Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 25, 2008

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $92.7400 (-0.7%) ($92.1100 - $93.7100) on Mon. Feb. 25, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $92.7400(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(27%)    LQD(17%)    TLT(17%)    USO(17%)    SHY(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(-1%)    PEJ(-1%)    XLP(1%)    XLK(2%)    QQQ(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $92.84(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.4(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.81(2.13%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   19.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.29%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.27%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.64%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2008	82.55	90.81	91.4	92.84	92.96	93.16	92.74(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	20	13	99	11.96	65%	0.24	64.8	1.31%	0	1.2	64	0
2	Feb_22_2008	82.35	90.68	91.21	92.12	92.55	93.37	93.39(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	80	55	103	7.58	67%	0.26	65.9	1.33%	0	1.7	65	0
3	Feb_21_2008	82.14	90.5	90.84	91.39	91.64	92.76	93.25(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	76	90	73	84	12.96	67%	0.27	69.2	1.34%	0	1.9	54	0
4	Feb_20_2008	81.92	90.23	90.4	90.62	90.68	91.73	93.24(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	68	80	74	50	10.64	69%	0.27	56.1	1.34%	0	2.1	51	0
5	Feb_19_2008	81.7	89.97	89.83	89.84	89.98	90.52	91.58(2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	31	50	41	0	8.37	68%	0.33	39.9	1.37%	0	1.2	50	0

6	Feb_15_2008	81.43	89.77	89.57	89.79	89.66	89.62	89.15(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10	-8	-34	5.59	62%	0.21	33.6	1.33%	0	-0.5	40	0
7	Feb_14_2008	81.26	89.65	89.6	90.16	90.03	89.44	89.71(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-50	-15	-30	6.89	63%	0.22	31.2	1.38%	0	0	48	0
8	Feb_13_2008	81.08	89.52	89.75	90.19	90.24	89.71	89.44(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-40	-32	-31	10.04	63%	0.22	30.6	1.39%	0	-0	49	0
9	Feb_12_2008	80.9	89.45	89.99	90.09	90.28	90.62	89.33(-2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	4	30	5	-1	10.23	57%	0.21	31.6	1.39%	0	-0.1	57	0
10	Feb_11_2008	80.73	89.46	90.17	89.76	90.01	90.78	91.33(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	70	50	20	6.83	60%	0.25	39.6	1.5%	0	1.1	62	0

11	Feb_8_2008	80.53	89.32	90.18	89.32	89.22	89.94	91(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	50	37	22	9.13	60%	0.24	43.1	1.5%	0	1	64	0
12	Feb_7_2008	80.34	89.18	90.1	88.99	88.79	89.24	89.85(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	30	15	20	8.97	60%	0.24	46.6	1.49%	0	0.4	64	0
13	Feb_6_2008	80.15	89.02	90.13	89.3	89.08	88.49	88.95(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-50	-15	30	8.79	61%	0.21	54.3	1.49%	0	-0	61	0
14	Feb_5_2008	79.98	88.93	90.06	89.92	89.6	88.34	87.68(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-48	-110	-72	24	11.17	61%	0.23	74.5	1.5%	0	-0.7	51	0
15	Feb_4_2008	79.8	88.81	90.16	90.61	90.49	89.67	89.1(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-35	-70	-60	42	10.29	63%	0.24	82.6	1.49%	0	0.1	49	0

16	Feb_1_2008	79.61	88.63	90.03	91.14	91.11	90.86	89.35(-2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-20	-22	67	19.64	65%	0.25	92.4	1.51%	0	0.3	53	0
17	Jan_31_2008	79.41	88.45	89.79	91.33	91.31	91.32	91.4(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	0	6	79	7.79	69%	0.28	101.2	1.48%	0	1.4	62	0
18	Jan_30_2008	79.19	88.12	89.32	91.07	91.13	91.36	92.06(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	20	23	81	14.38	68%	0.28	108.9	1.49%	0	1.8	70	0
19	Jan_29_2008	78.97	87.65	88.89	90.23	90.71	91.3	91.15(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	60	41	74	9.1	68%	0.28	112.2	1.49%	0	1.7	67	0
20	Jan_28_2008	78.75	87.24	88.7	89.64	89.8	90.9	91.75(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	67	90	60	87	8.54	68%	0.29	106	1.49%	0	2.1	75	0

21	Jan_25_2008	78.52	86.74	88.34	88.77	88.75	90.12	90.3(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	78	110	75	86	9.71	68%	0.28	103.3	1.5%	0	1.7	70	0
22	Jan_24_2008	78.3	86.3	88.12	88.01	87.92	88.7	90.08(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	70	60	68	76	10.63	68%	0.31	92.8	1.5%	0	1.7	67	0
23	Jan_23_2008	78.06	85.81	87.75	87.34	87.25	87.37	87.89(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	8	44	14.29	66%	0.27	86.5	1.47%	0	0.9	64	0
24	Jan_22_2008	77.85	85.44	87.65	87.36	87.21	87.14	88.17(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	4	-10	-13	55	20.68	65%	0.28	90.3	1.47%	0	1.2	73	0
25	Jan_18_2008	77.63	84.98	87.33	87.63	87.67	87.13	87.42(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-40	-21	69	9.09	66%		79.8	1.48%	0	0.9	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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