Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Feb. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $56.5000 (-0.84%) ($56.2500 - $57.2000) on Sat. Feb. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $56.5000(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.71(-0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.29(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.54(1.73%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.39%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.96%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.03%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2006	49.78	55.54	56.29	56.71	56.77	56.88	56.5(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	20	11	78	5.05	70%	0.24	112.7	1.18%	0	1	58	0
2	Feb_2_2006	49.66	55.34	56.17	56.54	56.66	56.81	56.98(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	20	81	5.11	70%	0.24	94.2	1.18%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Feb_1_2006	49.54	55.16	56.03	56.32	56.37	56.67	56.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	32	40	16	79	4.7	68%	0.26	100	1.18%	0	1.3	65	0
4	Jan_31_2006	49.41	54.98	55.78	56.21	56.13	56.52	56.7(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	40	28	78	5.01	65%	0.24	109.4	1.2%	0	1.5	68	0
5	Jan_30_2006	49.29	54.73	55.63	56.01	55.99	56.07	56.68(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	10	23	72	3.97	65%	0.24	116.6	1.23%	0	1.7	62	0

6	Jan_27_2006	49.17	54.47	55.49	55.83	55.8	55.74	55.63(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10	-3	69	4.29	64%	0.22	109.6	1.21%	0	0.9	63	0
7	Jan_26_2006	49.06	54.27	55.38	55.74	55.75	55.9	55.88(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	20	3	86	4.31	64%	0.25	105	1.21%	0	1.2	71	0
8	Jan_25_2006	48.94	54.02	55.25	55.69	55.77	55.86	56.14(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	20	29	107	10.01	65%	0.27	100.7	1.2%	0	1.4	65	0
9	Jan_24_2006	48.81	53.73	55.04	55.27	55.56	55.59	55.73(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	6	85	3.42	65%	0.14	87.5	1.21%	0	1.3	64	0
10	Jan_23_2006	48.74	53.45	54.92	55.18	55.26	55.68	55.77(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	60	10	110	4.97	65%	0.25	88	1.21%	0	1.5	70	0

11	Jan_20_2006	48.62	53.14	54.72	55.11	55.19	55.52	55.2(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	50	37	139	7.31	65%	0.23	78.8	1.21%	0	1.2	70	0
12	Jan_19_2006	48.51	52.84	54.45	54.96	55.01	54.83	55.59(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-20	11	130	5.29	63%	0.27	66.3	1.22%	0	1.6	72	0
13	Jan_18_2006	48.38	52.57	54.21	54.75	54.76	54.86	54.07(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	10	-13	140	4.62	61%	0.23	54.5	1.19%	0	0.8	71	0
14	Jan_17_2006	48.27	52.37	54.13	54.74	54.77	55.18	55.26(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	74	50	34	193	5.13	65%	0.35	45.6	1.16%	0	1.4	81	0
15	Jan_13_2006	48.1	52.11	53.77	54.61	54.45	54.67	55.44(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	20	31	204	4.35	65%	0.25	41.5	1.15%	0	1.7	82	0

16	Jan_12_2006	47.98	51.85	53.38	54.27	54.21	54.36	54.43(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	20	26	212	3.6	61%	0.23	36.8	1.13%	0	1.4	82	0
17	Jan_11_2006	47.87	51.69	53.09	53.85	53.99	54.22	54.53(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	40	27	213	4.21	61%	0.25	34.2	1.15%	0	1.6	84	0
18	Jan_10_2006	47.75	51.57	52.7	53.6	53.5	54.07	54.06(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	70	26	209	5.7	61%	0.21	38.1	1.14%	0	1.5	70	0
19	Jan_9_2006	47.65	51.47	52.32	53.42	53.25	53.77	54.6(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	106	60	67	223	5.39	61%	0.25	44	1.13%	0	2.1	74	0
20	Jan_6_2006	47.53	51.31	51.86	52.81	52.9	52.94	53.72(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	10	38	181	4.63	62%	0.21	42.9	1.12%	0	1.8	70	0

21	Jan_5_2006	47.43	51.18	51.43	52.36	52.4	52.73	52.34(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	50	7	138	7.66	59%	0.17	45.8	1.1%	0	1	64	0
22	Jan_4_2006	47.35	51.1	51.11	52.19	52.13	52.87	53.3(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	100	68	132	5.29	62%	0.19	47.6	1.07%	0	1.9	58	0
23	Jan_3_2006	47.26	50.97	50.78	51.66	51.73	52.06	53.12(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	70	50	68	77	4.61	62%	0.25	43.3	1.07%	0	2	49	0
24	Dec_30_2005	47.14	50.82	50.46	51.06	51.21	51.39	51.58(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	30	20	-2	2.64	57%	0.17	37	1.01%	0	0.8	41	0
25	Dec_29_2005	47.06	50.75	50.31	50.77	50.9	51.4	51.47(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	27	80	45	-29	3.28	57%		33.7	1.02%	0	0.8	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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