Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF)
GDXJ latest price $20.9487 (-7.27%) ($20.7602 - $22.5130) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.66% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $20.9487(-7.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDXJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDXJ declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDXJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(38%)    SIL(37%)    GLD(29%)    TIP(22%)    BND(21%)
Factors Impacting GDXJ price   GDXJ will decline at least -2.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-33%)    TBT(-16%)    XLF(-4%)    XLP(-1%)    SPY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.33% (StdDev 4.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $6.14(-70.69%)
Resistance Level   $23.61
5 Day Moving Average   $21.67(-3.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.2(-5.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.61(-11.27%)
To recent high   -37.4%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 8.6% (three month std-dev: 4.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 3.85%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.13%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 8.4%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -2.94%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 7.18%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.01%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	30.61	23.61	22.2	21.67	21.96	22.19	20.95(-7.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	110	-2	-61	26.31	43%	-0.62	-56.7	4.66%	0	-1.3	39	INF
2	Dec_19_2014	30.8	23.91	22.46	21.6	21.74	22.64	22.59(-2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	310	13	-70	22.58	44%	-0.52	-53.3	4.62%	0	-0.6	38	INF
3	Dec_18_2014	30.96	24.11	22.5	21.58	21.4	21.72	23.19(7.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	80	10	-85	29.89	44%	-0.55	-45.8	4.63%	0	-0.4	39	INF
4	Dec_17_2014	31.13	24.22	22.56	21.55	21.45	20.85	21.51(7.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-210	-15	-113	29.72	41%	-0.61	-43.6	4.51%	0	-1.3	28	INF
5	Dec_16_2014	31.32	24.52	22.87	21.96	22.04	21.09	20.08(-2.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-57	-290	-34	-125	18.16	38%	-0.67	-32.2	4.42%	0	-2.1	17	INF

6	Dec_15_2014	31.53	24.82	23.3	22.83	22.86	22.04	20.64(-8.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-48	-250	-27	-109	33.55	38%	-0.6	-17.2	4.42%	0	-2.3	24	INF
7	Dec_12_2014	31.72	25.05	23.83	23.39	23.65	22.99	22.49(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-160	-11	-93	15.33	40%	-0.5	-9.5	4.34%	0	-1.7	27	INF
8	Dec_11_2014	31.88	25.1	24.17	23.51	23.65	23.68	23.02(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	10	-11	-94	16.99	40%	-0.53	-4	4.34%	0	-1.4	31	INF
9	Dec_10_2014	32.05	25.17	24.53	23.71	23.78	24.31	23.57(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	160	0	-79	20.67	40%	-0.53	8.3	4.35%	0	-1.1	42	INF
10	Dec_9_2014	32.22	25.21	24.9	23.92	23.87	23.87	24.41(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10	7	-71	21.52	41%	-0.52	16.5	4.34%	0	-0.6	37	INF

11	Dec_8_2014	32.39	25.14	25.12	23.88	23.95	23.24	23.48(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-200	-18	-79	22.1	40%	-0.52	9.8	4.33%	0	-1.1	43	INF
12	Dec_5_2014	32.56	25.2	25.47	24.36	24.27	23.86	23.08(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-130	-23	-58	16.41	41%	-0.58	24.2	4.36%	0	-1.4	47	INF
13	Dec_4_2014	32.75	25.16	25.84	24.92	24.76	24.65	24.03(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-50	-11	-21	13.89	40%	-0.46	25.5	4.36%	0	-0.7	58	INF
14	Dec_3_2014	32.9	25.05	26.02	25.47	24.94	24.68	24.62(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-140	-16	1	21.56	40%	-0.42	17.4	4.4%	0	-0.2	56	INF
15	Dec_2_2014	33.04	24.98	26.3	26.03	25.51	24.86	24.18(-6.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-240	-17	34	24.31	39%	-0.51	11.2	4.39%	0	-0.4	54	INF

16	Dec_1_2014	33.21	24.99	26.49	26.53	26.15	25.2	25.89(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-300	-18	66	31.53	40%	-0.51	10.4	4.35%	0	0.5	66	INF
17	Nov_28_2014	33.38	24.85	26.39	26.74	26.58	26.15	25.89(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-130	-17	77	31.51	40%	-0.68	-1.2	4.36%	0	0.6	57	INF
18	Nov_26_2014	33.61	24.77	26.15	26.89	27.1	27.11	26.77(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	30	6	102	10.32	40%	-0.41	-11.2	4.32%	0	1.1	67	INF
19	Nov_25_2014	33.75	24.74	25.88	26.64	26.97	27.01	27.42(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	50	0	109	16.19	40%	-0.32	-19	4.32%	0	1.3	71	INF
20	Nov_24_2014	33.86	24.78	25.54	26.65	26.81	27.09	26.67(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	90	5	122	9.11	40%	-0.24	-23.1	4.31%	0	0.9	62	INF

21	Nov_21_2014	33.94	24.8	25.15	26.46	26.85	26.93	26.94(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	70	17	116	17.96	40%	-0.38	-30.2	4.31%	0	1	57	INF
22	Nov_20_2014	34.07	24.87	24.88	26	26.27	26.53	26.66(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	100	16	111	25.87	40%	-0.35	-36	4.3%	0	0.8	61	INF
23	Nov_19_2014	34.19	24.98	24.41	25.28	25.52	26.76	25.5(-7.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	370	19	77	39.81	39%	-0.41	-44.5	4.26%	0	0.2	53	INF
24	Nov_18_2014	34.33	25.13	24	24.97	24.83	26.01	27.46(6.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	320	39	46	26.6	40%	-0.35	-46.4	4.18%	0	0.9	51	INF
25	Nov_17_2014	34.45	25.25	23.51	24.29	24.09	24.28	25.72(4.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	13	30	23	-16	22.37	38%		-50	4.08%	0	0.2	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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