Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $15.4758 (-2.95%) ($15.3189 - $16.2898) on Mon. Oct. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.68% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $15.4758(-2.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(76%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(46%)    GDXJ(32%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    TBT(-17%)    XLRE(0%)    VIXM(1%)    XHB(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.84% (StdDev 3.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.44(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.66(5.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.11(9.68%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   21%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 6.73% (three month std-dev: 3.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 4.8%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.55%(62%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 4.26%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -5.05%(52%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 8.96%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.49%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2015	15.36	14.11	14.66	15.44	15.55	15.81	15.48(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	140	10	133	73.83	52%	-0.26	71.3	3.68%	0	1.4	69	INF
2	Oct_9_2015	15.4	13.97	14.42	15.31	15.4	15.52	15.95(5.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	70	18	125	86.93	52%	-0.26	68.4	3.66%	0	2.2	65	INF
3	Oct_8_2015	15.44	13.82	14.19	14.97	15.1	15.52	15.11(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	110	18	100	62.81	50%	-0.26	64.8	3.6%	0	1.6	56	INF
4	Oct_7_2015	15.48	13.7	14.06	14.58	14.77	15.29	15.31(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	290	24	76	53.68	48%	-0.32	50.5	3.6%	0	2.1	59	INF
5	Oct_6_2015	15.53	13.57	13.83	14.21	14.28	14.92	15.38(3.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	35	330	31	47	92.65	48%	-0.32	38.5	3.65%	0	2.7	62	INF

6	Oct_5_2015	15.58	13.46	13.59	13.76	13.77	14.26	14.83(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	24	250	26	18	102.2	47%	-0.32	20.3	3.62%	0	2.5	65	INF
7	Oct_2_2015	15.63	13.37	13.46	13.41	13.43	13.65	14.21(8.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	8	120	11	-2	98.24	46%	-0.45	-5.3	3.6%	0	1.9	62	INF
8	Oct_1_2015	15.7	13.31	13.44	13.31	13.25	13.29	13.15(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	10	-7	-2	54.11	42%	-0.44	-17.2	3.46%	0	-0.4	54	INF
9	Sep_30_2015	15.77	13.31	13.52	13.47	13.34	13.21	13.48(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	9	-100	3	27	41.34	42%	-0.44	-0.3	3.46%	0	0.4	58	INF
10	Sep_29_2015	15.84	13.32	13.54	13.38	13.34	13.22	13.15(0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-100	-3	27	34.73	42%	-0.38	-6.8	3.45%	0	-0.4	55	INF

11	Sep_28_2015	15.9	13.35	13.52	13.37	13.34	13.47	13.06(-4.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	30	-9	20	67.21	42%	-0.44	-7.6	3.44%	0	-0.7	49	INF
12	Sep_25_2015	15.97	13.39	13.51	13.5	13.45	13.68	13.71(-1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	7	110	-1	30	34.89	43%	-0.37	-10.3	3.4%	0	0.7	57	INF
13	Sep_24_2015	16.03	13.38	13.44	13.6	13.5	13.42	13.95(7.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-60	1	37	102.66	43%	-0.31	-24.9	3.4%	0	1.3	60	INF
14	Sep_23_2015	16.08	13.32	13.33	13.61	13.64	13.22	13(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-210	-12	29	38	40%	-0.43	-46.1	3.26%	0	-0.7	46	INF
15	Sep_22_2015	16.15	13.35	13.32	13.73	13.77	13.57	13.1(-4.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	5	-90	-5	35	73.79	40%	-0.43	-49.7	3.26%	0	-0.6	47	INF

16	Sep_21_2015	16.22	13.38	13.34	13.68	13.81	14.05	13.73(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	150	12	32	58.5	41%	-0.43	-61.1	3.22%	0	0.8	47	INF
17	Sep_18_2015	16.29	13.44	13.28	13.5	13.55	13.98	14.2(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	230	21	11	53.11	42%	-0.31	-49.8	3.21%	0	1.3	50	INF
18	Sep_17_2015	16.34	13.49	13.16	13.25	13.21	13.57	13.99(2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	180	20	-14	79.25	43%	-0.43	-42.8	3.21%	0	0.7	55	INF
19	Sep_16_2015	16.41	13.53	13.09	13.02	12.97	13.12	13.62(5.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	70	12	-28	81.36	43%	-0.36	-49.4	3.21%	0	0.1	62	INF
20	Sep_15_2015	16.47	13.56	13.06	12.87	12.87	12.85	12.86(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10	-4	-48	26.4	40%	-0.42	-52.1	3.12%	0	-0.9	44	INF

21	Sep_14_2015	16.54	13.66	13.15	12.96	12.91	12.81	12.82(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-70	-5	-43	37.08	40%	-0.36	-44.9	3.12%	0	-1	38	INF
22	Sep_11_2015	16.6	13.73	13.26	13.02	13.02	12.88	12.96(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-80	-4	-52	63.78	40%	-0.42	-38.6	3.12%	0	-1	30	INF
23	Sep_10_2015	16.67	13.8	13.26	13.06	13.08	13	12.87(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-40	-8	-76	33.09	40%	-0.36	-31.5	3.11%	0	-1.2	26	INF
24	Sep_9_2015	16.73	13.92	13.32	13.16	13.15	13.15	12.88(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-0	-6	-95	54.37	40%	-0.42	-14.6	3.12%	0	-1.3	34	INF
25	Sep_8_2015	16.8	13.99	13.38	13.26	13.24	13.16	13.29(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-50	-6	-102	36.83	40%		-4.6	3.1%	0	-0.9	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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