_2012	156.18	158.75	160.96	161.67	161.44	161.53	164.22(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	65	-0	44	127	18.03	61%	0.01	58.1	0.96%	0	2.1	80	NAN
15	Aug_30_2012	156.17	158.3	160.21	161.22	161.29	160.89	160.52(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-20	-38	90	5.81	56%	-0.01	54.5	0.92%	0	0.9	65	NAN

16	Aug_29_2012	156.18	157.99	159.85	161.49	161.57	161.35	160.59(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10	-24	103	9.29	53%	0	52.9	0.92%	0	1	66	NAN
17	Aug_28_2012	156.18	157.71	159.38	161.48	161.75	161.69	161.64(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	0	18	118	5.08	53%	0.01	54.6	0.93%	0	1.6	73	NAN
18	Aug_27_2012	156.16	157.44	158.74	160.92	161.26	161.79	161.36(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	30	32	107	5.38	53%	0.04	58.2	0.94%	0	1.8	73	NAN
19	Aug_24_2012	156.1	157.22	158.2	160.1	160.56	161.81	161.97(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	114	60	111	121	8.5	53%	0.02	62.8	0.94%	0	2.3	77	NAN
20	Aug_23_2012	156.07	156.96	157.68	159.05	159.31	160.73	161.89(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	126	70	130	112	17.24	53%	0.03	67.3	0.94%	0	2.9	79	NAN

21	Aug_22_2012	156.02	156.68	157.14	157.98	158.07	159.3	160.54(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	110	60	115	94	13.61	50%	0.01	77.6	0.94%	0	2.9	80	NAN
22	Aug_21_2012	156.01	156.42	156.7	157	157.2	157.9	158.83(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	86	30	92	68	11.84	47%	-0.03	74.7	0.95%	0	2.1	68	NAN
23	Aug_20_2012	156.05	156.16	156.43	156.26	156.36	156.84	157.26(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	20	35	28	7.85	45%	-0.03	57.1	0.95%	0	0.9	53	NAN
24	Aug_17_2012	156.1	155.95	156.32	156.01	155.92	156.51	156.72(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	20	33	18	7.81	50%	-0.03	45.7	0.96%	0	0.6	45	NAN
25	Aug_16_2012	156.15	155.81	156.21	156.1	155.88	155.88	156.56(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-0	20	7	8.84	50%		42.5	0.99%	0	0.6	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.