Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 29, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $155.1900 (2.74%) ($154.5200 - $155.9500) on Fri. Jun. 29, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $155.1900(2.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(31%)    IGOV(27%)    TLT(24%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $155.24
5 Day Moving Average   $153.09(1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $154.03(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $155.24(-0.03%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2012	159.67	155.24	154.03	153.09	153.05	153.26	155.19(2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	46	10	75	-41	10.38	37%	-0.08	-4.3	1.05%	0	-0	50	0
2	Jun_28_2012	159.8	155.35	154.24	152.58	152.55	152.12	151.05(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-20	-46	-95	8.76	29%	-0.11	1.4	0.99%	0	-1.9	39	0
3	Jun_27_2012	159.98	155.42	154.92	152.77	152.55	152.85	152.83(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	0	-15	-68	4.84	30%	-0.11	4.2	0.99%	0	-1.2	46	0
4	Jun_26_2012	160.15	155.41	155.36	153.4	152.76	152.98	152.62(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-0	-20	-58	6.12	36%	-0.09	11.3	0.99%	0	-1.2	36	0
5	Jun_25_2012	160.3	155.37	155.76	154.31	153.54	152.67	153.76(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-50	-37	-48	6.19	36%	-0.09	15.3	1.01%	0	-0.7	38	0

6	Jun_22_2012	160.44	155.34	155.95	155.14	154.64	152.55	152.64(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-129	-100	-145	-81	6.76	40%	-0.12	21.6	1.02%	0	-1.1	33	0
7	Jun_21_2012	160.63	155.31	156.22	156.18	155.99	154.42	152.01(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-142	-70	-164	-76	14.45	40%	-0.11	30.4	1.02%	0	-1.3	30	0
8	Jun_20_2012	160.8	155.33	156.53	157.33	157.22	156.73	155.97(-0.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-43	-20	-57	1	16.98	44%	-0.09	47.5	0.97%	0	0.3	68	0
9	Jun_19_2012	160.94	155.15	156.66	157.56	157.59	157.55	157.16(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-0	-3	47	6.95	44%	-0.07	53	0.98%	0	0.8	71	0
10	Jun_18_2012	161.05	155.01	156.64	157.42	157.5	157.7	157.93(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	10	22	78	6.73	44%	-0.07	58.9	0.97%	0	1.2	76	0

11	Jun_15_2012	161.16	154.83	156.56	156.91	157.14	157.63	157.84(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	30	49	96	13.1	44%	-0.06	58	0.97%	0	1.2	67	0
12	Jun_14_2012	161.26	154.57	156.5	156.28	156.37	157.3	157.75(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	79	40	68	112	11.51	41%	-0.06	49.3	0.98%	0	1.4	70	0
13	Jun_13_2012	161.35	154.16	155.92	155.63	155.5	156.66	157.12(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	78	50	71	100	10.11	38%	-0.03	30.6	1%	0	1.2	68	0
14	Jun_12_2012	161.4	153.8	155.42	155.65	155.16	155.45	156.46(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	0	39	87	13.25	38%	-0.04	19.5	1.02%	0	1.1	64	0
15	Jun_11_2012	161.47	153.54	154.91	155.79	155.62	154.34	155.36(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-24	-60	-47	45	9.17	38%	-0.04	7.4	1.02%	0	0.7	52	0

16	Jun_8_2012	161.54	153.44	154.66	156.18	156.16	154.87	154.73(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-94	-60	-130	15	11.08	38%	-0.04	1.3	1.02%	0	0.5	50	0
17	Jun_7_2012	161.6	153.42	154.35	156.73	156.95	156.91	154.5(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	0	-24	66	18.93	38%	-0.04	0	1.03%	0	0.4	55	0
18	Jun_6_2012	161.67	153.41	154.09	156.16	157.12	157.46	157.21(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	89	30	83	107	15.77	38%	-0.02	-18.1	1.01%	0	1.5	71	0
19	Jun_5_2012	161.71	153.31	153.55	155.1	155.56	156.99	157.14(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	75	70	71	87	8.1	38%	-0.03	-41.3	1.03%	0	1.6	69	0
20	Jun_4_2012	161.76	153.36	153.25	153.87	153.99	156.78	157.32(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	160	130	175	115	11.46	38%	-0.01	-56.9	1.04%	0	1.5	64	0

21	Jun_1_2012	161.78	153.41	152.91	152.95	152.75	154.13	157.5(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	167	60	188	105	27.41	42%	-0.02	-65.6	1.04%	0	1.5	57	0
22	May_31_2012	161.81	153.43	152.38	152.95	151.68	151.19	151.62(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-20	-11	-7	10.12	26%	-0.05	-78.2	0.92%	0	-0.6	41	0
23	May_30_2012	161.89	153.85	152.21	151.73	151.73	151.37	151.91(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-20	-47	-41	16.77	31%	-0.04	-69.4	0.92%	0	-0.6	42	0
24	May_29_2012	161.96	154.3	152.02	151.76	151.8	152.18	151.02(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	20	-12	-49	11.25	25%	0	-60.9	0.94%	0	-0.9	36	0
25	May_25_2012	161.96	154.82	152.07	152.49	152.01	152.09	152.68(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	-10	11	-44	6.21	26%		-47.1	1.13%	0	-0.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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