Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. May. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $96.2000 (2.08%) ($95.5800 - $96.3500) on Sat. May. 30, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $96.2000(2.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.36(1.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.17(3.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.44(5.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.53% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.43%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -1.63%(71%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 2.02%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.96%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090630

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2009	89.74	91.44	93.17	94.36	94.3	95.11	96.2(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	75	60	60	119	18.14	62%	0.13	67.6	1.36%	0	2.1	78	0
2	May_28_2009	89.62	90.99	92.64	93.89	93.85	93.95	94.24(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	49	10	30	104	14.97	59%	0.13	62.9	1.35%	0	1.5	76	0
3	May_27_2009	89.5	90.69	92.32	93.49	93.54	93.5	93.45(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-0	8	94	13.71	59%	0.1	62.5	1.35%	0	1.3	73	0
4	May_26_2009	89.41	90.4	92.04	92.99	93.11	93.75	93.76(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	50	31	102	12.36	59%	0.15	59.4	1.36%	0	1.6	79	0
5	May_22_2009	89.28	90.15	91.64	92.31	92.49	93.58	94.15(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	75	90	66	102	15.41	54%	0.06	60.8	1.39%	0	2.1	78	0

6	May_21_2009	89.23	89.91	91.2	91.79	91.68	92.47	93.85(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	66	60	55	98	21.83	54%	0.08	73	1.4%	0	2.4	82	0
7	May_20_2009	89.16	89.64	90.75	91.23	91.28	91.41	92.25(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	10	27	84	18.3	55%	0.08	82.2	1.39%	0	1.8	76	0
8	May_19_2009	89.09	89.39	90.47	91	91.04	90.89	90.96(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-10	-8	70	9.63	53%	0.06	80.5	1.41%	0	1.1	64	0
9	May_18_2009	89.04	89.19	90.21	90.95	91.03	91.15	90.36(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	10	3	77	17.35	53%	0.04	78.3	1.41%	0	0.8	64	0
10	May_15_2009	89	89.02	90.05	90.81	90.92	91.19	91.55(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	20	23	79	11.71	57%	0.03	65.2	1.46%	0	1.6	61	0

11	May_14_2009	88.97	88.71	89.6	90.5	90.5	90.9	91.03(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	30	20	59	8.03	57%	0.09	57.5	1.47%	0	1.4	54	0
12	May_13_2009	88.89	88.45	89.23	90.18	90.17	90.65	91.09(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	40	29	49	17.45	57%	0.1	53.2	1.49%	0	1.7	59	0
13	May_12_2009	88.8	88.26	88.94	89.87	89.91	90.09	90.7(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	20	26	44	15.76	57%	0.08	54.8	1.49%	0	1.8	64	0
14	May_11_2009	88.73	88.08	88.64	89.38	89.64	89.69	89.69(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	6	28	12.21	59%	0.09	56.9	1.48%	0	1.3	63	0
15	May_8_2009	88.65	87.98	88.55	89.17	89.43	89.73	89.98(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	30	21	37	10.94	61%	0.07	54.9	1.52%	0	1.6	64	0

16	May_7_2009	88.59	87.8	88.49	88.56	89.07	89.58	89.44(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	60	35	46	14.81	61%	0.05	34.3	1.53%	0	1.4	69	0
17	May_6_2009	88.55	87.65	88.42	88.13	88.37	89.14	89.54(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	70	33	47	11.34	61%	0.06	8.3	1.55%	0	1.6	65	0
18	May_5_2009	88.5	87.5	88.2	87.89	87.8	88.56	88.25(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	60	36	43	9.96	61%	0.07	-12.2	1.54%	0	0.7	53	0
19	May_4_2009	88.44	87.36	88.07	87.79	87.64	87.6	88.64(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10	20	33	10.82	61%	0.1	-31.3	1.54%	0	1.1	55	0
20	May_1_2009	88.35	87.3	87.91	87.86	87.47	87.04	86.95(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-29	-50	-41	7	6.12	56%	0.07	-43.4	1.54%	0	-0.3	46	0

21	Apr_30_2009	88.29	87.39	87.77	88.42	88.05	87.69	87.27(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-40	-22	24	9.72	56%	0.09	-40.7	1.55%	0	-0.1	55	0
22	Apr_29_2009	88.21	87.56	87.65	88.72	88.61	87.9	88.33(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-60	-14	32	8.1	58%	0.14	-31.5	1.57%	0	0.5	57	0
23	Apr_28_2009	88.09	87.64	87.56	88.53	88.64	88.4	87.75(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-20	-25	27	8.57	58%	0.14	-34.9	1.59%	0	0.1	55	0
24	Apr_27_2009	87.97	87.73	87.52	88.36	88.57	89.32	89.01(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	70	30	54	7.16	58%	0.18	-42.2	1.59%	0	0.8	66	0
25	Apr_24_2009	87.81	87.8	87.39	87.95	88.06	88.87	89.72(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	70	60	58	11.43	58%		-54.1	1.58%	0	1.1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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