Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sat. Jul. 15, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $65.8500 (0.46%) ($65.7000 - $66.4200) on Sat. Jul. 15, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $65.8500(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.43(2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.46(3.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.79(8.32%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 4.95% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.3%(22%) Average negative next day return: -1.15%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 4.87%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.98%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 5.26%(22%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.87%(78%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2006	60.76	60.79	63.46	64.43	64.71	65.54	65.85(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	100	41	163	10.04	51%	0.2	59	2.09%	0	1.7	84	NAN
2	Jul_13_2006	60.64	60.35	62.83	63.79	63.76	64.78	65.55(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	110	37	155	12.23	51%	0.17	50.5	2.11%	0	1.8	84	NAN
3	Jul_12_2006	60.54	59.84	62.05	63.28	63.17	63.89	64.92(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	70	41	144	9.45	51%	0.17	36.5	2.1%	0	1.9	78	NAN
4	Jul_11_2006	60.44	59.38	61.33	62.8	62.73	62.75	63.81(2.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-0	16	127	5.79	51%	0.07	22	2.09%	0	1.7	79	NAN
5	Jul_10_2006	60.4	59.16	60.78	62.47	62.46	62.45	62.02(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-0	-4	124	3.51	50%	0.12	13.9	2.07%	0	1.2	78	NAN

6	Jul_7_2006	60.33	59.06	60.38	62.31	62.45	62.71	62.63(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	40	22	135	5.33	50%	0.13	6.5	2.07%	0	1.6	71	NAN
7	Jul_6_2006	60.25	58.94	59.89	61.69	62.02	62.47	63.02(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	70	38	128	5.69	50%	0.17	-4.6	2.08%	0	1.9	74	NAN
8	Jul_5_2006	60.15	58.86	59.4	60.59	61.05	62.18	62.5(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	63	150	46	115	8.18	50%	0.23	-23.7	2.08%	0	1.7	77	NAN
9	Jul_3_2006	60.01	58.83	58.86	59.63	59.94	61.57	62.18(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	76	210	66	106	3.08	50%	0.13	-39	2.06%	0	1.5	74	NAN
10	Jun_30_2006	59.93	58.84	58.26	58.85	59	59.93	61.23(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	120	61	66	7.77	52%	0.08	-49.9	2.04%	0	1	51	NAN

11	Jun_29_2006	59.88	58.92	57.87	58.2	58.26	58.32	59.52(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	10	16	18	10.75	52%	0.08	-58.3	2.04%	0	0.2	45	NAN
12	Jun_28_2006	59.83	59.05	57.64	57.84	57.98	58.07	57.54(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	20	-7	-18	2.9	49%	0.05	-59.8	2.01%	0	-0.6	36	NAN
13	Jun_27_2006	59.8	59.36	57.46	58	58.04	58.2	57.68(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	20	12	-37	6.52	49%	0.02	-57.5	2.01%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
14	Jun_26_2006	59.79	59.72	57.3	57.93	57.85	57.89	58.28(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	0	11	-71	3.42	49%	0.03	-58.5	2.01%	0	-0.5	33	NAN
15	Jun_23_2006	59.77	60.04	57.44	57.54	57.56	57.88	57.99(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	40	7	-98	6.11	50%	0.02	-59.5	2.02%	0	-0.7	30	NAN

16	Jun_22_2006	59.76	60.36	57.64	57.48	57.29	57.81	57.73(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	50	18	-110	5.38	50%	0.02	-62.3	2.02%	0	-0.8	29	NAN
17	Jun_21_2006	59.75	60.68	57.93	57.4	57.12	57.24	58.33(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	0	23	-120	6.16	50%	0.02	-68.5	2.02%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
18	Jun_20_2006	59.74	61.07	58.28	56.86	57	56.77	57.3(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	-20	3	-153	11.07	50%	0.02	-73.1	2.01%	0	-1.1	27	NAN
19	Jun_19_2006	59.73	61.47	58.78	56.58	56.79	56.99	56.36(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-61	40	-20	-182	5.74	50%	0.02	-78.8	2%	0	-1.5	21	NAN
20	Jun_16_2006	59.72	61.94	59.46	57.31	56.9	57.22	57.68(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	20	-5	-168	7.32	52%	0.03	-84.1	1.98%	0	-1.3	22	NAN

21	Jun_15_2006	59.7	62.43	60.02	57.87	57.67	56.58	57.32(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-140	-26	-169	11.91	52%	0.02	-84.5	1.98%	0	-1.6	23	NAN
22	Jun_14_2006	59.69	62.97	60.56	58.59	58.57	56.59	55.62(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-121	-240	-98	-191	12.66	50%	0	-83.2	1.94%	0	-2.3	18	NAN
23	Jun_13_2006	59.69	63.63	61.45	59.92	59.82	58.76	55.92(-6.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-106	-130	-87	-162	26.22	50%	0	-81.9	1.94%	0	-2.6	15	NAN
24	Jun_12_2006	59.69	64.24	62.4	61.24	61.05	60.54	60.03(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-70	-31	-118	4.12	56%	0.08	-86.8	1.74%	0	-1.7	29	NAN
25	Jun_9_2006	59.64	64.78	62.91	61.9	61.57	60.89	60.45(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-59	-90	-43	-108	7.42	56%		-69.5	1.74%	0	-1.6	29	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.