Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 15, 2007

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 29, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $62.1700 (2.54%) ($60.9000 - $62.2800) on Mon. Jan. 15, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $62.1700(2.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $58.82(-5.39%)
5 Day Moving Average   $60.94(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.45(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.6(0.93%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.32%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.14%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.88%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2007	60.64		61.45	60.94	60.83	61.16	62.17(2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	30	30	47	-22	5.84	59%	0.02	-48.1	1.06%	0	0.7	53	NAN
2	Jan_11_2007	60.63	61.6	61.44	60.54	60.52	60.61	60.63(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	10	1	-61	4.64	55%	-0.03	-68.4	1.02%	0	-1.2	42	NAN
3	Jan_10_2007	60.65	61.7	61.58	60.75	60.42	60.51	60.59(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10	-17	-50	3.77	55%	-0.02	-71.8	1.03%	0	-1.4	49	NAN
4	Jan_9_2007	60.66	61.78	61.7	61.09	60.78	60.42	60.85(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-60	-28	-32	4.17	55%	-0.03	-73.6	1.02%	0	-1.2	51	NAN
5	Jan_8_2007	60.68	61.87	61.77	61.56	61.39	60.33	60.48(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-64	-130	-75	-32	3.48	55%	0	-68	1.02%	0	-1.8	40	NAN

6	Jan_5_2007	60.68	61.99	61.9	62.04	62.08	61.14	60.17(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-78	-100	-96	-22	12.5	55%	-0.02	-59.5	1.02%	0	-2.5	36	NAN
7	Jan_4_2007	60.69	62.17	62.09	62.45	62.72	62.45	61.65(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-21	-20	-34	20	4.86	60%	-0.02	-51.5	0.98%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
8	Jan_3_2007	60.7	62.29	62.04	62.52	62.81	63.02	62.28(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	17	40	13	30	8.06	55%	-0.05	-46.9	0.98%	0	-0	46	NAN
9	Dec_29_2006	60.73	62.37	61.92	62.39	62.6	62.98	63.21(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	50	40	24	2.12	58%	0	-32.2	1.06%	0	0.9	59	NAN
10	Dec_28_2006	60.73	62.37	61.79	62.03	62.22	62.6	62.9(1.09%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	27	50	36	-1	2.54	58%	-0.03	-31.8	1.06%	0	0.5	49	NAN

11	Dec_27_2006	60.75	62.42	61.73	61.77	61.87	62.21	62.22(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	40	24	-22	3.06	59%	-0.03	-35	1.05%	0	-0.2	44	NAN
12	Dec_26_2006	60.77	62.49	61.75	61.69	61.7	61.85	61.98(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	20	26	-36	1.98	59%	-0.1	-29	1.07%	0	-0.5	32	NAN
13	Dec_22_2006	60.83	62.57	61.79	61.5	61.54	61.52	61.65(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-0	7	-66	1.37	59%	-0.05	-25.8	1.07%	0	-0.9	27	NAN
14	Dec_21_2006	60.86	62.66	61.83	61.37	61.38	61.56	61.38(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-28	20	-6	-95	2.48	59%	-0.05	-19.6	1.07%	0	-1.3	24	NAN
15	Dec_20_2006	60.89	62.73	61.97	61.52	61.41	61.57	61.62(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	10	7	-97	2.98	59%	-0.05	-13.5	1.08%	0	-1.1	24	NAN

16	Dec_19_2006	60.92	62.77	62.07	61.69	61.56	61.21	61.8(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-50	-11	-102	4.26	54%	-0.02	-6	1.08%	0	-1	41	NAN
17	Dec_18_2006	60.93	62.78	62.26	61.83	61.75	61.25	61.04(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-64	-60	-49	-108	3.88	52%	-0.03	-4	1.11%	0	-1.8	32	NAN
18	Dec_15_2006	60.95	62.83	62.56	62.14	62.12	61.91	61(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-40	-20	-26	-82	7.43	52%	-0.03	2.1	1.12%	0	-2.1	30	NAN
19	Dec_14_2006	60.97	62.87	62.88	62.35	62.31	62.24	62.12(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10	-11	-64	2.24	51%	0	0	1.09%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
20	Dec_13_2006	60.97	62.86	63.1	62.47	62.4	62.34	62.48(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10	-5	-40	3.6	51%	0.02	7.9	1.14%	0	-0.4	52	NAN

21	Dec_12_2006	60.96	62.83	63.18	62.51	62.47	62.39	62.52(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-10	-14	-36	3.02	51%	0.02	6.8	1.14%	0	-0.3	55	NAN
22	Dec_11_2006	60.95	62.82	63.29	62.77	62.59	62.47	62.57(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-20	-23	-15	3.16	45%	0.02	16.4	1.14%	0	-0.3	59	NAN
23	Dec_8_2006	60.94	62.81	63.41	63.08	62.99	62.56	62.05(-1.08%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-16	-50	-25	12	6.08	45%	0	27.4	1.22%	0	-0.8	56	NAN
24	Dec_7_2006	60.94	62.86	63.41	63.49	63.33	62.71	62.73(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-27	-80	-48	37	5.39	41%	-0.03	45.5	1.22%	0	-0.1	66	NAN
25	Dec_6_2006	60.96	62.79	63.57	63.83	63.75	63.42	62.69(-1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-40	-32	61	6.39	41%		51.3	1.26%	0	-0.1	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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