Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $25.1074 (2.14%) ($24.7900 - $25.1273) on Tue. Sep. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $25.1074(2.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(91%)    GLD(75%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(45%)    XME(42%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(1%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.48(2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.93(4.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.34(7.57%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 3.47% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.46%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.12%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -2.22%(62%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.62%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.09%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2017	22.45	23.34	23.93	24.48	24.46	24.75	25.11(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	62	80	27	166	67.57	70%	0.04	69.7	1.45%	0	2.2	84	0
2	Sep_1_2017	22.44	23.18	23.72	24.27	24.29	24.42	24.58(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	40	29	160	31.75	68%	0	63.9	1.42%	0	1.9	75	0
3	Aug_31_2017	22.44	23.05	23.54	24	24.09	24.42	24.52(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	30	22	128	51.43	68%	0.04	55.6	1.43%	0	2.2	68	0
4	Aug_30_2017	22.43	22.95	23.36	23.73	23.82	24.17	23.97(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	110	22	104	41.44	66%	-0.04	52.5	1.4%	0	1.7	64	0
5	Aug_29_2017	22.44	22.87	23.25	23.55	23.59	24	24.22(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	130	41	103	53.71	66%	0.04	47.1	1.41%	0	2.5	73	0

6	Aug_28_2017	22.43	22.79	23.06	23.29	23.27	23.48	24.07(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	39	60	26	76	83.13	66%	0.04	46.7	1.42%	0	2.8	75	0
7	Aug_25_2017	22.42	22.71	22.91	23.1	23.09	23.17	23.22(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	20	11	66	27.14	61%	0	57.3	1.35%	0	1.5	70	0
8	Aug_24_2017	22.42	22.68	22.88	23	23.03	23.07	23.16(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	20	7	69	37.21	61%	0	60.3	1.36%	0	1.5	67	0
9	Aug_23_2017	22.42	22.64	22.85	22.94	22.99	23.01	23.07(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	10	4	69	28.78	57%	0	62.4	1.37%	0	1.4	58	0
10	Aug_22_2017	22.42	22.62	22.79	22.9	22.96	22.98	22.91(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	10	9	64	38.88	57%	-0.04	67.9	1.39%	0	0.9	54	0

11	Aug_21_2017	22.43	22.58	22.71	22.8	22.87	22.97	23.12(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	40	11	46	45.54	57%	0.04	56.8	1.4%	0	1.6	57	0
12	Aug_18_2017	22.42	22.52	22.6	22.7	22.71	22.94	22.75(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	70	4	23	55.75	50%	0	53.6	1.39%	0	0.7	51	0
13	Aug_17_2017	22.42	22.49	22.54	22.75	22.71	22.77	22.85(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	30	10	20	38.29	50%	0	65.5	1.44%	0	1.1	51	0
14	Aug_16_2017	22.42	22.46	22.51	22.76	22.64	22.48	22.9(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-70	4	21	50.67	50%	0.04	78.9	1.46%	0	1.4	58	0
15	Aug_15_2017	22.41	22.41	22.47	22.66	22.69	22.5	22.38(-1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-50	-7	6	34.48	46%	-0.04	76.9	1.43%	0	-0.1	45	0

16	Aug_14_2017	22.42	22.39	22.47	22.6	22.7	22.79	22.65(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	40	8	14	39.97	46%	0	75	1.42%	0	0.8	60	0
17	Aug_11_2017	22.42	22.35	22.49	22.47	22.56	22.87	22.96(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	110	24	21	34.55	49%	0	67.7	1.43%	0	1.7	68	0
18	Aug_10_2017	22.42	22.28	22.46	22.31	22.35	22.61	22.9(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	90	20	10	65.06	49%	0	57.7	1.45%	0	1.6	59	0
19	Aug_9_2017	22.42	22.21	22.4	22.23	22.2	22.25	22.42(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	10	2	-0	46.82	46%	-0.04	54.4	1.44%	0	0.6	55	0
20	Aug_8_2017	22.43	22.17	22.43	22.27	22.25	22.09	22.07(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-50	-11	9	34.66	43%	-0.04	53.5	1.43%	0	-0.2	53	0

21	Aug_7_2017	22.44	22.14	22.44	22.37	22.38	22.15	22.02(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-70	-20	19	32.33	43%	0	58.3	1.43%	0	-0.3	54	0
22	Aug_4_2017	22.44	22.11	22.43	22.5	22.52	22.4	22.14(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-30	-17	36	50.89	47%	-0.04	55.4	1.45%	0	0.1	59	0
23	Aug_3_2017	22.45	22.06	22.45	22.62	22.52	22.61	22.52(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10	1	67	24.21	49%	0	54.1	1.45%	0	0.9	69	0
24	Aug_2_2017	22.45	22	22.41	22.59	22.64	22.64	22.59(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	10	-2	78	27.19	49%	0.09	44.8	1.46%	0	1.2	74	0
25	Aug_1_2017	22.43	21.95	22.35	22.61	22.63	22.67	22.59(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	20	8	93	27.12	45%		42.1	1.46%	0	1.3	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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