Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Mon. May. 20, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $33.2500 (-0.6%) ($33.0200 - $33.3800) on Tue. Oct. 26, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $33.2500(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDXJ(98%)    SIL(95%)    GLD(79%)    SLV(79%)    BWX(48%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-27%)    VIXM(-17%)    TBT(-13%)    VXX(-8%)    EDOC(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV -0.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.06(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.77(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.48(5.62%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 4.76% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(63%) Average negative next day return: -2.05%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.92%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -4.85%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.11%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.97%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2021	33	31.48	32.77	33.06	33.16	33.34	33.25(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	50	7	140	14.85	61%	-0.15	55.5	1.64%	-0.2	1.2	80	1.2
2	Oct_25_2021	33.05	31.29	32.57	32.91	33.07	33.36	33.45(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	80	25	156	16.88	61%	-0.15	50.6	1.64%	0.8	1.5	85	1.4
3	Oct_22_2021	33.1	31.09	32.29	32.66	32.86	32.97	32.99(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	40	14	149	29.54	61%	-0.18	45.6	1.64%	0.3	1.4	84	1.5
4	Oct_21_2021	33.16	30.92	32.07	32.57	32.63	32.78	32.73(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	40	2	157	13.48	61%	-0.21	41.1	1.64%	0	1.3	85	1.8
5	Oct_20_2021	33.23	30.8	31.84	32.59	32.53	32.75	32.86(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	40	15	179	15.36	61%	-0.18	38.2	1.64%	0.9	1.6	84	1.7

6	Oct_19_2021	33.29	30.67	31.59	32.45	32.49	32.47	32.5(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	63	-0	19	194	13.99	58%	-0.03	31.4	1.63%	-0.1	1.5	85	1.9
7	Oct_18_2021	33.3	30.56	31.32	32.18	32.28	32.31	32.22(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	55	20	13	180	15.35	58%	-0.24	20.1	1.65%	-1.1	1.5	76	2.1
8	Oct_15_2021	33.38	30.47	31.07	31.85	31.94	32.5	32.52(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	62	130	28	164	19.73	55%	-0.21	8.8	1.69%	-0.4	2	74	2
9	Oct_14_2021	33.45	30.37	30.75	31.48	31.54	32.26	32.85(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	77	170	53	150	25.01	55%	-0.18	-6.2	1.69%	1.2	2.7	78	1.9
10	Oct_13_2021	33.51	30.32	30.4	30.99	31.1	31.37	32.15(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	54	70	37	103	36.48	53%	-0.24	-22.9	1.67%	1.4	2.2	61	1.5

11	Oct_12_2021	33.59	30.3	30.07	30.63	30.72	30.82	31.14(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	30	15	56	25.17	50%	-0.27	-34.5	1.63%	1.5	1	55	1.4
12	Oct_11_2021	33.68	30.34	29.89	30.35	30.48	30.83	30.58(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	90	19	27	17.42	48%	-0.27	-45.5	1.62%	-0.4	0.3	49	1.3
13	Oct_8_2021	33.77	30.38	29.79	30.17	30.19	30.62	30.67(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	100	33	10	28.71	48%	-0.27	-54.2	1.64%	0.8	0.3	48	1.9
14	Oct_7_2021	33.86	30.43	29.68	29.9	29.83	30.13	30.4(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	60	22	-26	18.25	48%	-0.27	-60.9	1.66%	1	-0	41	1.4
15	Oct_6_2021	33.95	30.51	29.68	29.72	29.62	29.76	30.34(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	20	21	-58	28.4	48%	-0.26	-63.9	1.66%	2.4	-0.2	29	0.7

16	Oct_5_2021	34.04	30.61	29.67	29.43	29.5	29.54	29.78(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	20	7	-104	21.3	46%	-0.29	-67	1.64%	1.4	-0.7	21	0.5
17	Oct_4_2021	34.14	30.77	29.73	29.43	29.38	29.48	29.67(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	30	2	-130	25.24	46%	-0.26	-66.6	1.65%	0.6	-0.9	23	-0.2
18	Oct_1_2021	34.23	30.91	29.81	29.35	29.32	29.45	29.33(-0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-35	30	1	-141	20.66	46%	-0.23	-58.2	1.66%	0.1	-1.2	29	-0
19	Sep_30_2021	34.31	31.07	29.97	29.42	29.41	29.28	29.47(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	-30	-7	-153	29.77	46%	-0.2	-55.2	1.66%	1.2	-1.3	27	-0.8
20	Sep_29_2021	34.38	31.22	30.23	29.63	29.48	29.19	28.91(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-62	-80	-31	-153	34.06	44%	-0.26	-51	1.64%	-1.2	-1.9	18	-1.1

21	Sep_28_2021	34.47	31.4	30.56	29.94	29.88	29.55	29.37(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-50	-80	-22	-132	35.63	44%	-0.23	-48.2	1.63%	-0.9	-1.8	19	-1.1
22	Sep_27_2021	34.55	31.57	30.84	30.16	30.23	29.78	29.68(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-51	-100	-23	-133	15.95	44%	-0.23	-40.4	1.63%	-1.5	-1.8	16	1.3
23	Sep_24_2021	34.63	31.67	31.03	30.34	30.37	30.22	29.68(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-30	-28	-135	14.29	44%	-0.26	-36.6	1.63%	0	-2.1	28	1.8
24	Sep_22_2021	34.72	31.78	31.26	30.58	30.58	30.69	30.5(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	30	-11	-122	26.78	46%	-0.14	-34.5	1.59%	-0.4	-1.6	34	-0.6
25	Sep_21_2021	34.77	31.87	31.43	30.94	30.69	30.51	30.47(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-70	-20	-109	23.26	48%		-25.2	1.59%	0.1	-1.8	32	-2.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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