Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDXJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF)
GDXJ latest price $35.0781 (1.71%) ($34.8723 - $35.8077) on Fri. Apr. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.4% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $35.0781(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDXJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDXJ declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDXJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(43%)    SIL(42%)    GLD(33%)    SLV(22%)    TIP(22%)
Factors Impacting GDXJ price   GDXJ will decline at least -1.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-34%)    XLF(-4%)    XLP(-1%)    SPY(-1%)    SMH(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.7% (StdDev 3.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.33(-39.19%)
Resistance Level   $36.74
5 Day Moving Average   $34.46(1.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.57(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.74(-4.52%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 7.24% (three month std-dev: 3.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2014	35.17	36.74	34.57	34.46	34.72	34.95	35.08(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	70	5	-80	3.39	62%	0	-48.9	3.4%	0	-0.6	34	0
2	Apr_3_2014	35.17	36.97	34.76	34.42	34.47	34.8	34.49(-2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	70	3	-101	3.62	62%	-0.03	-46.9	3.43%	0	-0.9	27	0
3	Apr_2_2014	35.18	37.28	35.02	34.46	34.51	34.5	35.33(5.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	0	14	-116	6.94	63%	0.03	-43.9	3.41%	0	-0.7	28	0
4	Apr_1_2014	35.17	37.51	35.16	34.1	34.27	34.14	33.5(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-10	-14	-151	2.69	62%	-0.09	-46.2	3.41%	0	-1.5	28	0
5	Mar_31_2014	35.2	37.81	35.68	34.51	34.44	34.52	33.88(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	10	-3	-138	4.49	63%	-0.06	-46.2	3.43%	0	-1.6	36	0

6	Mar_28_2014	35.22	38.09	36.26	34.69	34.69	34.4	34.88(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-60	-9	-133	3.66	63%	0	-51.4	3.41%	0	-1.4	39	0
7	Mar_27_2014	35.22	38.3	36.91	35.17	34.9	34.36	34.71(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-130	-25	-121	4.12	63%	-0.03	-51.9	3.44%	0	-1.6	36	0
8	Mar_26_2014	35.23	38.51	37.61	35.69	35.81	34.98	33.53(-5.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-150	-23	-104	6.24	62%	-0.09	-53.3	3.43%	0	-2.4	29	0
9	Mar_25_2014	35.26	38.79	38.33	36.37	36.42	35.44	35.53(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-180	-34	-93	3.86	65%	0.03	-52.1	3.34%	0	-1.9	37	0
10	Mar_24_2014	35.25	39.02	38.7	37.04	37.03	36.64	34.78(-6.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-46	-70	-35	-78	7.69	66%	-0.03	-47.8	3.36%	0	-2.6	38	0

11	Mar_21_2014	35.26	39.34	39.14	38.05	37.92	37.4	37.28(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-110	-22	-53	2.44	69%	0.09	-39.9	3.24%	0	-1.6	44	0
12	Mar_20_2014	35.23	39.49	39.41	38.95	38.67	37.42	37.32(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-40	-250	-42	-34	4.3	69%	0.11	-21.7	3.27%	0	-1.8	47	0
13	Mar_19_2014	35.19	39.65	39.76	39.87	39.98	38.45	36.92(-5.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-31	-260	-41	-1	4.91	69%	0.09	9.6	3.29%	0	-2.3	47	0
14	Mar_18_2014	35.16	39.72	40.09	40.57	40.83	39.93	38.91(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-13	-140	-27	30	3.95	72%	0.17	24.3	3.23%	0	-0.8	54	0
15	Mar_17_2014	35.1	39.81	40.14	40.58	41.09	41.5	39.83(-4.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	12	110	3	40	5.5	72%	0.23	38.3	3.24%	0	0	51	0

16	Mar_14_2014	35.02	39.87	40.1	40.35	40.7	41.74	41.74(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	200	30	39	4.39	76%	0.34	53.4	3.19%	0	1.7	52	0
17	Mar_13_2014	34.9	39.76	39.78	39.96	39.91	40.68	41.93(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	22	130	23	20	5.09	76%	0.37	72.6	3.21%	0	2.1	57	0
18	Mar_12_2014	34.77	39.54	39.43	39.72	39.51	39.66	40.46(3.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	10	9	0	4.38	75%	0.32	84.5	3.22%	0	0.9	50	0
19	Mar_11_2014	34.66	39.47	39.23	39.6	39.63	39.13	38.92(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-90	-6	-6	2.28	74%	0.23	107.1	3.22%	0	-0.5	57	0
20	Mar_10_2014	34.58	39.4	39.31	39.65	39.74	39.37	38.71(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-60	-13	-11	2.89	74%	0.23	118.3	3.25%	0	-0.6	44	0

21	Mar_7_2014	34.5	39.29	39.53	39.76	39.67	39.37	39.76(-2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	70	3	-4	2.77	74%	0.29	111.2	3.25%	0	0.4	45	0
22	Mar_6_2014	34.4	39.03	39.56	39.54	39.76	40.12	40.74(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	80	26	2	3.04	74%	0.38	85.6	3.25%	0	1	54	0
23	Mar_5_2014	34.27	38.69	39.5	39.09	39.26	39.22	39.88(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	10	4	-7	2.79	74%	0.32	65.5	3.28%	0	0.6	60	0
24	Mar_4_2014	34.16	38.43	39.31	38.82	39.26	39.4	39.18(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	80	-0	-20	1.8	74%	0.29	59.7	3.31%	0	0.3	52	0
25	Mar_3_2014	34.06	38.15	39.45	38.94	39.03	39.29	39.24(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	50	4	-3	3.43	74%		57.4	3.34%	0	0.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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