Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 17, 2007

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $68.0000 (-0.58%) ($67.9800 - $68.4800) on Tue. Apr. 17, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $68.0000(-0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(26%)    USO(18%)    LQD(16%)    TLT(16%)    EEM(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(0%)    PEJ(-0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.66(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.19(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.47(2.3%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.24%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.57%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.3%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.08%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.47%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2007	64.28	66.47	67.19	67.66	67.74	68.19	68(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	50	25	88	4.16	60%	0.08	96.4	1.1%	0	1.7	73	0
2	Apr_16_2007	64.23	66.31	66.98	67.49	67.48	67.9	68.4(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	55	40	44	89	7.91	60%	0.08	94.9	1.11%	0	2.3	76	0
3	Apr_13_2007	64.18	66.11	66.71	67.12	67.24	67.28	67.84(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	34	10	22	69	5.06	60%	0.06	92.9	1.1%	0	2.1	78	0
4	Apr_12_2007	64.14	65.92	66.48	66.92	67.02	67.05	66.99(-0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	10	-5	50	6.02	62%	0.08	84.3	1.1%	0	1.3	63	0
5	Apr_11_2007	64.09	65.77	66.39	66.89	66.98	67.19	67.08(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	30	20	59	4.36	62%	0.08	75.9	1.15%	0	1.5	63	0

6	Apr_10_2007	64.04	65.61	66.25	66.64	66.81	66.99	67.16(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	30	26	55	2.74	62%	0.08	64.3	1.14%	0	1.6	68	0
7	Apr_9_2007	63.99	65.46	66.11	66.38	66.46	66.77	66.53(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	40	18	49	3.3	62%	0.13	66.4	1.14%	0	1.2	69	0
8	Apr_5_2007	63.91	65.35	65.97	66.22	66.2	66.62	66.86(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	40	33	53	3.59	57%	0.09	65.4	1.13%	0	1.7	74	0
9	Apr_4_2007	63.85	65.23	65.85	65.98	65.95	66.16	66.81(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	20	26	52	7.13	55%	0.08	55	1.18%	0	1.9	77	0
10	Apr_3_2007	63.8	65.1	65.74	65.82	65.74	65.77	65.83(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	-0	-0	49	4.14	50%	0.06	42.4	1.17%	0	0.9	73	0

11	Apr_2_2007	63.76	65.01	65.69	65.82	65.81	65.74	65.85(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10	0	59	5.38	50%	0.05	30.6	1.19%	0	1	75	0
12	Mar_30_2007	63.73	64.87	65.59	65.8	65.83	65.72	65.74(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10	-2	62	4.29	50%	0.05	3.7	1.2%	0	1	64	0
13	Mar_29_2007	63.7	64.87	65.48	65.68	65.79	65.87	65.65(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	10	-2	60	5.45	50%	0.08	-20.9	1.21%	0	1	64	0
14	Mar_28_2007	63.65	64.87	65.33	65.7	65.74	65.94	66.05(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	20	13	65	6.31	52%	0.06	-25	1.21%	0	1.4	65	0
15	Mar_27_2007	63.61	64.77	65.12	65.65	65.66	65.7	65.7(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	0	10	61	3.27	52%	0.06	-31.7	1.21%	0	1	64	0

16	Mar_26_2007	63.57	64.75	64.93	65.57	65.62	65.53	65.84(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10	4	53	3.93	52%	0.06	-27.4	1.21%	0	1	67	0
17	Mar_23_2007	63.53	64.84	64.78	65.35	65.5	65.63	65.15(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	20	3	55	5.59	52%	0.05	-23.5	1.21%	0	0.2	73	0
18	Mar_22_2007	63.5	64.95	64.68	65.24	65.34	65.71	65.76(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	40	30	66	4.72	52%	0.08	-20.2	1.21%	0	0.6	67	0
19	Mar_21_2007	63.45	65	64.55	64.89	65.05	65.38	65.82(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	40	36	45	5.06	52%	0.09	-23.9	1.21%	0	0.6	47	0
20	Mar_20_2007	63.39	65	64.38	64.51	64.67	64.98	65.27(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	40	28	10	4.42	52%	0.09	-27.1	1.21%	0	0.1	40	0

21	Mar_19_2007	63.33	65.06	64.26	64.2	64.28	64.72	64.74(0.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	12	50	21	-14	2.99	54%	0.08	-33.6	1.21%	0	-0.2	45	0
22	Mar_16_2007	63.28	65.14	64.09	64.13	64.1	64.36	64.62(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	30	25	-52	5.04	54%	0.09	-34.1	1.21%	0	-0.4	33	0
23	Mar_15_2007	63.22	65.22	63.99	64.05	64.04	63.85	63.98(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-20	-5	-96	7.04	51%	0.08	-32.9	1.21%	0	-0.8	32	0
24	Mar_14_2007	63.17	65.34	64.16	64.15	64.17	63.84	63.94(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-40	-24	-108	7.42	51%	0.1	-26.7	1.24%	0	-1	36	0
25	Mar_13_2007	63.11	65.45	64.39	64.22	64.44	64.24	63.72(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10	-14	-108	4.33	51%		-22.7	1.24%	0	-1.2	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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