Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $169.6300 (-0.29%) ($168.5900 - $170.5700) on Thu. Dec. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $169.6300(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(31%)    LQD(30%)    IGOV(27%)    PCY(22%)    TLT(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(0%)    XAR(2%)    XLY(3%)    XLK(5%)    SPY(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $167.33(1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $166.57(1.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $169.42(0.12%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2011	167.4	169.42	166.57	167.33	168.2	169.73	169.63(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	54	80	79	-20	11.61	44%	0.1	-11.4	1.64%	0	0.1	46	0
2	Nov_30_2011	167.24	169.39	166.67	166.37	166.74	168.24	170.13(1.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	52	70	80	-34	11.82	48%	0.1	-16.7	1.62%	0	0.2	45	0
3	Nov_29_2011	167.07	169.26	166.88	165.41	165.4	166.67	166.88(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	27	50	55	-56	9.2	44%	0.1	-22.2	1.65%	0	-0.7	36	0
4	Nov_28_2011	166.91	169.31	167.46	164.73	165.02	165.24	166.63(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	10	40	-73	12.01	44%	0.1	-19.5	1.67%	0	-0.8	33	0
5	Nov_25_2011	166.75	169.47	168.14	164.93	164.54	164.14	163.4(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-20	-42	-99	6.1	45%	0.19	-5.8	1.69%	0	-1.7	38	0

6	Nov_23_2011	166.43	169.82	168.95	165.67	165.47	164.81	164.83(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-30	-30	-86	11.49	39%	0.11	16.6	1.73%	0	-1.6	38	0
7	Nov_22_2011	166.25	169.99	169.69	167.01	166.47	164.93	165.31(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-75	-70	-72	-82	12.1	42%	-0.01	40.2	1.78%	0	-1.5	46	0
8	Nov_21_2011	166.26	170.05	170.54	168.62	168.1	166.13	163.5(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-91	-90	-99	-65	22.04	42%	0.11	54.1	1.81%	0	-1.9	47	0
9	Nov_18_2011	166.08	170.01	171.73	170.56	170.19	168	167.62(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-75	-100	-90	-28	14.17	47%	0.13	61.5	1.79%	0	-0.6	54	0
10	Nov_17_2011	165.86	169.68	172.11	171.83	171.64	170.06	167.1(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-70	-70	-89	-11	28.47	47%	0.12	56.8	1.81%	0	-0.6	47	0

11	Nov_16_2011	165.66	169.29	172.64	172.63	172.79	172.39	171.51(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-10	-23	29	15.1	50%	0.16	53.2	1.78%	0	0.4	56	0
12	Nov_15_2011	165.4	168.74	172.44	172.75	172.69	173.23	173.36(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	20	0	43	9.17	51%	0.17	50	1.78%	0	0.9	65	0
13	Nov_14_2011	165.12	168.17	171.88	172.78	172.71	173.2	173.2(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	20	24	57	5.89	51%	0.16	50.5	1.79%	0	1	68	0
14	Nov_11_2011	164.85	167.64	171.32	173.14	172.89	172.15	173.96(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-30	-1	64	8.73	49%	0.16	53.6	1.79%	0	1.2	76	0
15	Nov_10_2011	164.59	167.09	170.87	172.51	173.1	172.22	171.14(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-30	-38	62	11.85	51%	0.12	55.7	1.8%	0	0.8	75	0

16	Nov_9_2011	164.39	166.65	170.72	172.63	173	173.63	172.07(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	30	3	100	12.31	52%	0.13	59.9	1.85%	0	1.1	80	0
17	Nov_8_2011	164.17	166.19	170.27	172.03	172.5	173.97	173.53(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	89	70	73	138	16.06	54%	0.15	61.7	1.85%	0	1.5	76	0
18	Nov_7_2011	163.93	165.59	169.48	170.8	171.15	172.37	174.98(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	92	60	78	134	20.14	54%	0.15	63.6	1.89%	0	2.1	72	0
19	Nov_4_2011	163.68	164.96	168.1	169.27	169.08	171.03	170.85(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	80	44	104	11.06	53%	0.13	61.9	1.87%	0	1.4	66	0
20	Nov_3_2011	163.46	164.37	167.01	169.02	168.26	169.94	171.72(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	92	60	85	113	17.61	53%	0.14	65	1.87%	0	1.9	65	0

21	Nov_2_2011	163.23	163.79	165.65	168.59	167.83	167.14	169.06(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-40	18	76	14.54	54%	0.12	70.9	1.86%	0	1.5	64	0
22	Nov_1_2011	163.03	163.3	164.74	168.26	167.79	166.58	167.38(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-33	-60	-56	38	15.34	54%	0.12	74	1.88%	0	1.1	58	0
23	Oct_31_2011	162.83	162.82	164.18	167.9	168.19	168.52	167.34(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	20	12	62	8.44	54%	0.11	70.3	1.88%	0	1.3	61	0
24	Oct_28_2011	162.65	162.48	163.68	166.64	167.16	169	169.62(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	77	90	78	75	9.36	54%	0.12	66.2	1.87%	0	2.1	62	0
25	Oct_27_2011	162.45	161.88	162.98	164.62	164.98	167.87	169.55(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	109	130	119	77	15.88	54%		52.4	1.87%	0	2.5	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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