Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 30, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $61.2300 (2.87%) ($60.6800 - $61.3500) on Fri. Jun. 30, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.04% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $61.2300(2.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    USO(19%)    EEM(16%)    LQD(16%)    VWO(16%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -1.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-3%)    REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(-0%)    XLP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.02% (StdDev 2.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.85(4.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.26(5.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.84(4.06%)
To recent high   -13.9%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 4.01% (three month std-dev: 2.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2006	59.93	58.84	58.26	58.85	59	59.93	61.23(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	120	61	66	7.77	52%	0.08	-49.9	2.04%	0	1	51	NAN
2	Jun_29_2006	59.88	58.92	57.87	58.2	58.26	58.32	59.52(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	10	16	18	10.75	52%	0.08	-58.3	2.04%	0	0.2	45	NAN
3	Jun_28_2006	59.83	59.05	57.64	57.84	57.98	58.07	57.54(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	20	-7	-18	2.9	49%	0.05	-59.8	2.01%	0	-0.6	36	NAN
4	Jun_27_2006	59.8	59.36	57.46	58	58.04	58.2	57.68(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	20	12	-37	6.52	49%	0.02	-57.5	2.01%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
5	Jun_26_2006	59.79	59.72	57.3	57.93	57.85	57.89	58.28(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	0	11	-71	3.42	49%	0.03	-58.5	2.01%	0	-0.5	33	NAN

6	Jun_23_2006	59.77	60.04	57.44	57.54	57.56	57.88	57.99(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	40	7	-98	6.11	50%	0.02	-59.5	2.02%	0	-0.7	30	NAN
7	Jun_22_2006	59.76	60.36	57.64	57.48	57.29	57.81	57.73(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	50	18	-110	5.38	50%	0.02	-62.3	2.02%	0	-0.8	29	NAN
8	Jun_21_2006	59.75	60.68	57.93	57.4	57.12	57.24	58.33(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	0	23	-120	6.16	50%	0.02	-68.5	2.02%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
9	Jun_20_2006	59.74	61.07	58.28	56.86	57	56.77	57.3(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	-20	3	-153	11.07	50%	0.02	-73.1	2.01%	0	-1.1	27	NAN
10	Jun_19_2006	59.73	61.47	58.78	56.58	56.79	56.99	56.36(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-61	40	-20	-182	5.74	50%	0.02	-78.8	2%	0	-1.5	21	NAN

11	Jun_16_2006	59.72	61.94	59.46	57.31	56.9	57.22	57.68(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	20	-5	-168	7.32	52%	0.03	-84.1	1.98%	0	-1.3	22	NAN
12	Jun_15_2006	59.7	62.43	60.02	57.87	57.67	56.58	57.32(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-140	-26	-169	11.91	52%	0.02	-84.5	1.98%	0	-1.6	23	NAN
13	Jun_14_2006	59.69	62.97	60.56	58.59	58.57	56.59	55.62(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-121	-240	-98	-191	12.66	50%	0	-83.2	1.94%	0	-2.3	18	NAN
14	Jun_13_2006	59.69	63.63	61.45	59.92	59.82	58.76	55.92(-6.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-106	-130	-87	-162	26.22	50%	0	-81.9	1.94%	0	-2.6	15	NAN
15	Jun_12_2006	59.69	64.24	62.4	61.24	61.05	60.54	60.03(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-70	-31	-118	4.12	56%	0.08	-86.8	1.74%	0	-1.7	29	NAN

16	Jun_9_2006	59.64	64.78	62.91	61.9	61.57	60.89	60.45(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-59	-90	-43	-108	7.42	56%	0.08	-69.5	1.74%	0	-1.6	29	NAN
17	Jun_8_2006	59.59	65.3	63.35	62.51	62.3	61.55	60.91(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-90	-35	-101	14.23	54%	0.12	-56.2	1.74%	0	-1.6	25	NAN
18	Jun_7_2006	59.52	65.78	63.69	62.84	62.82	62.25	62.28(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-60	-32	-111	10.17	57%	0.12	-47.7	1.73%	0	-1.3	26	NAN
19	Jun_6_2006	59.45	66.15	64.09	63.23	62.91	63.05	62.55(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	0	-29	-110	7.18	55%	0.05	-39.7	1.73%	0	-1.3	25	NAN
20	Jun_5_2006	59.42	66.41	64.37	63.74	63.47	63.39	63.29(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-20	3	-94	6.02	55%	0.13	-32.6	1.74%	0	-1.2	34	NAN

21	Jun_2_2006	59.34	66.66	64.6	64.1	63.92	62.78	63.5(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-130	-33	-125	6.96	55%	0.17	-25	1.74%	0	-1.3	26	NAN
22	Jun_1_2006	59.24	66.88	64.98	64.34	64.31	63.55	62.56(-2.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-79	-80	-57	-146	11.75	55%	0.14	-15.3	1.74%	0	-1.8	23	NAN
23	May_31_2006	59.16	67.1	65.54	64.64	64.8	63.55	64.23(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	40	-6	-129	7.57	57%	0.17	-7.2	1.73%	0	-1.3	29	NAN
24	May_30_2006	59.06	67.24	65.97	65.07	64.7	65.06	65.11(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	20	10	-117	8.24	57%	0.29	6.6	1.73%	0	-1	34	NAN
25	May_26_2006	58.89	67.26	66.2	65.11	64.94	64.54	65.1(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-27	-50	5	-124	5.27	59%		15.2	1.7%	0	-1.1	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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