Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 24, 2005

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $42.7700 (0.07%) ($42.6700 - $42.8200) on Mon. Jan. 24, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $42.7700(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(24%)    EEM(17%)    OIH(16%)    EWG(15%)    LQD(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    XLP(1%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $42.79
5 Day Moving Average   $42.47(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.41(0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.79(-0.05%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_24_2005	43.78	42.79	42.41	42.47	42.48	42.65	42.77(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	30	26	12	2.29	51%	-0.05	-54.5	0.83%	0	-0	43	NAN
2	Jan_21_2005	43.8	42.86	42.32	42.38	42.36	42.37	42.74(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	0	7	-34	0.89	51%	-0.05	-53.3	0.84%	0	-0.2	32	NAN
3	Jan_20_2005	43.82	42.92	42.26	42.35	42.29	42.32	42.25(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-24	0	-8	-70	1.28	48%	-0.09	-50.5	0.83%	0	-0.8	23	NAN
4	Jan_19_2005	43.86	43.02	42.29	42.42	42.36	42.35	42.26(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-10	5	-73	1.58	48%	-0.09	-44.1	0.84%	0	-0.9	28	NAN
5	Jan_18_2005	43.9	43.12	42.34	42.41	42.4	42.25	42.32(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-27	-30	-2	-102	0.67	48%	-0.09	-41.7	0.85%	0	-0.9	23	NAN

6	Jan_14_2005	43.94	43.21	42.4	42.34	42.38	42.36	42.32(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-35	-0	-3	-130	1.26	48%	-0.09	-39.8	0.86%	0	-1	22	NAN
7	Jan_13_2005	43.98	43.28	42.54	42.24	42.32	42.54	42.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	40	17	-140	0.72	48%	-0.09	-44.7	0.86%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
8	Jan_12_2005	44.02	43.35	42.65	42.15	42.2	42.4	42.6(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	40	20	-149	1.74	48%	-0.09	-48.8	0.88%	0	-0.9	33	NAN
9	Jan_11_2005	44.06	43.41	42.74	42.16	42.13	42.09	42.21(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-10	-5	-170	1.51	45%	-0.11	-57.6	0.87%	0	-1.4	25	NAN
10	Jan_10_2005	44.11	43.5	42.95	42.27	42.26	41.99	41.95(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-50	-27	-172	1.03	45%	-0.14	-64	0.87%	0	-1.9	20	NAN

11	Jan_7_2005	44.17	43.58	43.2	42.48	42.44	42.16	41.84(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-78	-50	-50	-160	4.49	45%	-0.16	-78	0.88%	0	-2.4	22	NAN
12	Jan_6_2005	44.24	43.69	43.45	42.88	42.69	42.52	42.15(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-61	-40	-42	-117	2.56	45%	-0.14	-85	0.89%	0	-2.5	35	NAN
13	Jan_5_2005	44.3	43.79	43.65	43.21	43.07	42.73	42.67(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-60	-25	-83	2.11	48%	-0.11	-99.1	0.88%	0	-2.2	35	NAN
14	Jan_4_2005	44.35	43.91	43.81	43.41	43.3	42.85	42.74(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-60	-80	-56	-70	3.46	48%	-0.11	-87.9	0.9%	0	-2.3	44	NAN
15	Jan_3_2005	44.4	44.03	43.98	43.74	43.56	43.4	43.02(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-42	-40	-45	-33	4.75	48%	-0.11	-73.7	0.91%	0	-2	42	NAN

16	Dec_31_2004	44.45	44.16	44.11	44.03	43.91	43.75	43.8(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-30	-7	18	0.53	54%	-0.04	-51.2	0.87%	0	-0.7	56	NAN
17	Dec_30_2004	44.47	44.21	44.1	44.12	44.05	43.71	43.83(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-60	-26	18	1.29	54%	-0.04	-46.5	0.88%	0	-0.7	52	NAN
18	Dec_29_2004	44.49	44.29	44.1	44.16	44.18	44.06	43.66(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-15	-20	-27	20	5.63	54%	-0.09	-37.7	0.89%	0	-1	47	NAN
19	Dec_28_2004	44.53	44.36	44.13	44.16	44.27	44.39	44.37(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	20	7	24	0.77	61%	0	-30.7	0.86%	0	0	41	NAN
20	Dec_27_2004	44.53	44.4	44.08	44.27	44.21	44.31	44.48(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	10	13	8	2.64	61%	0	-25.5	0.87%	0	0.1	41	NAN

21	Dec_23_2004	44.53	44.44	43.98	44.21	44.19	44.15	44.27(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10	9	-29	0.64	61%	-0.02	-21.6	0.89%	0	-0.2	35	NAN
22	Dec_22_2004	44.54	44.48	43.98	44.09	44.14	44.12	44.02(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	0	-4	-60	2.71	61%	-0.07	0	0.9%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
23	Dec_21_2004	44.57	44.52	43.92	44.08	44.08	44.23	44.22(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	20	11	-73	1.37	61%	-0.02	0	0.91%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
24	Dec_20_2004	44.58	44.55	43.99	43.95	44.05	44.16	44.34(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	20	22	-80	1.94	61%	-0.02	0	0.93%	0	-0.3	43	NAN
25	Dec_17_2004	44.59	44.57	44.06	43.86	43.89	43.93	44.19(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	10	9	-95	1.89	61%		0	0.95%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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