Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $13.0142 (-3.49%) ($12.9259 - $13.4163) on Mon. Aug. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $13.0142(-3.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX declines -6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(76%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(45%)    GDXJ(34%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    TBT(-16%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(3%)    XHB(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-5.37(-141.26%)
Resistance Level   $14.64
5 Day Moving Average   $13.37(-2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.48(-3.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.64(-11.11%)
To recent high   -36.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 10.18% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.82%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.54%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.3%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.24%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2015	18.05	14.64	13.48	13.37	13.39	13.35	13.01(-3.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-50	-20	-6	-180	61.55	21%	-0.28	-62.1	2.22%	0	-1.1	24	0
2	Jul_31_2015	18.1	14.86	13.54	13.42	13.46	13.42	13.48(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-60	-10	-5	-225	41.36	22%	-0.22	-63.3	2.2%	0	-0.9	25	0
3	Jul_30_2015	18.14	15.05	13.69	13.49	13.47	13.44	13.2(-3.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-63	-20	-3	-242	73.23	21%	-0.27	-62.3	2.18%	0	-1.2	22	0
4	Jul_29_2015	18.19	15.24	13.94	13.52	13.49	13.49	13.7(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-65	-10	-2	-252	56.98	22%	-0.22	-66.1	2.17%	0	-1	24	0
5	Jul_28_2015	18.23	15.42	14.15	13.54	13.52	13.5	13.43(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-10	-7	-264	39.22	27%	-0.22	-67.5	2.15%	0	-1.3	21	0

6	Jul_27_2015	18.27	15.63	14.43	13.63	13.58	13.49	13.31(-3.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-66	-60	-4	-252	76.27	27%	-0.27	-68.4	2.22%	0	-1.5	19	0
7	Jul_24_2015	18.32	15.85	14.74	13.66	13.67	13.54	13.81(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-84	-60	-22	-271	141.2	29%	-0.33	-72.3	2.21%	0	-1.4	17	0
8	Jul_23_2015	18.38	16.06	15	13.93	13.81	13.67	13.36(-3.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-100	-100	-41	-275	69.59	28%	-0.38	-72.7	2.16%	0	-1.9	14	0
9	Jul_22_2015	18.45	16.3	15.33	14.42	14.25	13.8	13.81(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-88	-260	-38	-236	39.92	28%	-0.32	-71.4	2.17%	0	-1.9	21	0
10	Jul_21_2015	18.51	16.51	15.61	14.86	14.8	13.94	13.85(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-95	-420	-54	-216	90.06	28%	-0.32	-68.3	2.19%	0	-2.2	20	0

11	Jul_20_2015	18.57	16.73	15.9	15.36	15.35	14.69	13.49(-10.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-98	-300	-66	-193	169.15	24%	-0.43	-67.2	2.16%	0	-3	14	0
12	Jul_17_2015	18.65	16.98	16.32	15.96	15.97	15.65	15.12(-4.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-64	-140	-32	-160	67.37	30%	-0.32	-69.5	1.73%	0	-2.2	18	0
13	Jul_16_2015	18.71	17.16	16.54	16.22	16.19	16	15.84(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-53	-90	-23	-144	20.77	33%	-0.21	-63.3	1.65%	0	-1.7	21	0
14	Jul_15_2015	18.75	17.29	16.66	16.37	16.35	16.28	16(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-47	-30	-14	-145	47.11	38%	-0.21	-61	1.65%	0	-1.7	21	0
15	Jul_14_2015	18.79	17.4	16.8	16.48	16.49	16.38	16.37(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-40	-40	-6	-140	16.5	40%	-0.21	-65.5	1.68%	0	-1.4	23	0

16	Jul_13_2015	18.83	17.49	16.92	16.54	16.55	16.41	16.48(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-60	-22	-149	17.81	40%	-0.21	-68.5	1.69%	0	-1.4	25	0
17	Jul_10_2015	18.87	17.58	17.04	16.74	16.69	16.6	16.43(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-48	-50	-19	-136	31.84	43%	-0.21	-65.9	1.69%	0	-1.7	21	0
18	Jul_9_2015	18.91	17.68	17.18	16.92	16.9	16.69	16.6(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-90	-10	-129	14.4	43%	-0.21	-65.7	1.73%	0	-1.7	19	0
19	Jul_8_2015	18.95	17.78	17.32	16.99	17.03	16.79	16.53(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-52	-90	-23	-137	23.79	43%	-0.16	-69.7	1.73%	0	-2.1	24	0
20	Jul_7_2015	18.98	17.88	17.47	17.16	17.14	17.11	16.65(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-20	-19	-118	66.79	43%	-0.16	-77.5	1.73%	0	-2.3	36	0

21	Jul_6_2015	19.01	17.99	17.61	17.34	17.29	17.26	17.51(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-20	-2	-103	34.57	53%	-0.26	-82	1.65%	0	-1	40	0
22	Jul_2_2015	19.06	18.03	17.68	17.39	17.38	17.16	17.29(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-90	-14	-99	35.64	53%	-0.16	-86.8	1.71%	0	-1.5	37	0
23	Jul_1_2015	19.09	18.11	17.82	17.5	17.53	17.31	16.95(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-80	-26	-88	35.53	56%	-0.21	-84.9	1.7%	0	-2.4	29	0
24	Jun_30_2015	19.13	18.21	17.98	17.71	17.73	17.59	17.42(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-50	-14	-61	32.48	60%	-0.21	-77.5	1.79%	0	-1.7	31	0
25	Jun_29_2015	19.17	18.31	18.05	17.83	17.85	17.75	17.55(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-40	-9	-54	28.76	60%		-68.1	1.81%	0	-1.7	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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