Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $160.8500 (-1.14%) ($160.1700 - $162.4600) on Fri. Apr. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $160.8500(-1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(31%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(23%)    PCY(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $161
5 Day Moving Average   $161.02(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.56(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $161(-0.09%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120513

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2012	163.1	161	160.56	161.02	161.15	161.63	160.85(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	17	20	25	-8	10.04	40%	-0.01	-25.5	1.2%	0	-0.1	49	0
2	Apr_12_2012	163.12	161.01	160.59	160.51	160.65	161.46	162.7(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	40	67	4	9.23	40%	-0.01	-45.1	1.19%	0	1	58	0
3	Apr_11_2012	163.14	160.85	160.44	159.41	159.75	160.67	161.07(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	42	50	61	-14	10.01	40%	-0.03	-76.2	1.19%	0	0.1	53	0
4	Apr_10_2012	163.19	160.91	160.62	159.18	158.81	159.85	161.1(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	18	40	31	-22	14.29	43%	-0.01	-80.6	1.19%	0	0.1	53	0
5	Apr_9_2012	163.21	161.08	160.91	159.54	159.11	158.83	159.37(0.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	-0.1	12	-20	20	-13	8.25	43%	-0.08	-67.5	1.19%	0	-0.9	45	0

6	Apr_5_2012	163.34	161.42	161.14	160.09	159.87	157.77	158.31(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-86	-100	-98	-51	8.97	43%	-0.09	-50	1.18%	0	-1.4	43	0
7	Apr_4_2012	163.48	161.76	161.32	160.69	160.79	159.38	157.21(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-121	-60	-141	-62	15.98	43%	-0.1	-47.8	1.18%	0	-2.1	41	0
8	Apr_3_2012	163.65	162.1	161.68	161.55	161.68	161.97	159.89(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-14	10	-20	4	16.83	51%	-0.08	-44.4	1.17%	0	-1.2	53	0
9	Apr_2_2012	163.78	162.25	161.74	162.22	161.82	162.2	162.94(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	10	23	26	7.55	54%	-0.07	-58.7	1.18%	0	0.4	51	0
10	Mar_30_2012	163.9	162.37	161.59	162.51	162.17	161.38	162.12(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-40	-13	8	7.53	54%	-0.05	-63.4	1.19%	0	-0.1	41	0

11	Mar_29_2012	163.99	162.56	161.51	162.39	162.65	161.44	161.28(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-50	-62	-28	11.03	54%	-0.07	-72.3	1.2%	0	-0.6	35	0
12	Mar_28_2012	164.11	162.81	161.49	162.05	162.72	162.96	161.51(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	20	-16	-27	11.02	50%	-0.07	-90	1.2%	0	-0.6	40	0
13	Mar_27_2012	164.23	162.95	161.32	161.79	161.95	163.86	163.24(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	62	90	83	-3	10.92	50%	-0.07	-79.5	1.23%	0	0.1	48	0
14	Mar_26_2012	164.35	163.41	161.19	161.17	161.12	162.48	164.4(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	94	60	125	2	13.23	50%	-0.04	-72.4	1.24%	0	0.3	54	0
15	Mar_23_2012	164.42	163.73	161.18	160.61	160.25	160.05	161.53(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-20	11	-56	10.69	47%	-0.07	-64.6	1.23%	0	-0.5	39	0

16	Mar_22_2012	164.53	164.23	161.61	160.56	160.3	159.76	159.57(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-30	-43	-80	11.11	44%	-0.06	-56.4	1.22%	0	-1.1	32	0
17	Mar_21_2012	164.63	164.89	162.17	160.86	160.75	160.46	160.21(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10	-13	-68	6.68	44%	-0.04	-48.5	1.22%	0	-1	33	0
18	Mar_20_2012	164.7	165.51	162.53	160.73	160.72	160.83	160.13(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	0	-9	-71	11.65	44%	-0.05	-44.5	1.22%	0	-1.2	41	0
19	Mar_19_2012	164.78	166.06	162.81	161.17	160.56	161.04	161.59(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	10	-1	-90	9.92	44%	-0.05	-39.5	1.23%	0	-1	29	0
20	Mar_16_2012	164.86	166.37	163.21	161.86	161.03	160.61	161.3(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-30	-16	-102	12.55	48%	-0.05	-36.4	1.23%	0	-1.2	33	0

21	Mar_15_2012	164.95	166.73	163.71	162.88	162.13	160.08	161.08(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-100	-100	-90	-131	12.69	48%	-0.04	-31.6	1.25%	0	-1.4	32	0
22	Mar_14_2012	165.01	167.11	164.26	163.72	163.24	161.46	159.57(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-153	-90	-150	-161	28.83	43%	-0.04	-28.3	1.24%	0	-1.9	28	0
23	Mar_13_2012	165.07	167.53	164.79	164.53	164.56	164.18	162.3(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-20	-33	-119	20.05	42%	0.01	-28.8	1.31%	0	-1.5	30	0
24	Mar_12_2012	165.06	167.82	165.86	164.61	164.55	165.03	165.07(-0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	20	18	-92	6.53	41%	0.04	-29.9	1.32%	0	-0.8	39	0
25	Mar_9_2012	165	167.95	166.47	164.73	163.86	164.93	166.38(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	30	29	-75	13.7	41%		-30.5	1.36%	0	-0.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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