Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $23.6591 (-0.33%) ($23.2623 - $24.7900) on Wed. Feb. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.83% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $23.6591(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(91%)    GLD(75%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(46%)    XME(41%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    IPO(-5%)    VIXM(-0%)    UNG(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.415% (StdDev 2.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.22(1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.24(1.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.89(3.36%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   26%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 2.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.41%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.31%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 5.88%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.02%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.46%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.13%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2017	22.73	22.89	23.24	23.22	23.35	23.7	23.66(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	120	11	28	56.37	44%	-0.13	113.4	2.83%	0	1.5	65	0
2	Jan_31_2017	22.76	22.79	23.15	23.14	23.09	23.37	23.74(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	80	8	27	92.96	46%	-0.13	122.8	2.85%	0	1.7	65	0
3	Jan_30_2017	22.79	22.65	23.09	23.12	22.98	22.99	22.96(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-20	-2	30	35.26	43%	-0.13	146.6	2.84%	0	0.6	61	0
4	Jan_27_2017	22.82	22.58	23.05	23.25	23.11	22.81	23.03(1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-110	-3	40	49.01	43%	-0.22	139.9	2.84%	0	0.7	63	0
5	Jan_26_2017	22.87	22.44	23	23.25	23.24	22.96	22.69(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-80	-8	33	68.36	43%	-0.22	144.6	2.84%	0	0.4	46	0

6	Jan_25_2017	22.92	22.31	22.98	23.23	23.27	23.42	23.28(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	50	2	44	64.68	43%	-0.26	120.1	2.83%	0	1.1	67	0
7	Jan_24_2017	22.98	22.11	22.9	23.14	23.13	23.52	23.64(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	120	12	51	78.46	43%	0.04	102.7	2.84%	0	1.5	72	0
8	Jan_23_2017	22.97	21.88	22.76	23.05	22.96	23.12	23.62(2.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	25	40	13	61	87.9	43%	-0.17	104.9	2.86%	0	1.7	77	0
9	Jan_20_2017	23.01	21.65	22.76	22.84	22.92	22.75	22.93(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-40	4	54	56.21	41%	-0.13	85.5	2.83%	0	1.1	62	0
10	Jan_19_2017	23.04	21.46	22.61	22.74	22.92	22.8	22.7(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	10	-3	73	60.29	41%	-0.09	67.3	2.83%	0	1	71	0

11	Jan_18_2017	23.06	21.28	22.52	22.68	22.79	23.09	22.83(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	110	10	95	75.03	44%	-0.13	56	2.85%	0	1.1	74	0
12	Jan_17_2017	23.09	21.08	22.4	22.6	22.61	22.78	23.17(2.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	50	12	115	94.25	44%	-0.35	47.3	2.88%	0	1.4	78	0
13	Jan_13_2017	23.17	20.86	22.17	22.42	22.42	22.5	22.56(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	20	3	123	48.98	44%	-0.22	35.4	2.86%	0	1.1	78	0
14	Jan_12_2017	23.22	20.71	22.07	22.35	22.46	22.45	22.44(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	36	10	-1	146	67.12	44%	-0.17	29.5	2.87%	0	1.1	78	0
15	Jan_11_2017	23.26	20.62	21.85	22.47	22.39	22.35	22.39(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	-20	1	169	75.44	44%	-0.3	32.4	2.88%	0	1.2	77	0

16	Jan_10_2017	23.33	20.52	21.59	22.34	22.48	22.47	22.44(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	20	8	177	69.93	44%	-0.3	29.6	2.9%	0	1.3	78	0
17	Jan_9_2017	23.4	20.41	21.28	22.17	22.29	22.42	22.28(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	54	60	12	178	61.16	44%	-0.3	25.6	2.9%	0	1.4	77	0
18	Jan_6_2017	23.47	20.34	20.95	21.86	21.98	22.5	22.21(-3.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	180	13	167	123.85	42%	-0.38	23.4	2.9%	0	1.5	78	0
19	Jan_5_2017	23.56	20.27	20.63	21.73	21.7	22.16	23.01(5.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	68	140	35	166	135.14	44%	-0.3	24	2.89%	0	2.3	72	0
20	Jan_4_2017	23.63	20.15	20.21	21.15	21.29	21.46	21.74(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	80	23	114	59.11	35%	-0.38	12	2.8%	0	1.5	54	0

21	Jan_3_2017	23.72	20.1	19.92	20.74	20.82	21.24	21.59(4.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	150	22	69	83.24	35%	-0.67	0.8	3.05%	0	1.5	55	0
22	Dec_30_2016	23.88	20.07	19.64	20.26	20.41	21.11	20.75(-3.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	260	30	32	142.04	32%	-0.42	-9.6	3.01%	0	0.7	51	0
23	Dec_29_2016	23.98	20.04	19.44	19.89	19.87	20.39	21.58(7.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.8	24	180	35	-10	140.32	33%	-0.42	-19.8	2.98%	0	1.6	49	0
24	Dec_28_2016	24.08	19.98	19.22	19.37	19.37	19.7	20.08(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	120	17	-65	61.69	26%	-0.41	-40.4	2.81%	0	0.1	36	0
25	Dec_27_2016	24.18	20.02	19.27	19.15	19.16	19.34	19.71(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	70	14	-82	60.06	26%		-47.6	2.82%	0	-0.3	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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