Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $168.5000 (-0.71%) ($167.5000 - $169.9600) on Wed. Feb. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $168.5000(-0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(31%)    IGOV(27%)    TLT(23%)    PCY(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $168.81(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.73(-0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $165.4(1.87%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.35% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.09%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.11%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -1.8%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.85%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.44%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2012	163.49	165.4	168.73	168.81	168.32	168.69	168.5(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	10	21	85	10.66	41%	-0.04	74	1.29%	0	0.8	69	NAN
2	Feb_7_2012	163.56	164.92	168.55	169.03	168.74	167.84	169.7(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-40	-10	90	11.62	45%	-0.02	76	1.3%	0	1.2	71	NAN
3	Feb_6_2012	163.6	164.28	167.83	168.95	169.01	167.95	167.18(-0.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-41	-40	-77	67	8.81	43%	-0.05	78	1.32%	0	0.7	70	NAN
4	Feb_3_2012	163.69	163.79	167.48	169.12	169.52	169.64	167.64(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	10	-14	107	23.36	43%	-0.04	83.8	1.32%	0	0.9	73	NAN
5	Feb_2_2012	163.76	163.31	166.97	169.38	169.35	170.06	171.05(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	70	30	45	143	11.52	45%	-0.04	92.4	1.31%	0	1.7	79	NAN

6	Feb_1_2012	163.83	162.58	165.99	168.63	168.78	169.4	169.56(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	68	30	45	138	7.73	45%	-0.05	94.3	1.31%	0	1.6	78	NAN
7	Jan_31_2012	163.92	161.89	165.19	168	168.29	168.65	169.31(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	85	20	64	147	11.19	45%	-0.04	93.8	1.31%	0	1.8	80	NAN
8	Jan_30_2012	163.99	161.03	164.3	166.54	166.9	168.17	168.03(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	60	53	132	8.44	45%	-0.09	86	1.32%	0	1.8	81	NAN
9	Jan_27_2012	164.13	160.15	163.43	165.57	165.35	167.94	168.97(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	137	110	131	156	13.03	45%	-0.08	68.5	1.32%	0	2.2	81	NAN
10	Jan_26_2012	164.26	159.25	162.53	164.19	164	165.63	167.27(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	156	70	157	153	19.14	45%	-0.06	51.7	1.32%	0	1.9	76	NAN

11	Jan_25_2012	164.36	158.61	161.73	162.98	162.37	162.76	166.42(2.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	52	10	38	95	28.96	50%	-0.1	44.7	1.33%	0	1.9	77	NAN
12	Jan_24_2012	164.53	158.07	160.93	162.01	161.73	162.37	162.01(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	20	24	83	7.5	46%	-0.02	43.4	1.33%	0	1.1	73	NAN
13	Jan_23_2012	164.56	157.75	160.41	161.71	161.42	161.99	163.16(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	20	52	103	8.84	46%	-0.12	46.4	1.33%	0	1.5	84	NAN
14	Jan_20_2012	164.76	157.42	159.81	160.93	160.95	161.08	162.07(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	10	24	99	11.62	46%	-0.1	49.3	1.34%	0	1.4	85	NAN
15	Jan_19_2012	164.93	157.14	159.37	160.59	160.42	160.85	161.22(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	5	105	8.12	46%	-0.1	47.8	1.35%	0	1.3	80	NAN

16	Jan_18_2012	165.1	156.81	158.92	160.28	160.35	160.83	161.6(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	20	43	123	9.34	46%	-0.11	37.6	1.35%	0	1.6	65	NAN
17	Jan_17_2012	165.28	156.47	158.35	159.69	160.05	159.99	160.5(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	0	23	107	8.31	46%	-0.16	17.5	1.35%	0	1.4	58	NAN
18	Jan_13_2012	165.55	156.06	157.53	158.89	159.53	159.88	159.26(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	30	8	80	8.91	46%	-0.08	-12.4	1.34%	0	1.2	57	NAN
19	Jan_12_2012	165.68	155.74	156.69	158.48	159	160.1	160.38(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	60	56	77	8.61	46%	-0.07	-44.4	1.34%	0	1.7	56	NAN
20	Jan_11_2012	165.8	155.6	155.76	157.96	158.25	159.19	159.67(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	50	70	59	7.97	46%	-0.11	-70.4	1.34%	0	1.6	55	NAN

21	Jan_10_2012	165.98	155.66	155.24	157.37	157.53	157.9	158.64(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	20	42	39	8.37	50%	-0.16	-90.3	1.34%	0	1.2	58	NAN
22	Jan_9_2012	166.25	155.97	154.95	156.82	156.86	157.31	156.5(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	20	23	25	8.77	48%	-0.14	-91.5	1.37%	0	0.2	53	NAN
23	Jan_6_2012	166.49	156.39	154.87	155.92	156.48	157.15	157.2(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	40	69	39	9.79	48%	-0.13	-80	1.37%	0	0.2	62	NAN
24	Jan_5_2012	166.7	156.93	154.82	154.55	155.16	156.41	157.78(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	70	73	30	11.62	48%	-0.11	-78.8	1.38%	0	0.2	62	NAN
25	Jan_4_2012	166.88	157.39	154.68	153.2	153.41	155.8	156.71(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	73	110	93	13	11.55	45%		-72	1.38%	0	-0.1	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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