Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $66.3600 (-0.08%) ($65.7600 - $66.3900) on Mon. Feb. 19, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $66.3600(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.13(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.64(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.95(2.17%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.58%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.19%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.62%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2007	61.83	64.95	65.64	66.13	66.15	66.17	66.36(-0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	0	-1	83	3.2	59%	0.11	90	0.94%	0	1.4	72	0
2	Feb_15_2007	61.76	64.78	65.44	66.08	66.07	66.26	66.41(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	20	16	90	7.67	59%	0.11	94.2	0.95%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Feb_14_2007	61.69	64.57	65.31	65.9	65.95	66.14	66.37(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	20	33	99	4.18	59%	0.13	97.1	0.95%	0	1.6	69	0
4	Feb_13_2007	61.61	64.39	65.15	65.56	65.68	65.88	65.84(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	30	22	81	4.14	59%	0.13	94.4	0.96%	0	1.3	62	0
5	Feb_12_2007	61.53	64.2	64.99	65.35	65.38	65.77	65.67(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	40	31	75	4.11	59%	0.11	98.8	0.96%	0	1.3	62	0

6	Feb_9_2007	61.46	64.02	64.8	65.07	65.15	65.48	66.12(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	40	47	77	6.82	64%	0.15	98.9	0.96%	0	1.9	75	0
7	Feb_8_2007	61.37	63.75	64.59	64.71	64.83	64.99	65.52(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	20	16	53	4.77	61%	0.13	79.8	1.02%	0	1.4	70	0
8	Feb_7_2007	61.29	63.51	64.44	64.65	64.63	64.81	64.63(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	20	2	60	3.08	59%	0.13	67.5	1.03%	0	0.8	71	0
9	Feb_6_2007	61.21	63.33	64.4	64.69	64.77	64.67	64.79(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10	17	83	2.93	59%	0.11	57.4	1.03%	0	1	67	0
10	Feb_5_2007	61.14	63.12	64.34	64.57	64.67	64.45	64.31(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-20	-14	86	2.55	59%	0.11	45.3	1.03%	0	0.8	69	0

11	Feb_2_2007	61.07	62.92	64.2	64.46	64.56	64.88	64.28(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	40	4	94	9.08	59%	0.13	35.5	1.03%	0	0.9	67	0
12	Feb_1_2007	60.99	62.79	64.08	64.43	64.43	64.89	65.22(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	50	48	133	6.29	64%	0.1	34.7	1.02%	0	1.6	81	0
13	Jan_31_2007	60.93	62.63	63.79	64.2	64.12	64.24	64.83(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	10	16	124	5.9	64%	0.12	34.9	1.04%	0	1.5	80	0
14	Jan_30_2007	60.86	62.53	63.57	64.2	64.11	63.97	64.22(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10	-0	130	3.09	64%	0.1	41	1.04%	0	1.2	75	0
15	Jan_29_2007	60.8	62.45	63.35	64.1	64.09	63.99	63.77(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-10	-7	144	3.49	64%	0.05	46.3	1.04%	0	1	76	0

16	Jan_26_2007	60.77	62.37	63.2	63.89	64.11	64.26	64.1(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	30	18	164	3.49	64%	0.05	45.1	1.04%	0	1.3	80	0
17	Jan_25_2007	60.74	62.25	62.87	63.67	63.83	64.19	64.06(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	50	34	153	5.99	64%	0.03	46.1	1.04%	0	1.4	63	0
18	Jan_24_2007	60.72	62.13	62.52	63.31	63.4	63.96	64.33(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	70	43	127	5.24	64%	0.02	43.2	1.04%	0	1.8	59	0
19	Jan_23_2007	60.71	61.97	62.17	62.97	63.08	63.47	64.23(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	65	50	55	95	6.32	61%	0.05	37.4	1.05%	0	2.1	52	0
20	Jan_22_2007	60.68	61.83	61.79	62.52	62.68	62.85	62.72(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	30	18	39	3.94	57%	0.02	25	1.03%	0	0.9	47	0

21	Jan_19_2007	60.67	61.78	61.53	62.41	62.45	62.69	63(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	30	32	21	3.26	59%	0.02	18.8	1.04%	0	1.3	53	0
22	Jan_18_2007	60.66	61.67	61.38	61.93	62.16	62.51	62.26(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	28	50	38	-4	4.46	57%	0.02	-3.5	1.05%	0	0.7	51	0
23	Jan_17_2007	60.65	61.61	61.36	61.6	61.69	62.21	62.64(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	29	60	44	-15	4.52	57%	0.02	-19.3	1.04%	0	1.2	56	0
24	Jan_16_2007	60.64	61.58	61.38	61.24	61.21	61.82	61.97(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	35	70	52	-16	3.2	56%	0	-35.6	1.04%	0	0.5	54	0
25	Jan_12_2007	60.64	61.6	61.45	60.94	60.83	61.16	62.17(2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	30	30	47	-22	5.84	59%		-48.1	1.06%	0	0.7	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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