Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 10, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $157.1800 (0.12%) ($156.6500 - $157.8200) on Fri. Aug. 10, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $157.1800(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(32%)    TIP(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(24%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    SPY(3%)    XLK(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $156.65(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $156.21(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $155.39(1.15%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.99% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.34%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.38%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2012	156.43	155.39	156.21	156.65	156.66	156.9	157.18(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	10	26	35	4.61	47%	-0.01	56.6	1.02%	0	1.2	70	NAN
2	Aug_9_2012	156.45	155.23	156.22	156.32	156.42	156.59	156.99(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	10	27	43	3.18	47%	-0.03	51	1.02%	0	1.1	65	NAN
3	Aug_8_2012	156.49	155.01	156.19	155.75	156.04	156.42	156.48(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	20	28	43	3.62	44%	-0.02	33.3	1.02%	0	0.9	65	NAN
4	Aug_7_2012	156.52	154.84	156.11	155.48	155.5	156.25	156.28(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	30	37	50	5.93	44%	-0.04	15.2	1.05%	0	0.9	65	NAN
5	Aug_6_2012	156.58	154.64	155.86	155.52	155.2	155.65	156.3(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	10	33	50	4.61	44%	-0.03	7.8	1.05%	0	1	63	NAN

6	Aug_3_2012	156.63	154.52	155.55	155.75	155.42	155.65	155.55(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-40	-16	32	10.67	44%	-0.04	9	1.05%	0	0.7	56	NAN
7	Aug_2_2012	156.69	154.42	155.38	156.15	155.8	154.76	154.13(-0.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-66	-50	-91	10	11.54	44%	-0.03	23.8	1.05%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
8	Aug_1_2012	156.74	154.49	155.34	156.67	156.57	156.07	155.14(-0.86%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-27	-20	-50	41	12.72	44%	-0.04	40.8	1.05%	0	0.4	63	NAN
9	Jul_31_2012	156.81	154.59	155.16	156.78	156.96	156.85	156.49(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-0	7	68	10.92	44%	-0.06	53.2	1.05%	0	1.1	68	NAN
10	Jul_30_2012	156.9	154.51	154.85	156.19	156.6	156.85	157.43(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	30	35	72	7.21	44%	-0.06	49.1	1.05%	0	1.7	76	NAN

11	Jul_27_2012	156.99	154.37	154.5	155.31	155.75	157.07	157.54(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	85	70	87	77	9.77	44%	-0.05	45.5	1.05%	0	2.1	62	NAN
12	Jul_26_2012	157.07	154.05	154.13	154.53	154.59	156.14	156.77(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	103	70	113	73	7.34	44%	-0.04	28.3	1.05%	0	1.8	61	NAN
13	Jul_25_2012	157.14	153.84	153.69	153.85	153.75	154.44	155.67(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	75	30	87	39	9.36	44%	-0.04	7.7	1.05%	0	1.3	47	NAN
14	Jul_24_2012	157.21	153.68	153.41	153.33	153.25	153.04	153.52(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10	1	-22	6.54	41%	-0.08	-17	1.04%	0	-0.1	32	NAN
15	Jul_23_2012	157.34	153.7	153.28	153.32	153.16	153.07	153.03(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10	-28	-44	5.26	41%	-0.08	-31.8	1.04%	0	-0.5	43	NAN

16	Jul_20_2012	157.47	153.69	153.28	153.56	153.37	153.47	153.67(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	0	2	-32	8.58	41%	-0.09	-43.8	1.04%	0	-0	44	NAN
17	Jul_19_2012	157.61	153.61	153.38	153.65	153.62	153.26	153.38(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-20	-1	-23	6.07	41%	-0.07	-58.7	1.03%	0	-0.2	59	NAN
18	Jul_18_2012	157.72	153.73	153.58	153.49	153.72	153.27	153.05(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-20	-27	-27	6.81	41%	-0.13	-62.2	1.03%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
19	Jul_17_2012	157.93	153.92	153.99	153.48	153.47	153.98	153.47(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-0	20	0	-1	13.03	41%	-0.11	-55.6	1.04%	0	-0.3	53	NAN
20	Jul_16_2012	158.11	154.13	154.15	153.22	153.26	154.17	154.21(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	40	65	24	5.71	41%	-0.12	-47.5	1.03%	0	0	51	NAN

21	Jul_13_2012	158.3	154.29	154.24	153.18	153.06	152.97	154.14(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10	32	19	5.08	41%	-0.12	-37.9	1.03%	0	-0.1	54	NAN
22	Jul_12_2012	158.49	154.45	153.96	153.1	153.04	152.35	152.59(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-30	-61	-23	11.4	41%	-0.13	-30.7	1.03%	0	-0.9	53	NAN
23	Jul_11_2012	158.7	154.68	154.02	153.71	153.52	153.16	152.99(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-20	-59	-20	6.84	41%	-0.11	-23.2	1.04%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
24	Jul_10_2012	158.88	154.85	154.01	154.61	154.2	153.74	152.15(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-30	-41	-9	9.75	41%	-0.04	-13.5	1.04%	0	-1.2	39	NAN
25	Jul_9_2012	158.95	155.03	154.19	155.2	155.12	153.88	154.04(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-60	-48	-13	4.47	43%		-10.4	1.04%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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