Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 23, 2005

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $41.6200 (-0.07%) ($41.5500 - $41.7500) on Mon. May. 23, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $41.6200(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    OIH(16%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    XLP(1%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $39.45(-5.21%)
Resistance Level   $42.47
5 Day Moving Average   $41.83(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.03(-0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.47(-2%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.26%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.69%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.37%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2005	42.72	42.47	42.03	41.83	41.83	41.68	41.62(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-43	-30	-20	-110	5	28%	-0.05	-64.7	0.62%	0	-1.4	24	0
2	May_20_2005	42.74	42.57	42.12	41.88	41.9	41.84	41.65(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-10	-17	-104	0.93	36%	-0.07	-58.1	0.67%	0	-1.6	23	0
3	May_19_2005	42.77	42.65	42.21	41.94	41.93	41.99	41.98(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-28	10	-1	-107	0.61	38%	-0.02	-51.2	0.67%	0	-1.2	21	0
4	May_18_2005	42.78	42.72	42.3	41.98	41.94	41.96	42.05(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	0	-6	-109	2.21	38%	-0.07	-43.7	0.67%	0	-1.2	33	0
5	May_17_2005	42.81	42.78	42.38	42.11	42	41.88	41.86(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-30	-21	-108	0.88	38%	-0.05	-34.4	0.67%	0	-1.8	26	0

6	May_16_2005	42.83	42.86	42.48	42.26	42.18	41.92	41.88(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-55	-50	-35	-113	0.87	38%	-0.02	-25	0.67%	0	-2	22	0
7	May_13_2005	42.84	42.91	42.58	42.4	42.4	42.13	41.95(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-55	-40	-37	-109	0.8	42%	-0.07	-19.4	0.68%	0	-2.2	28	0
8	May_12_2005	42.87	42.94	42.72	42.51	42.53	42.45	42.16(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-10	-28	-96	1.88	42%	-0.05	-17.2	0.68%	0	-2	31	0
9	May_11_2005	42.89	42.95	42.81	42.66	42.59	42.66	42.69(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	10	-2	-75	0.76	45%	-0.02	-10.5	0.66%	0	-0.7	42	0
10	May_10_2005	42.9	42.96	42.86	42.7	42.65	42.61	42.64(0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-10	4	-72	0.46	48%	-0.05	-3.6	0.67%	0	-0.9	37	0

11	May_9_2005	42.92	42.98	42.95	42.73	42.69	42.51	42.55(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-30	-19	-73	0.6	48%	-0.05	2.4	0.68%	0	-1.2	39	0
12	May_6_2005	42.94	42.99	43.04	42.79	42.74	42.68	42.52(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10	-31	-57	3.72	48%	-0.02	12.3	0.68%	0	-1.3	50	0
13	May_5_2005	42.95	43.01	43.13	42.96	42.87	42.87	42.91(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10	-0	-9	0.32	51%	-0.02	27.2	0.67%	0	-0.3	60	0
14	May_4_2005	42.96	42.99	43.16	42.98	42.98	42.79	42.9(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-30	-12	5	0.61	51%	-0.02	25	0.68%	0	-0.3	61	0
15	May_3_2005	42.97	42.98	43.21	43.04	43.04	42.86	42.76(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-29	-30	-41	9	1.27	47%	-0.02	29.1	0.68%	0	-0.6	49	0

16	May_2_2005	42.98	42.97	43.27	43.21	43.2	43.16	42.88(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10	-19	46	1.71	47%	0	39.6	0.69%	0	-0.2	52	0
17	Apr_29_2005	42.98	42.95	43.26	43.21	43.35	43.22	43.35(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-20	-1	68	3.74	47%	-0.02	46.2	0.68%	0	1	58	0
18	Apr_28_2005	42.99	42.91	43.18	43.33	43.36	43.23	43(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-20	-25	55	2.26	45%	-0.02	51.7	0.68%	0	0.2	56	0
19	Apr_27_2005	43	42.9	43.12	43.37	43.44	43.49	43.2(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	10	-3	65	2.76	45%	-0.05	58.2	0.68%	0	0.8	61	0
20	Apr_26_2005	43.02	42.87	43.09	43.41	43.43	43.5	43.64(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	10	17	86	1.53	51%	-0.05	62.9	0.67%	0	2	68	0

21	Apr_25_2005	43.04	42.81	43	43.34	43.35	43.39	43.44(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	10	16	84	0.91	48%	-0.05	58.2	0.68%	0	1.9	68	0
22	Apr_22_2005	43.06	42.77	42.93	43.19	43.27	43.36	43.39(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	20	26	79	1.17	48%	-0.02	30.7	0.69%	0	1.9	68	0
23	Apr_21_2005	43.07	42.71	42.86	42.99	43.07	43.31	43.19(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	40	30	60	1.55	51%	-0.07	-7.4	0.7%	0	1.7	60	0
24	Apr_20_2005	43.1	42.67	42.8	42.82	42.86	43.18	43.4(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	41	60	41	40	1.25	51%	-0.02	-56.1	0.71%	0	2.6	58	0
25	Apr_19_2005	43.11	42.63	42.71	42.72	42.61	42.84	43.28(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	29	30	30	26	3.15	51%		-111.5	0.71%	0	3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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