Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $160.4600 (-0.24%) ($159.5300 - $161.1800) on Mon. Apr. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $160.4600(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(31%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(24%)    PCY(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    SPY(3%)    XLK(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $160.96
5 Day Moving Average   $161.24(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.41(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $160.96(-0.31%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2012	163.07	160.96	160.41	161.24	161.2	160.95	160.46(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10	-25	-26	6.67	40%	-0.02	-7.8	1.19%	0	-0.3	38	0
2	Apr_13_2012	163.1	161	160.56	161.02	161.15	161.63	160.85(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	17	20	25	-8	10.04	40%	-0.01	-25.5	1.2%	0	-0.1	49	0
3	Apr_12_2012	163.12	161.01	160.59	160.51	160.65	161.46	162.7(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	40	67	4	9.23	40%	-0.01	-45.1	1.19%	0	1	58	0
4	Apr_11_2012	163.14	160.85	160.44	159.41	159.75	160.67	161.07(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	42	50	61	-14	10.01	40%	-0.03	-76.2	1.19%	0	0.1	53	0
5	Apr_10_2012	163.19	160.91	160.62	159.18	158.81	159.85	161.1(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	18	40	31	-22	14.29	43%	-0.01	-80.6	1.19%	0	0.1	53	0

6	Apr_9_2012	163.21	161.08	160.91	159.54	159.11	158.83	159.37(0.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	-0.1	12	-20	20	-13	8.25	43%	-0.08	-67.5	1.19%	0	-0.9	45	0
7	Apr_5_2012	163.34	161.42	161.14	160.09	159.87	157.77	158.31(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-86	-100	-98	-51	8.97	43%	-0.09	-50	1.18%	0	-1.4	43	0
8	Apr_4_2012	163.48	161.76	161.32	160.69	160.79	159.38	157.21(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-121	-60	-141	-62	15.98	43%	-0.1	-47.8	1.18%	0	-2.1	41	0
9	Apr_3_2012	163.65	162.1	161.68	161.55	161.68	161.97	159.89(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-14	10	-20	4	16.83	51%	-0.08	-44.4	1.17%	0	-1.2	53	0
10	Apr_2_2012	163.78	162.25	161.74	162.22	161.82	162.2	162.94(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	10	23	26	7.55	54%	-0.07	-58.7	1.18%	0	0.4	51	0

11	Mar_30_2012	163.9	162.37	161.59	162.51	162.17	161.38	162.12(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-40	-13	8	7.53	54%	-0.05	-63.4	1.19%	0	-0.1	41	0
12	Mar_29_2012	163.99	162.56	161.51	162.39	162.65	161.44	161.28(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-50	-62	-28	11.03	54%	-0.07	-72.3	1.2%	0	-0.6	35	0
13	Mar_28_2012	164.11	162.81	161.49	162.05	162.72	162.96	161.51(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	20	-16	-27	11.02	50%	-0.07	-90	1.2%	0	-0.6	40	0
14	Mar_27_2012	164.23	162.95	161.32	161.79	161.95	163.86	163.24(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	62	90	83	-3	10.92	50%	-0.07	-79.5	1.23%	0	0.1	48	0
15	Mar_26_2012	164.35	163.41	161.19	161.17	161.12	162.48	164.4(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	94	60	125	2	13.23	50%	-0.04	-72.4	1.24%	0	0.3	54	0

16	Mar_23_2012	164.42	163.73	161.18	160.61	160.25	160.05	161.53(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-20	11	-56	10.69	47%	-0.07	-64.6	1.23%	0	-0.5	39	0
17	Mar_22_2012	164.53	164.23	161.61	160.56	160.3	159.76	159.57(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-30	-43	-80	11.11	44%	-0.06	-56.4	1.22%	0	-1.1	32	0
18	Mar_21_2012	164.63	164.89	162.17	160.86	160.75	160.46	160.21(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10	-13	-68	6.68	44%	-0.04	-48.5	1.22%	0	-1	33	0
19	Mar_20_2012	164.7	165.51	162.53	160.73	160.72	160.83	160.13(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	0	-9	-71	11.65	44%	-0.05	-44.5	1.22%	0	-1.2	41	0
20	Mar_19_2012	164.78	166.06	162.81	161.17	160.56	161.04	161.59(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	10	-1	-90	9.92	44%	-0.05	-39.5	1.23%	0	-1	29	0

21	Mar_16_2012	164.86	166.37	163.21	161.86	161.03	160.61	161.3(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-30	-16	-102	12.55	48%	-0.05	-36.4	1.23%	0	-1.2	33	0
22	Mar_15_2012	164.95	166.73	163.71	162.88	162.13	160.08	161.08(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-100	-100	-90	-131	12.69	48%	-0.04	-31.6	1.25%	0	-1.4	32	0
23	Mar_14_2012	165.01	167.11	164.26	163.72	163.24	161.46	159.57(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-153	-90	-150	-161	28.83	43%	-0.04	-28.3	1.24%	0	-1.9	28	0
24	Mar_13_2012	165.07	167.53	164.79	164.53	164.56	164.18	162.3(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-20	-33	-119	20.05	42%	0.01	-28.8	1.31%	0	-1.5	30	0
25	Mar_12_2012	165.06	167.82	165.86	164.61	164.55	165.03	165.07(-0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	20	18	-92	6.53	41%		-29.9	1.32%	0	-0.8	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.