Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $159.5700 (-0.4%) ($158.1300 - $159.7100) on Thu. Mar. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $159.5700(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(31%)    IGOV(27%)    TLT(24%)    PCY(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $157.64(-1.21%)
Resistance Level   $164.23
5 Day Moving Average   $160.56(-0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $161.61(-1.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.23(-2.84%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.66% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.16%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -1.69%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.46%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.74%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2012	164.53	164.23	161.61	160.56	160.3	159.76	159.57(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-30	-43	-80	11.11	44%	-0.06	-56.4	1.22%	0	-1.1	32	0
2	Mar_21_2012	164.63	164.89	162.17	160.86	160.75	160.46	160.21(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10	-13	-68	6.68	44%	-0.04	-48.5	1.22%	0	-1	33	0
3	Mar_20_2012	164.7	165.51	162.53	160.73	160.72	160.83	160.13(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	0	-9	-71	11.65	44%	-0.05	-44.5	1.22%	0	-1.2	41	0
4	Mar_19_2012	164.78	166.06	162.81	161.17	160.56	161.04	161.59(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	10	-1	-90	9.92	44%	-0.05	-39.5	1.23%	0	-1	29	0
5	Mar_16_2012	164.86	166.37	163.21	161.86	161.03	160.61	161.3(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-30	-16	-102	12.55	48%	-0.05	-36.4	1.23%	0	-1.2	33	0

6	Mar_15_2012	164.95	166.73	163.71	162.88	162.13	160.08	161.08(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-100	-100	-90	-131	12.69	48%	-0.04	-31.6	1.25%	0	-1.4	32	0
7	Mar_14_2012	165.01	167.11	164.26	163.72	163.24	161.46	159.57(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-153	-90	-150	-161	28.83	43%	-0.04	-28.3	1.24%	0	-1.9	28	0
8	Mar_13_2012	165.07	167.53	164.79	164.53	164.56	164.18	162.3(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-20	-33	-119	20.05	42%	0.01	-28.8	1.31%	0	-1.5	30	0
9	Mar_12_2012	165.06	167.82	165.86	164.61	164.55	165.03	165.07(-0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	20	18	-92	6.53	41%	0.04	-29.9	1.32%	0	-0.8	39	0
10	Mar_9_2012	165	167.95	166.47	164.73	163.86	164.93	166.38(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	30	29	-75	13.7	41%	0.05	-30.5	1.36%	0	-0.5	50	0

11	Mar_8_2012	164.91	168.04	167.01	164.72	163.99	164.07	165.28(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	12	-10	37	-64	8.86	38%	0.03	-35.4	1.36%	0	-0.9	47	0
12	Mar_7_2012	164.86	168.21	167.75	164.99	164.33	162.8	163.63(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-67	-80	-60	-88	9.56	38%	0.01	-35.9	1.37%	0	-1.5	44	0
13	Mar_6_2012	164.84	168.54	168.68	165.12	165.16	163.92	162.7(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-118	-50	-124	-99	15.54	38%	0	-36.2	1.38%	0	-2	44	0
14	Mar_5_2012	164.84	168.8	169.57	167.28	166.76	165.86	165.65(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-65	-50	-73	-41	12.08	40%	0.02	-19.4	1.36%	0	-1.2	48	0
15	Mar_2_2012	164.81	168.93	169.81	168.49	168.7	166.4	166.34(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-73	-90	-88	-29	9.3	40%	0.02	-9.3	1.37%	0	-1	51	0

16	Mar_1_2012	164.77	169.17	170.04	169.66	170.16	167.66	166.61(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-135	-90	-165	-43	19.21	40%	0.02	10.1	1.37%	0	-1	49	0
17	Feb_29_2012	164.74	169.33	170.25	170.95	171.64	171	164.29(-5.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-73	-10	-98	2	44.15	41%	0.02	31.3	1.37%	0	-2.1	43	0
18	Feb_28_2012	164.71	169.6	170.63	172.68	172.68	172.66	173.49(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	-0	31	83	12.42	52%	0.06	74	1.19%	0	1.8	61	0
19	Feb_27_2012	164.61	169.32	170.03	172.18	172.29	172.28	171.7(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	0	1	65	7.35	52%	0.08	85.5	1.21%	0	1.2	65	0
20	Feb_24_2012	164.48	169.17	169.58	171.31	171.86	172.71	172.23(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	40	54	71	9.3	52%	0.08	93.8	1.22%	0	1.6	65	0

21	Feb_23_2012	164.35	168.91	169.14	170.47	170.66	172.31	173.02(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	91	70	99	68	11.65	52%	0.09	100.9	1.22%	0	2.3	53	0
22	Feb_22_2012	164.21	168.57	168.64	169.48	169.22	171	172.94(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	100	70	114	56	16.68	52%	0.1	111.6	1.22%	0	2.7	57	0
23	Feb_21_2012	164.05	168.03	168.25	168.32	168.34	169.02	171.02(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	75	30	90	29	13.61	48%	0.1	83.6	1.22%	0	1.6	54	0
24	Feb_17_2012	163.89	167.65	167.85	167.62	167.58	167.44	167.35(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10	-7	-24	7.29	41%	0.06	67.6	1.23%	0	-0.1	49	0
25	Feb_16_2012	163.79	167.41	167.88	167.58	167.5	167.67	168(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	10	-1	-25	10.73	41%		61.8	1.27%	0	0.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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