Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sat. Mar. 8, 2008

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $96.0900 (-0.42%) ($95.7200 - $96.6800) on Sat. Mar. 8, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $96.0900(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.55(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.68(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.54(2.73%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   23%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.91% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.77%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.99%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.08%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.52%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.41%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2008	84.59	93.54	95.68	96.55	96.46	96.39	96.09(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-19	97	10.07	68%	0.25	71.5	1.33%	0	0.9	75	0
2	Mar_6_2008	84.38	93.23	95.43	96.56	96.71	96.74	96.5(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	10	13	130	18.55	68%	0.27	69.2	1.33%	0	1.2	74	0
3	Mar_5_2008	84.15	92.85	95.11	96.46	96.55	96.53	97.72(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	46	0	12	148	15.36	68%	0.29	63.1	1.32%	0	1.8	79	0
4	Mar_4_2008	83.91	92.35	94.65	95.87	96.15	96.69	95.18(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	53	50	18	158	21.36	67%	0.25	52.9	1.3%	0	1	76	0
5	Mar_3_2008	83.7	92.04	94.31	95.58	95.77	96.58	97.24(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	104	70	78	182	11.49	71%	0.28	45.9	1.27%	0	1.9	71	0

6	Feb_29_2008	83.47	91.63	93.51	94.68	94.72	95.62	96.18(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	70	52	140	9.35	68%	0.28	39.2	1.27%	0	1.8	70	0
7	Feb_28_2008	83.24	91.36	92.87	94.12	94.02	94.96	95.99(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	81	70	65	129	11.21	68%	0.29	39.3	1.3%	0	2.1	73	0
8	Feb_27_2008	83	91.13	92.21	93.57	93.49	93.82	94.78(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	20	40	108	9.93	65%	0.28	46.9	1.3%	0	1.9	73	0
9	Feb_26_2008	82.77	90.93	91.66	93.27	93.22	93.07	93.71(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10	10	97	8.45	65%	0.27	56	1.31%	0	1.6	75	0
10	Feb_25_2008	82.55	90.81	91.4	92.84	92.96	93.16	92.74(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	20	13	99	11.96	65%	0.24	64.8	1.31%	0	1.2	64	0

11	Feb_22_2008	82.35	90.68	91.21	92.12	92.55	93.37	93.39(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	80	55	103	7.58	67%	0.26	65.9	1.33%	0	1.7	65	0
12	Feb_21_2008	82.14	90.5	90.84	91.39	91.64	92.76	93.25(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	76	90	73	84	12.96	67%	0.27	69.2	1.34%	0	1.9	54	0
13	Feb_20_2008	81.92	90.23	90.4	90.62	90.68	91.73	93.24(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	68	80	74	50	10.64	69%	0.27	56.1	1.34%	0	2.1	51	0
14	Feb_19_2008	81.7	89.97	89.83	89.84	89.98	90.52	91.58(2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	31	50	41	0	8.37	68%	0.33	39.9	1.37%	0	1.2	50	0
15	Feb_15_2008	81.43	89.77	89.57	89.79	89.66	89.62	89.15(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10	-8	-34	5.59	62%	0.21	33.6	1.33%	0	-0.5	40	0

16	Feb_14_2008	81.26	89.65	89.6	90.16	90.03	89.44	89.71(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-50	-15	-30	6.89	63%	0.22	31.2	1.38%	0	0	48	0
17	Feb_13_2008	81.08	89.52	89.75	90.19	90.24	89.71	89.44(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-40	-32	-31	10.04	63%	0.22	30.6	1.39%	0	-0	49	0
18	Feb_12_2008	80.9	89.45	89.99	90.09	90.28	90.62	89.33(-2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	4	30	5	-1	10.23	57%	0.21	31.6	1.39%	0	-0.1	57	0
19	Feb_11_2008	80.73	89.46	90.17	89.76	90.01	90.78	91.33(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	70	50	20	6.83	60%	0.25	39.6	1.5%	0	1.1	62	0
20	Feb_8_2008	80.53	89.32	90.18	89.32	89.22	89.94	91(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	50	37	22	9.13	60%	0.24	43.1	1.5%	0	1	64	0

21	Feb_7_2008	80.34	89.18	90.1	88.99	88.79	89.24	89.85(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	30	15	20	8.97	60%	0.24	46.6	1.49%	0	0.4	64	0
22	Feb_6_2008	80.15	89.02	90.13	89.3	89.08	88.49	88.95(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-50	-15	30	8.79	61%	0.21	54.3	1.49%	0	-0	61	0
23	Feb_5_2008	79.98	88.93	90.06	89.92	89.6	88.34	87.68(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-48	-110	-72	24	11.17	61%	0.23	74.5	1.5%	0	-0.7	51	0
24	Feb_4_2008	79.8	88.81	90.16	90.61	90.49	89.67	89.1(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-35	-70	-60	42	10.29	63%	0.24	82.6	1.49%	0	0.1	49	0
25	Feb_1_2008	79.61	88.63	90.03	91.14	91.11	90.86	89.35(-2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-20	-22	67	19.64	65%		92.4	1.51%	0	0.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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