Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $14.8285 (4.35%) ($14.2989 - $14.8873) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.62% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $14.8285(4.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(76%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(46%)    GDXJ(32%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    TBT(-17%)    VIXM(0%)    XHB(3%)    UNG(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.81% (StdDev 3.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.76(7.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.59(9.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.46(10.17%)
To recent high   -15.3%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 4.09% (three month std-dev: 3.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.64%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.82%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.64%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2015	15.58	13.46	13.59	13.76	13.77	14.26	14.83(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	24	250	26	18	102.2	47%	-0.32	20.3	3.62%	0	2.5	65	0
2	Oct_2_2015	15.63	13.37	13.46	13.41	13.43	13.65	14.21(8.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	8	120	11	-2	98.24	46%	-0.45	-5.3	3.6%	0	1.9	62	0
3	Oct_1_2015	15.7	13.31	13.44	13.31	13.25	13.29	13.15(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	10	-7	-2	54.11	42%	-0.44	-17.2	3.46%	0	-0.4	54	0
4	Sep_30_2015	15.77	13.31	13.52	13.47	13.34	13.21	13.48(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	9	-100	3	27	41.34	42%	-0.44	-0.3	3.46%	0	0.4	58	0
5	Sep_29_2015	15.84	13.32	13.54	13.38	13.34	13.22	13.15(0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-100	-3	27	34.73	42%	-0.38	-6.8	3.45%	0	-0.4	55	0

6	Sep_28_2015	15.9	13.35	13.52	13.37	13.34	13.47	13.06(-4.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	30	-9	20	67.21	42%	-0.44	-7.6	3.44%	0	-0.7	49	0
7	Sep_25_2015	15.97	13.39	13.51	13.5	13.45	13.68	13.71(-1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	7	110	-1	30	34.89	43%	-0.37	-10.3	3.4%	0	0.7	57	0
8	Sep_24_2015	16.03	13.38	13.44	13.6	13.5	13.42	13.95(7.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-60	1	37	102.66	43%	-0.31	-24.9	3.4%	0	1.3	60	0
9	Sep_23_2015	16.08	13.32	13.33	13.61	13.64	13.22	13(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-210	-12	29	38	40%	-0.43	-46.1	3.26%	0	-0.7	46	0
10	Sep_22_2015	16.15	13.35	13.32	13.73	13.77	13.57	13.1(-4.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	5	-90	-5	35	73.79	40%	-0.43	-49.7	3.26%	0	-0.6	47	0

11	Sep_21_2015	16.22	13.38	13.34	13.68	13.81	14.05	13.73(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	150	12	32	58.5	41%	-0.43	-61.1	3.22%	0	0.8	47	0
12	Sep_18_2015	16.29	13.44	13.28	13.5	13.55	13.98	14.2(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	230	21	11	53.11	42%	-0.31	-49.8	3.21%	0	1.3	50	0
13	Sep_17_2015	16.34	13.49	13.16	13.25	13.21	13.57	13.99(2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	180	20	-14	79.25	43%	-0.43	-42.8	3.21%	0	0.7	55	0
14	Sep_16_2015	16.41	13.53	13.09	13.02	12.97	13.12	13.62(5.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	70	12	-28	81.36	43%	-0.36	-49.4	3.21%	0	0.1	62	0
15	Sep_15_2015	16.47	13.56	13.06	12.87	12.87	12.85	12.86(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10	-4	-48	26.4	40%	-0.42	-52.1	3.12%	0	-0.9	44	0

16	Sep_14_2015	16.54	13.66	13.15	12.96	12.91	12.81	12.82(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-70	-5	-43	37.08	40%	-0.36	-44.9	3.12%	0	-1	38	0
17	Sep_11_2015	16.6	13.73	13.26	13.02	13.02	12.88	12.96(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-80	-4	-52	63.78	40%	-0.42	-38.6	3.12%	0	-1	30	0
18	Sep_10_2015	16.67	13.8	13.26	13.06	13.08	13	12.87(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-40	-8	-76	33.09	40%	-0.36	-31.5	3.11%	0	-1.2	26	0
19	Sep_9_2015	16.73	13.92	13.32	13.16	13.15	13.15	12.88(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-0	-6	-95	54.37	40%	-0.42	-14.6	3.12%	0	-1.3	34	0
20	Sep_8_2015	16.8	13.99	13.38	13.26	13.24	13.15	13.29(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-50	-6	-102	36.83	40%	-0.53	-4.6	3.1%	0	-0.9	41	0

21	Sep_4_2015	16.89	14.03	13.44	13.37	13.35	13.16	13.13(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-100	-13	-110	45.57	40%	-0.35	5.4	3.08%	0	-1.2	38	0
22	Sep_3_2015	16.95	14.04	13.62	13.54	13.51	13.33	13.12(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-100	-9	-86	49.77	40%	-0.35	9.7	3.08%	0	-1.2	44	0
23	Sep_2_2015	17.01	14.05	13.85	13.62	13.63	13.55	13.37(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-14	-40	3	-63	38.7	40%	-0.35	12	3.08%	0	-0.9	44	0
24	Sep_1_2015	17.07	14.03	14	13.62	13.58	13.69	13.41(-3.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	70	1	-76	56.98	40%	-0.35	2.8	3.09%	0	-0.8	39	0
25	Aug_31_2015	17.13	14.02	14.11	13.51	13.4	13.72	13.84(-0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	140	4	-73	57.08	41%		0.7	3.07%	0	-0.2	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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