Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sat. Jun. 17, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Jun. 12, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $57.6800 (0.63%) ($56.4300 - $57.9300) on Sat. Jun. 17, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $57.6800(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $48.94(-15.15%)
Resistance Level   $61.94
5 Day Moving Average   $57.31(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.46(-2.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.94(-6.88%)
To recent high   -18.9%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 5.21% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.23%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.13%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.56%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.44%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2006	59.72	61.94	59.46	57.31	56.9	57.22	57.68(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	20	-5	-168	7.32	52%	0.03	-84.1	1.98%	0	-1.3	22	0
2	Jun_15_2006	59.7	62.43	60.02	57.87	57.67	56.58	57.32(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-140	-26	-169	11.91	52%	0.02	-84.5	1.98%	0	-1.6	23	0
3	Jun_14_2006	59.69	62.97	60.56	58.59	58.57	56.59	55.62(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-121	-240	-98	-191	12.66	50%	0	-83.2	1.94%	0	-2.3	18	0
4	Jun_13_2006	59.69	63.63	61.45	59.92	59.82	58.76	55.92(-6.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-106	-130	-87	-162	26.22	50%	0	-81.9	1.94%	0	-2.6	15	0
5	Jun_12_2006	59.69	64.24	62.4	61.24	61.05	60.54	60.03(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-70	-31	-118	4.12	56%	0.08	-86.8	1.74%	0	-1.7	29	0

6	Jun_9_2006	59.64	64.78	62.91	61.9	61.57	60.89	60.45(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-59	-90	-43	-108	7.42	56%	0.08	-69.5	1.74%	0	-1.6	29	0
7	Jun_8_2006	59.59	65.3	63.35	62.51	62.3	61.55	60.91(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-90	-35	-101	14.23	54%	0.12	-56.2	1.74%	0	-1.6	25	0
8	Jun_7_2006	59.52	65.78	63.69	62.84	62.82	62.25	62.28(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-60	-32	-111	10.17	57%	0.12	-47.7	1.73%	0	-1.3	26	0
9	Jun_6_2006	59.45	66.15	64.09	63.23	62.91	63.05	62.55(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	0	-29	-110	7.18	55%	0.05	-39.7	1.73%	0	-1.3	25	0
10	Jun_5_2006	59.42	66.41	64.37	63.74	63.47	63.39	63.29(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-20	3	-94	6.02	55%	0.13	-32.6	1.74%	0	-1.2	34	0

11	Jun_2_2006	59.34	66.66	64.6	64.1	63.92	62.78	63.5(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-130	-33	-125	6.96	55%	0.17	-25	1.74%	0	-1.3	26	0
12	Jun_1_2006	59.24	66.88	64.98	64.34	64.31	63.55	62.56(-2.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-79	-80	-57	-146	11.75	55%	0.14	-15.3	1.74%	0	-1.8	23	0
13	May_31_2006	59.16	67.1	65.54	64.64	64.8	63.55	64.23(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	40	-6	-129	7.57	57%	0.17	-7.2	1.73%	0	-1.3	29	0
14	May_30_2006	59.06	67.24	65.97	65.07	64.7	65.06	65.11(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	20	10	-117	8.24	57%	0.29	6.6	1.73%	0	-1	34	0
15	May_26_2006	58.89	67.26	66.2	65.11	64.7	64.54	65.1(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-27	-50	5	-124	5.27	59%	0.22	15.2	1.7%	0	-1.1	44	0

16	May_25_2006	58.76	67.29	66.76	65.2	64.94	64.33	64.7(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-80	-44	-127	6.51	59%	0.19	19.4	1.72%	0	-1.2	42	0
17	May_24_2006	58.65	67.24	67.38	65.76	65.23	65.34	64.06(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-10	-37	-94	11.07	60%	0.19	30.1	1.73%	0	-1.4	42	0
18	May_23_2006	58.54	67.25	68.03	66.57	66.19	65.55	66.38(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-80	-7	-44	10.51	64%	0.14	39	1.67%	0	-0.4	52	0
19	May_22_2006	58.46	67.1	68.36	67.02	66.85	65.13	65.3(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-67	-190	-75	-44	11.98	64%	0.26	42.2	1.67%	0	-0.7	49	0
20	May_19_2006	58.31	66.96	68.64	67.44	67.77	66.84	65.58(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-68	-80	-83	-24	18.69	64%	0.24	46.7	1.66%	0	-0.5	55	0

21	May_18_2006	58.17	66.86	68.92	68.55	68.43	68.56	67.46(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	10	-32	45	12.72	68%	0.29	59.8	1.62%	0	0.2	63	0
22	May_17_2006	58	66.56	68.96	69.26	69.23	68.7	68.15(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-50	-7	101	16.42	68%	0.31	69.2	1.63%	0	0.5	72	0
23	May_16_2006	57.82	66.35	68.82	69.71	69.87	68.3	68.61(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-150	-56	114	12.22	69%	0.19	79.1	1.62%	0	0.7	70	0
24	May_15_2006	57.71	66.02	68.64	69.92	70.23	69.77	67.41(-5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-30	-57	144	18.39	68%	0.31	82.6	1.62%	0	0.4	70	0
25	May_12_2006	57.53	65.72	68.46	69.95	70.46	71.45	71.12(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	102	120	58	232	20.64	73%		86.3	1.48%	0	1.7	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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