Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Mar. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $56.2800 (-0.81%) ($56.2000 - $56.5400) on Sat. Mar. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $56.2800(-0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.08(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.64(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.32(1.74%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.87%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.35%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2006	51.5	55.32	55.64	56.08	56.16	56.4	56.28(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	30	14	78	3.1	61%	0.18	-6.7	1.39%	0	1.1	58	NAN
2	Mar_2_2006	51.41	55.34	55.47	55.95	55.87	56.27	56.74(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	50	29	69	3.86	61%	0.21	-5.2	1.39%	0	1.5	51	NAN
3	Mar_1_2006	51.3	55.33	55.17	55.53	55.61	55.92	56.1(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	40	27	43	4.27	63%	0.18	-15.1	1.39%	0	0.8	56	NAN
4	Feb_28_2006	51.21	55.35	55.01	55.38	55.29	55.46	56.07(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	20	14	30	3.43	61%	0.18	-14.7	1.4%	0	0.7	57	NAN
5	Feb_27_2006	51.12	55.37	54.77	55.19	55.14	55.3	55.22(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	6	20	8	-1	2.29	60%	0.16	-15.4	1.39%	0	-0.1	43	NAN

6	Feb_24_2006	51.04	55.37	54.72	55.14	55.13	55.12	55.64(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-0	13	-14	4.93	60%	0.18	-15.4	1.39%	0	0.2	45	NAN
7	Feb_23_2006	50.95	55.39	54.75	54.92	55	54.99	54.64(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	0	4	-33	2.43	59%	0.16	-20.1	1.38%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
8	Feb_22_2006	50.87	55.47	54.77	54.74	54.78	55.14	55.34(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	50	16	-51	3.84	59%	0.2	-16.5	1.37%	0	-0.1	43	NAN
9	Feb_21_2006	50.77	55.49	54.69	54.57	54.48	55	55.12(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	60	34	-67	3.35	60%	0.26	-19.2	1.37%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
10	Feb_17_2006	50.64	55.52	54.83	54.29	54.23	54.42	54.96(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	20	22	-85	3.93	61%	0.16	-25.8	1.37%	0	-0.6	41	NAN

11	Feb_16_2006	50.56	55.54	54.96	54.26	54.07	53.95	54.52(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-38	-30	-18	-98	5.59	62%	0.16	-23.9	1.37%	0	-1	46	NAN
12	Feb_15_2006	50.48	55.6	55.2	54.59	54.36	54.04	53.76(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-50	-22	-79	4.81	61%	0.16	-9.4	1.39%	0	-1.8	41	NAN
13	Feb_14_2006	50.4	55.63	55.49	54.8	54.88	54.18	54.49(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-80	-22	-67	3.61	61%	0.16	-4.2	1.38%	0	-1.2	42	NAN
14	Feb_13_2006	50.32	55.68	55.72	54.82	55.03	54.69	53.72(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-30	-53	-73	5.12	60%	0.14	0	1.37%	0	-2.2	41	NAN
15	Feb_10_2006	50.25	55.68	56.03	55.42	55.27	55.57	54.79(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	30	-11	-25	4.33	63%	0.18	31	1.34%	0	-1.3	46	NAN

16	Feb_9_2006	50.16	55.78	56.13	55.77	55.68	55.37	56.18(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-40	6	-1	5.3	67%	0.2	53.7	1.3%	0	0.5	58	NAN
17	Feb_8_2006	50.06	55.7	56.1	55.93	55.88	54.97	54.83(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-53	-120	-64	-20	5.38	65%	0.16	63.6	1.28%	0	-1	46	NAN
18	Feb_7_2006	49.98	55.67	56.25	56.3	56.44	56	54.6(-3.74%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.9	-34	-50	-51	19	10.2	65%	0.18	77.3	1.28%	0	-1.2	58	NAN
19	Feb_6_2006	49.89	55.68	56.39	56.72	56.8	56.79	56.72(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	0	-3	69	3.46	71%	0.22	106.7	1.17%	0	1.1	61	NAN
20	Feb_3_2006	49.78	55.54	56.29	56.71	56.77	56.88	56.5(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	20	11	78	5.05	70%	0.24	112.7	1.18%	0	1	58	NAN

21	Feb_2_2006	49.66	55.34	56.17	56.54	56.66	56.81	56.98(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	20	81	5.11	70%	0.24	94.2	1.18%	0	1.4	67	NAN
22	Feb_1_2006	49.54	55.16	56.03	56.32	56.37	56.67	56.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	32	40	16	79	4.7	68%	0.26	100	1.18%	0	1.3	65	NAN
23	Jan_31_2006	49.41	54.98	55.78	56.21	56.13	56.52	56.7(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	40	28	78	5.01	65%	0.24	109.4	1.2%	0	1.5	68	NAN
24	Jan_30_2006	49.29	54.73	55.63	56.01	55.99	56.07	56.68(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	10	23	72	3.97	65%	0.24	116.6	1.23%	0	1.7	62	NAN
25	Jan_27_2006	49.17	54.47	55.49	55.83	55.8	55.74	55.63(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10	-3	69	4.29	64%		109.6	1.21%	0	0.9	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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