Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDXJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF)
GDXJ latest price $36.1819 (-1.95%) ($36.0884 - $37.1454) on Mon. Jun. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.7% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $36.1819(-1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDXJ advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDXJ advances 7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDXJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(43%)    SIL(41%)    GLD(32%)    SLV(22%)    TIP(22%)
Factors Impacting GDXJ price   GDXJ will decline at least -1.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-34%)    XLF(-4%)    XLP(-1%)    SPY(-1%)    SMH(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.35% (StdDev 2.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.84(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.07(6.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.06(9.44%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   16.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 5.6% (three month std-dev: 2.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.16%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.79%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.99%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.96%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.19%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.8%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2014	35.36	33.06	34.07	35.84	35.99	36.65	36.18(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	140	29	178	5.56	45%	0.06	44.1	2.7%	0	1.7	79	INF
2	Jun_13_2014	35.34	32.88	33.57	35.12	35.2	36.4	36.9(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	75	250	49	153	6.48	48%	0.08	36.2	2.69%	0	2.4	68	INF
3	Jun_12_2014	35.31	32.65	33.05	34.27	34.21	35.34	37.07(5.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	72	230	57	117	10	51%	0.09	26	2.73%	0	3.1	66	INF
4	Jun_11_2014	35.28	32.45	32.43	33.29	33.26	34	35.04(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	48	150	42	65	5.42	47%	-0.03	10.8	2.67%	0	2.5	60	INF
5	Jun_10_2014	35.29	32.32	32.01	32.55	32.61	33.08	34.03(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	110	28	21	6.74	44%	-0.03	-18.6	2.65%	0	2	58	INF

6	Jun_9_2014	35.3	32.27	31.7	32.05	32.1	32.51	32.55(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	90	18	-14	1.49	40%	-0.06	-46.7	2.6%	0	0.4	47	INF
7	Jun_6_2014	35.32	32.28	31.69	31.78	31.74	32.14	32.66(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	80	15	-28	3.78	40%	0.03	-64.5	2.61%	0	0.5	47	INF
8	Jun_5_2014	35.31	32.29	31.7	31.63	31.52	31.69	32.17(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	30	13	-34	4.08	40%	0	-70.2	2.62%	0	-0.1	43	INF
9	Jun_4_2014	35.31	32.34	31.75	31.44	31.38	31.69	31.36(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10	3	-51	1.53	40%	0	-80.3	2.61%	0	-1.2	30	INF
10	Jun_3_2014	35.31	32.48	31.87	31.36	31.3	31.34	31.5(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	0	2	-57	2.47	40%	-0.03	-79.2	2.61%	0	-1.1	38	INF

11	Jun_2_2014	35.32	32.64	31.99	31.28	31.2	31.42	31.21(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	40	-4	-66	4.47	40%	0.03	-72.1	2.61%	0	-1.5	34	INF
12	May_30_2014	35.31	32.79	32.16	31.57	31.22	31.26	31.91(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-20	-4	-56	4.61	40%	0.06	-68.9	2.62%	0	-0.9	43	INF
13	May_29_2014	35.29	32.86	32.25	31.79	31.56	30.98	31.24(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-150	-17	-54	4.53	40%	0.06	-65.1	2.63%	0	-1.7	34	INF
14	May_28_2014	35.27	33.01	32.48	32.12	32.05	31.18	30.96(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-200	-31	-46	7.59	40%	0.03	-61.2	2.64%	0	-2.3	30	INF
15	May_27_2014	35.26	33.2	32.7	32.44	32.49	32.14	31.08(-4.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-30	-70	-26	-41	6.53	40%	0.14	-49.4	2.64%	0	-2.5	24	INF

16	May_23_2014	35.21	33.35	32.92	32.78	32.75	32.92	32.66(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	30	0	-28	1.83	44%	0.06	-36.4	2.58%	0	-0.9	29	INF
17	May_22_2014	35.19	33.46	32.92	32.82	32.79	32.83	33.01(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	10	6	-33	1.49	44%	-0.06	-20.6	2.6%	0	-0.6	37	INF
18	May_21_2014	35.21	33.49	32.94	32.79	32.71	32.58	32.9(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-40	-7	-42	2.22	44%	0.11	-19.2	2.62%	0	-0.8	47	INF
19	May_20_2014	35.17	33.57	32.97	32.92	32.81	32.74	32.56(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-20	-6	-43	1.94	49%	0.11	-7.8	2.61%	0	-1.4	38	INF
20	May_19_2014	35.13	33.62	33.14	33	33.04	32.83	32.77(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-40	-3	-40	3.28	44%	0.14	-12	2.75%	0	-1.2	35	INF

21	May_16_2014	35.08	33.63	33.32	33.08	33.1	32.88	32.85(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-40	-8	-34	2.58	44%	0.14	-18.9	2.85%	0	-1.1	45	INF
22	May_15_2014	35.03	33.62	33.46	33.07	33.22	33.26	32.88(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	20	-1	-36	3.86	44%	-0.09	-35	2.88%	0	-1	38	INF
23	May_14_2014	35.06	33.64	33.51	33.1	33.2	33.31	33.54(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	30	4	-34	3.58	47%	0.17	-50.5	2.89%	0	-0.1	51	INF
24	May_13_2014	35	33.63	33.56	33.03	33.11	33.19	32.95(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	20	-5	-42	2.23	51%	0.17	-67.3	2.92%	0	-0.9	43	INF
25	May_12_2014	34.94	33.71	33.74	33.32	33.24	33.08	33.17(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-40	-8	-27	3.01	49%		-54.7	3.04%	0	-0.7	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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