Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDXJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF)
GDXJ latest price $23.3517 (0.65%) ($22.8146 - $23.3706) on Mon. Apr. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.01% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $23.3517(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDXJ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDXJ advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDXJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(36%)    SIL(34%)    GLD(27%)    BND(21%)    TIP(21%)
Factors Impacting GDXJ price   GDXJ will decline at least -1.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-34%)    TBT(-16%)    XLF(-4%)    XLP(-1%)    SPY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.505% (StdDev 3.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.2(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.93(1.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.77(2.55%)
To recent high   -17.7%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 2.68% (three month std-dev: 3.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.19%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.68%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -2.37%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 3.24%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.08%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2015	23.81	22.77		23.2	23.26	23.21	23.35(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10	3	42	6.87	49%	-0.13	67.5	3.01%	0	1	65	0
2	Apr_17_2015	23.84	22.73	22.93	23.03	23.14	23.38	23.2(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	90	4	44	6.18	49%	-0.04	75	3.06%	0	0.8	57	0
3	Apr_16_2015	23.85	22.67	22.84	22.98	22.99	23.31	23.31(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	100	14	44	9.12	49%	-0.13	79.9	3.08%	0	1	55	0
4	Apr_15_2015	23.88	22.6	22.78	22.77	22.84	22.89	23.58(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	20	12	31	15.09	53%	-0.17	76.3	3.08%	0	1.6	52	0
5	Apr_14_2015	23.92	22.44	22.56	22.55	22.62	22.66	22.56(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	20	-4	-1	6.01	50%	-0.21	57.3	3.09%	0	0.2	44	0

6	Apr_13_2015	23.97	22.36	22.47	22.62	22.65	22.79	22.5(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	50	-3	-12	9.21	50%	-0.17	54.2	3.1%	0	0.2	44	0
7	Apr_10_2015	24.01	22.3	22.44	22.81	22.74	22.57	22.94(3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-60	3	-5	10.47	53%	-0.17	53.4	3.18%	0	0.7	52	0
8	Apr_9_2015	24.05	22.19	22.4	22.69	22.86	22.5	22.26(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-90	-9	-10	7.25	53%	-0.17	31.7	3.18%	0	0.1	55	0
9	Apr_8_2015	24.09	22.14	22.48	22.78	22.89	22.9	22.51(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	20	3	8	11.25	53%	-0.21	20.5	3.23%	0	0.4	56	0
10	Apr_7_2015	24.14	22.03	22.56	22.55	22.76	23.21	22.9(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	170	16	26	12.71	53%	-0.12	-6	3.23%	0	0.8	68	0

11	Apr_6_2015	24.17	21.93	22.59	22.27	22.37	22.89	23.44(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	180	20	34	17.4	57%	0	-29.6	3.24%	0	1.5	67	0
12	Apr_2_2015	24.17	21.85	22.51	22.03	21.94	22.3	22.33(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	100	6	29	12.34	54%	-0.08	-48.1	3.31%	0	0.5	60	0
13	Apr_1_2015	24.19	21.91	22.47	22.08	21.92	21.85	22.7(6.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-40	0	39	23.13	54%	-0.04	-48.5	3.35%	0	0.7	65	0
14	Mar_31_2015	24.2	21.95	22.39	22.16	22.14	21.57	21.39(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-180	-22	42	11.44	50%	-0.04	-46.3	3.28%	0	-0.5	55	0
15	Mar_30_2015	24.21	22.09	22.32	22.57	22.61	21.99	21.5(-3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-190	-25	64	13.02	54%	-0.12	-34.6	3.28%	0	-0.4	63	0

16	Mar_27_2015	24.24	22.24	22.28	22.94	23.05	22.71	22.22(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-90	-12	88	10.94	54%	0	-24	3.31%	0	-0	60	0
17	Mar_26_2015	24.24	22.36	22.18	23.04	23.25	23.24	22.59(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	20	3	94	15.29	54%	0.04	-19.2	3.33%	0	0.2	53	0
18	Mar_25_2015	24.23	22.46	22	22.9	23.1	23.39	23.12(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	110	12	68	10.27	54%	0.04	-20.6	3.35%	0	0.4	45	0
19	Mar_24_2015	24.22	22.52	21.79	22.65	22.68	23.26	23.43(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	180	28	43	7.48	54%	-0.04	-26.2	3.38%	0	0.6	46	0
20	Mar_23_2015	24.23	22.55	21.45	22.04	22.11	22.81	23.36(2.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	19	230	30	-16	13.71	54%	0	-36.6	3.4%	0	0.5	43	0

21	Mar_20_2015	24.23	22.59	21.19	21.53	21.45	22.1	22.71(3.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	200	22	-67	16.23	49%	-0.08	-47.1	3.5%	0	0.1	39	0
22	Mar_19_2015	24.25	22.66	21.1	21.21	21.07	21.41	21.88(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	90	17	-104	13.81	46%	-0.21	-52.8	3.49%	0	-0.4	32	0
23	Mar_18_2015	24.3	22.8	21.25	20.98	20.86	20.81	21.86(7.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-28	-30	5	-125	21.49	51%	-0.29	-54.9	3.51%	0	-0.5	34	0
24	Mar_17_2015	24.37	22.96	21.42	20.83	20.85	20.73	20.36(-2.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-36	-40	-1	-140	12.87	51%	-0.33	-57	3.52%	0	-1.4	24	0
25	Mar_16_2015	24.45	23.18	21.8	20.77	20.83	20.91	20.82(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	40	0	-138	11.48	51%		-62.8	3.63%	0	-1.3	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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