Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. Sep. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 10, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $85.9800 (3.84%) ($84.0000 - $86.4400) on Sun. Sep. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $85.9800(3.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.72(5.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.87(9.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.52(8.12%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 4.16% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.72%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.85%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.77%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2008	86.48	79.52	78.87	81.72	82.21	85.37	85.98(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	97	290	99	91	25.54	49%	0.02	17.1	2.22%	0	2	55	0
2	Sep_18_2008	86.46	79.29	78.08	79.63	80.08	83.28	82.8(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	134	300	157	64	60.59	46%	-0.05	3.7	2.17%	0	1.2	50	0
3	Sep_17_2008	86.5	79.13	77.58	77.69	77.45	79.04	85.46(11.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.6	79	130	106	-4	65.77	48%	0	-16.7	2.14%	0	2.2	56	0
4	Sep_16_2008	86.5	78.83	76.81	75.44	75.44	76.88	76.79(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	130	39	-117	17.19	37%	-0.14	-43.4	1.6%	0	-0.8	36	0
5	Sep_15_2008	86.62	78.95	77.03	75.38	75.44	75.85	77.56(2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	60	53	-122	17	37%	-0.1	-49.1	1.61%	0	-0.5	39	0

6	Sep_12_2008	86.71	78.97	77.4	75.64	75.13	74	75.55(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-75	-130	-47	-159	17.6	34%	-0.14	-58.8	1.57%	0	-1.4	31	0
7	Sep_11_2008	86.83	79.18	78.04	76.33	76.31	74.41	73.08(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-126	-180	-110	-174	23.78	32%	-0.2	-66.7	1.51%	0	-2.5	15	0
8	Sep_10_2008	87	79.62	78.9	77.39	77.83	76.26	74.22(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-107	-120	-97	-135	29.37	31%	-0.18	-78	1.52%	0	-2.7	32	0
9	Sep_9_2008	87.16	79.97	79.63	78.32	78.7	78.22	76.49(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-67	-30	-58	-92	20.2	33%	-0.16	-100.5	1.52%	0	-2.2	36	0
10	Sep_8_2008	87.3	80.21	80.11	78.86	79.21	79.41	78.86(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	30	1	-47	10.02	35%	-0.14	-129.3	1.48%	0	-1	53	0

11	Sep_5_2008	87.42	80.48	80.33	79.43	79.05	79.19	78.98(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-0	-18	-24	10.74	39%	-0.16	-115.3	1.54%	0	-0.9	59	0
12	Sep_4_2008	87.56	80.81	80.66	80.07	79.71	79.02	78.39(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-16	-70	-23	5	10.88	39%	-0.17	-94.6	1.53%	0	-1.2	49	0
13	Sep_3_2008	87.71	81.21	80.87	80.67	80.56	78.91	78.89(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-150	-69	-4	10.71	39%	-0.15	-81.5	1.53%	0	-1	42	0
14	Sep_2_2008	87.84	81.56	80.87	81.14	81.2	80.4	79.2(-3.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-55	-70	-75	7	12.68	39%	-0.18	-79.9	1.54%	0	-1	47	0
15	Aug_29_2008	88	81.98	81.05	81.48	81.77	82.21	81.71(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	50	15	44	5.13	39%	-0.11	-64.7	1.49%	0	-0.1	52	0

16	Aug_28_2008	88.1	82.34	80.67	81.36	81.51	81.99	82.18(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	50	27	15	9.35	39%	-0.11	-61.6	1.53%	0	-0	42	0
17	Aug_27_2008	88.2	82.7	80.67	81.38	81.25	81.32	81.36(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	0	8	-21	7.1	38%	-0.1	-58.9	1.52%	0	-0.4	36	0
18	Aug_26_2008	88.29	83.08	80.38	81.12	81.52	81.03	81.23(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-30	3	-53	8.58	38%	-0.11	-58.3	1.54%	0	-0.5	34	0
19	Aug_25_2008	88.39	83.52	80.29	80.96	81.23	81.18	80.93(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	10	-11	-86	6.52	38%	-0.11	-58	1.55%	0	-0.6	35	0
20	Aug_22_2008	88.49	84.03	80.3	80.53	80.77	82.01	81.08(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	10	120	48	-105	7.85	38%	-0.09	-61.5	1.55%	0	-0.6	32	0

21	Aug_21_2008	88.57	84.54	80.58	79.84	80.07	81.29	82.3(2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	36	120	91	-128	17.03	38%	-0.08	-66.3	1.55%	0	-0.5	31	0
22	Aug_20_2008	88.64	84.98	80.88	79.25	78.82	79.53	80.06(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	50	16	-196	14.72	36%	-0.08	-71.4	1.51%	0	-1	23	0
23	Aug_19_2008	88.71	85.5	81.5	79.55	78.87	78.86	80.43(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	-30	15	-201	16.76	36%	-0.11	-72.4	1.53%	0	-1	26	0
24	Aug_18_2008	88.81	86.13	82.03	79.57	79.36	78.11	78.8(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-94	-120	-43	-248	14.07	33%	-0.15	-73.1	1.5%	0	-1.4	18	0
25	Aug_15_2008	88.94	86.94	82.95	80.04	79.83	78.88	77.63(-2.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-146	-90	-103	-274	29.76	37%		-73.6	1.52%	0	-1.9	12	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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