Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 12, 2005

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $44.4900 (0.09%) ($44.4300 - $44.7200) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $44.4900(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    OIH(16%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.86(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.66(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.05(3.34%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.38%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.79%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.02%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.88%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2005	42.73	43.05	43.66	43.86	43.9	44.37	44.49(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	92	80	65	171	2.43	62%	0.05	55.8	0.62%	0	1.9	80	0
2	Aug_11_2005	42.71	42.93	43.49	43.68	43.62	43.89	44.45(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	79	40	55	151	2.19	62%	0.05	51.6	0.64%	0	2.2	80	0
3	Aug_10_2005	42.69	42.79	43.31	43.52	43.48	43.42	43.65(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10	6	129	0.7	58%	0.02	49.3	0.6%	0	1.4	75	0
4	Aug_9_2005	42.68	42.73	43.2	43.5	43.52	43.35	43.34(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-30	-15	129	1.31	56%	0	52.7	0.59%	0	1.1	75	0
5	Aug_8_2005	42.68	42.69	43.1	43.46	43.56	43.54	43.35(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	0	-5	138	1.11	56%	0	55	0.59%	0	1.2	79	0

6	Aug_5_2005	42.68	42.64	43.01	43.42	43.48	43.68	43.6(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	40	27	158	1.1	54%	0	54	0.6%	0	1.8	81	0
7	Aug_4_2005	42.68	42.57	42.9	43.26	43.34	43.59	43.68(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	78	50	51	158	0.87	54%	-0.02	39.8	0.6%	0	2.3	81	0
8	Aug_3_2005	42.69	42.5	42.77	43.07	43.13	43.28	43.53(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	69	30	43	145	1.55	54%	-0.02	20.8	0.6%	0	2.5	82	0
9	Aug_2_2005	42.7	42.43	42.63	42.86	42.91	43.09	43.14(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	30	33	114	0.7	48%	0	-8.8	0.59%	0	2.1	63	0
10	Aug_1_2005	42.7	42.39	42.51	42.68	42.74	42.97	43.13(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	49	40	40	76	1.49	48%	-0.05	-50.7	0.61%	0	2.5	56	0

11	Jul_29_2005	42.72	42.36	42.39	42.55	42.53	42.73	42.82(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	30	29	47	1.19	48%	-0.02	-93.4	0.6%	0	1.8	53	0
12	Jul_28_2005	42.73	42.38	42.31	42.48	42.44	42.5	42.75(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	10	22	29	3.67	48%	-0.05	-86.3	0.61%	0	1.1	58	0
13	Jul_27_2005	42.75	42.42	42.23	42.42	42.39	42.32	42.44(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10	-1	4	1.56	44%	-0.02	-73.3	0.61%	0	0	51	0
14	Jul_26_2005	42.76	42.46	42.21	42.37	42.4	42.38	42.25(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-0	-0	0	0.64	44%	-0.02	-72.6	0.62%	0	-0.4	50	0
15	Jul_25_2005	42.77	42.54	42.21	42.3	42.38	42.46	42.51(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	20	17	5	2.12	44%	-0.02	-62.7	0.62%	0	-0.1	54	0

16	Jul_22_2005	42.78	42.6	42.25	42.2	42.23	42.43	42.45(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	40	21	-10	0.63	44%	-0.02	-59.3	0.62%	0	-0.2	44	0
17	Jul_21_2005	42.79	42.67	42.22	42.12	42.13	42.3	42.46(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	30	37	-38	1.78	44%	-0.02	-53.6	0.62%	0	-0.3	33	0
18	Jul_20_2005	42.8	42.73	42.21	42.01	41.99	42.03	42.2(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	10	4	-92	2.27	42%	-0.02	-50.3	0.62%	0	-0.7	27	0
19	Jul_19_2005	42.81	42.81	42.22	42.04	41.98	42.03	41.89(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10	-17	-126	1.13	44%	-0.02	-41.6	0.61%	0	-1.2	25	0
20	Jul_18_2005	42.82	42.9	42.26	42.19	42.09	41.96	42.01(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-47	-30	-17	-136	0.96	44%	-0.05	-32	0.64%	0	-1.2	23	0

21	Jul_15_2005	42.84	42.98	42.33	42.3	42.22	42	42.05(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-40	-27	-153	1.1	44%	-0.02	-23.2	0.64%	0	-1.3	23	0
22	Jul_14_2005	42.85	43.06	42.46	42.34	42.36	42.22	41.9(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-60	-20	-26	-161	1.64	41%	-0.05	-15	0.64%	0	-1.7	19	0
23	Jul_13_2005	42.87	43.11	42.63	42.43	42.4	42.45	42.35(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	10	-3	-143	0.98	43%	-0.02	-9.5	0.65%	0	-1.2	30	0
24	Jul_12_2005	42.88	43.13	42.73	42.41	42.41	42.5	42.64(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	10	20	-149	1.27	45%	0	-8.9	0.64%	0	-0.8	31	0
25	Jul_11_2005	42.88	43.14	42.85	42.34	42.34	42.35	42.54(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	0	2	-163	2.25	45%		-10.3	0.64%	0	-1	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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