Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $153.3800 (0.22%) ($152.9300 - $154.3200) on Thu. Jul. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $153.3800(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(32%)    TIP(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(24%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    SPY(3%)    XLK(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $153.61
5 Day Moving Average   $153.65(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.38(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $153.61(-0.15%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2012	157.61	153.61	153.38	153.65	153.62	153.26	153.38(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-20	-1	-23	6.07	41%	-0.07	-58.7	1.03%	0	-0.2	59	0
2	Jul_18_2012	157.72	153.73	153.58	153.49	153.72	153.27	153.05(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-20	-27	-27	6.81	41%	-0.13	-62.2	1.03%	0	-0.5	52	0
3	Jul_17_2012	157.93	153.92	153.99	153.48	153.47	153.98	153.47(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-0	20	0	-1	13.03	41%	-0.11	-55.6	1.04%	0	-0.3	53	0
4	Jul_16_2012	158.11	154.13	154.15	153.22	153.26	154.17	154.21(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	40	65	24	5.71	41%	-0.12	-47.5	1.03%	0	0	51	0
5	Jul_13_2012	158.3	154.29	154.24	153.18	153.06	152.97	154.14(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10	32	19	5.08	41%	-0.12	-37.9	1.03%	0	-0.1	54	0

6	Jul_12_2012	158.49	154.45	153.96	153.1	153.04	152.35	152.59(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-30	-61	-23	11.4	41%	-0.13	-30.7	1.03%	0	-0.9	53	0
7	Jul_11_2012	158.7	154.68	154.02	153.71	153.52	153.16	152.99(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-20	-59	-20	6.84	41%	-0.11	-23.2	1.04%	0	-0.8	43	0
8	Jul_10_2012	158.88	154.85	154.01	154.61	154.2	153.74	152.15(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-30	-41	-9	9.75	41%	-0.04	-13.5	1.04%	0	-1.2	39	0
9	Jul_9_2012	158.95	155.03	154.19	155.2	155.12	153.88	154.04(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-60	-48	-13	4.47	43%	-0.09	-10.4	1.04%	0	-0.5	40	0
10	Jul_6_2012	159.09	155.07	154.07	155.43	155.37	154.67	153.71(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-73	-30	-84	-40	7.05	43%	-0.09	-13.4	1.04%	0	-0.7	40	0

11	Jul_5_2012	159.23	155.12	153.92	154.89	155.71	156.36	155.68(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	34	50	51	-17	5.36	45%	-0.13	-15	1.04%	0	0.3	43	0
12	Jul_3_2012	159.44	155.18	153.91	154.32	154.66	156.07	157.46(1.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	64	70	91	-17	5.04	41%	-0.06	-11.1	1.05%	0	1.1	49	0
13	Jul_2_2012	159.54	155.14	153.8	153.36	153.59	155.06	155.09(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	71	70	105	-30	3.66	37%	-0.08	-11.1	1.05%	0	-0	45	0
14	Jun_29_2012	159.67	155.24	154.03	153.09	153.05	153.26	155.19(2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	46	10	75	-41	10.38	37%	-0.08	-4.3	1.05%	0	-0	50	0
15	Jun_28_2012	159.8	155.35	154.24	152.58	152.55	152.12	151.05(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-20	-46	-95	8.76	29%	-0.11	1.4	0.99%	0	-1.9	39	0

16	Jun_27_2012	159.98	155.42	154.92	152.77	152.55	152.85	152.83(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	0	-15	-68	4.84	30%	-0.11	4.2	0.99%	0	-1.2	46	0
17	Jun_26_2012	160.15	155.41	155.36	153.4	152.76	152.98	152.62(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-0	-20	-58	6.12	36%	-0.09	11.3	0.99%	0	-1.2	36	0
18	Jun_25_2012	160.3	155.37	155.76	154.31	153.54	152.67	153.76(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-50	-37	-48	6.19	36%	-0.09	15.3	1.01%	0	-0.7	38	0
19	Jun_22_2012	160.44	155.34	155.95	155.14	154.64	152.55	152.64(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-129	-100	-145	-81	6.76	40%	-0.12	21.6	1.02%	0	-1.1	33	0
20	Jun_21_2012	160.63	155.31	156.22	156.18	155.99	154.42	152.01(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-142	-70	-164	-76	14.45	40%	-0.11	30.4	1.02%	0	-1.3	30	0

21	Jun_20_2012	160.8	155.33	156.53	157.33	157.22	156.73	155.97(-0.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-43	-20	-57	1	16.98	44%	-0.09	47.5	0.97%	0	0.3	68	0
22	Jun_19_2012	160.94	155.15	156.66	157.56	157.59	157.55	157.16(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-0	-3	47	6.95	44%	-0.07	53	0.98%	0	0.8	71	0
23	Jun_18_2012	161.05	155.01	156.64	157.42	157.5	157.7	157.93(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	10	22	78	6.73	44%	-0.07	58.9	0.97%	0	1.2	76	0
24	Jun_15_2012	161.16	154.83	156.56	156.91	157.14	157.63	157.84(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	30	49	96	13.1	44%	-0.06	58	0.97%	0	1.2	67	0
25	Jun_14_2012	161.26	154.57	156.5	156.28	156.37	157.3	157.75(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	79	40	68	112	11.51	41%		49.3	0.98%	0	1.4	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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