Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Oct. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $102.8400 (-0.77%) ($102.3700 - $103.2500) on Sun. Oct. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $102.8400(-0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $102.19(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.19(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.4(3.46%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.36%(92%) Average negative next three day return: -0.63%(8%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.07%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.53%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2009	94.43	99.4	100.19	102.19	102.49	103.03	102.84(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	50	68	169	15.18	76%	0.1	64	0.91%	0	1.8	65	0
2	Oct_8_2009	94.34	99.18	99.61	101.29	101.55	102.71	103.64(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	117	90	108	144	24.25	72%	0.12	59.2	0.91%	0	2.6	67	0
3	Oct_7_2009	94.23	98.87	98.97	100.14	100.31	101.95	102.36(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	125	120	133	101	16.19	70%	0.13	53.1	0.92%	0	2.4	60	0
4	Oct_6_2009	94.11	98.59	98.57	99.44	99.33	100.38	102.28(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	124	70	141	73	33.54	70%	0.13	59.7	0.92%	0	3	56	0
5	Oct_5_2009	93.99	98.34	98.25	98.47	98.54	98.66	99.82(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	38	10	49	4	11.71	67%	0.1	71	0.88%	0	1.6	53	0

6	Oct_2_2009	93.9	98.22	98.09	97.92	98.09	98.29	98.37(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	20	8	-32	10.48	62%	0.07	76.1	0.88%	0	0.2	53	0
7	Oct_1_2009	93.83	98.17	98.11	97.64	97.85	98.41	97.89(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	23	50	41	-30	11.05	64%	0.07	89.9	0.89%	0	-0.3	46	0
8	Sep_30_2009	93.76	98.1	98.24	97.58	97.53	97.89	98.85(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	19	20	34	-26	18.67	67%	0.09	96	0.89%	0	0.8	56	0
9	Sep_29_2009	93.68	97.87	98.33	97.57	97.51	97.3	97.43(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-20	-19	-31	9.26	65%	0.09	75.6	0.89%	0	-0.3	54	0
10	Sep_28_2009	93.6	97.7	98.48	98.02	97.97	97.18	97.05(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-60	-57	-21	7.79	65%	0.09	72.5	0.89%	0	-0.4	50	0

11	Sep_25_2009	93.52	97.56	98.59	98.28	98.57	97.73	97(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-50	-75	-15	10.73	65%	0.07	69.7	0.89%	0	-0.3	50	0
12	Sep_24_2009	93.45	97.39	98.79	98.62	98.84	98.76	97.55(-1.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-35	0	-52	16	23.35	65%	0.09	70	0.89%	0	0.1	52	0
13	Sep_23_2009	93.37	97.18	98.83	98.97	99.06	99.41	98.83(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	30	20	70	14.74	68%	0.12	68.8	0.87%	0	0.7	65	0
14	Sep_22_2009	93.26	96.89	98.67	99.19	99.15	98.92	99.67(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-20	15	99	10.89	64%	0.13	69.5	0.86%	0	1.2	77	0
15	Sep_21_2009	93.14	96.53	98.45	99.04	99.2	98.7	98.36(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-30	-38	99	11.12	62%	0.12	67.6	0.88%	0	0.7	76	0

16	Sep_18_2009	93.03	96.29	98.37	98.96	99.24	99.38	98.67(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	20	-9	135	13.94	62%	0.13	67.9	0.87%	0	0.9	74	0
17	Sep_17_2009	92.91	95.98	98.26	98.98	98.95	99.7	99.34(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	83	50	48	188	12.49	62%	0.12	64.7	0.88%	0	1.3	80	0
18	Sep_16_2009	92.8	95.64	97.95	98.65	98.77	99.09	99.91(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	119	30	86	219	16.59	62%	0.13	61.8	0.87%	0	1.7	84	0
19	Sep_15_2009	92.68	95.24	97.36	98.08	98.16	98.2	98.9(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	43	10	-1	173	16.25	60%	0.12	57.4	0.87%	0	1.5	83	0
20	Sep_14_2009	92.57	94.87	96.83	97.79	97.97	98.45	97.96(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	40	21	180	9.64	59%	0.09	53.4	0.88%	0	1.3	82	0

21	Sep_11_2009	92.49	94.61	96.44	97.7	97.96	98.12	98.78(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	90	20	55	193	19.5	55%	0.11	53.3	0.9%	0	1.8	75	0
22	Sep_10_2009	92.39	94.34	95.88	97.44	97.53	97.49	97.7(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	37	-0	-7	170	12.26	52%	0.12	54.3	0.89%	0	1.6	77	0
23	Sep_9_2009	92.28	94.08	95.4	97.14	97.43	97.79	97.08(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	80	30	45	185	20.44	52%	0.11	49.8	0.89%	0	1.6	73	0
24	Sep_8_2009	92.18	93.86	94.97	96.5	96.9	97.57	97.43(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	109	60	84	183	22.99	52%	0.2	39.1	0.89%	0	2	77	0
25	Sep_4_2009	92	93.62	94.45	95.7	95.79	97.08	97.53(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	109	100	93	155	14.91	51%		28	0.94%	0	2.5	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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