Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $18.7023 (-1.75%) ($18.6729 - $18.8298) on Thu. Jun. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $18.7023(-1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(76%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(45%)    GDXJ(36%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    TBT(-16%)    VIXM(-0%)    UNG(3%)    XHB(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.14(-24.39%)
Resistance Level   $19.53
5 Day Moving Average   $19.09(-2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.15(-2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.53(-4.24%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 2.56% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.24%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.99%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.94%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 5.07%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.01%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2015	19.76	19.53	19.15	19.09	19.13	18.95	18.7(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-28	-60	-13	-71	26.42	55%	-0.1	-35.2	2.19%	0	-1.7	23	0
2	Jun_3_2015	19.78	19.56	19.25	19.19	19.25	19.24	19.04(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	10	-2	-68	37	55%	-0.05	-42.1	2.19%	0	-1.1	26	0
3	Jun_2_2015	19.79	19.61	19.31	19.2	19.23	19.31	19.4(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	30	7	-69	32.91	55%	-0.1	-46.3	2.19%	0	-0.5	42	0
4	Jun_1_2015	19.81	19.64	19.39	19.1	19.14	19.27	19.11(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	50	1	-72	25.07	55%	-0.05	-46.7	2.2%	0	-1.2	44	0
5	May_29_2015	19.82	19.68	19.51	19.16	19.06	19.15	19.2(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	20	-1	-59	16.94	55%	0	-35.3	2.22%	0	-1.1	46	0

6	May_28_2015	19.82	19.7	19.63	19.23	19.13	19.01	19.22(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-60	-6	-45	28.07	55%	0	-29.1	2.24%	0	-1.1	49	0
7	May_27_2015	19.82	19.76	19.74	19.33	19.27	18.97	19.07(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-120	-14	-29	25.46	55%	-0.1	-8.3	2.25%	0	-1.6	49	0
8	May_26_2015	19.84	19.81	19.83	19.44	19.46	19.25	18.87(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-23	-70	-23	-24	48.09	55%	0.1	5	2.26%	0	-2.3	38	0
9	May_22_2015	19.82	19.85	19.92	19.73	19.68	19.57	19.45(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-50	-13	-2	22.21	58%	-0.05	25.5	2.19%	0	-1	42	0
10	May_21_2015	19.83	19.85	19.92	19.91	19.89	19.67	19.56(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-80	-13	7	17.57	58%	0.1	34.5	2.21%	0	-0.7	46	0

11	May_20_2015	19.81	19.83	19.94	20.08	20.07	19.78	19.69(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-100	-17	16	24.32	58%	0.05	43.3	2.22%	0	-0.3	51	0
12	May_19_2015	19.8	19.83	19.91	20.22	20.27	20.12	19.61(-3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-40	-9	18	45.13	58%	0.15	46.1	2.22%	0	-0.4	40	0
13	May_18_2015	19.77	19.8	19.94	20.27	20.39	20.36	20.35(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	7	25	18.19	62%	0.1	55	2.2%	0	1.3	52	0
14	May_15_2015	19.75	19.75	19.9	20.13	20.24	20.43	20.32(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	80	9	23	25.46	62%	0.05	53.2	2.24%	0	1.3	63	0
15	May_14_2015	19.74	19.7	19.85	19.98	20.06	20.42	20.42(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	140	20	28	49.16	62%	0.15	49	2.25%	0	1.8	68	0

16	May_13_2015	19.71	19.64	19.78	19.79	19.81	20.06	20.38(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	90	21	18	48.74	62%	0.15	48.7	2.27%	0	1.9	61	0
17	May_12_2015	19.68	19.6	19.76	19.58	19.54	19.7	19.9(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	50	4	12	32.36	60%	0.15	46.2	2.25%	0	0.8	62	0
18	May_11_2015	19.65	19.56	19.78	19.57	19.49	19.56	19.63(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	10	-1	16	15.76	60%	0.1	46.4	2.25%	0	0.2	51	0
19	May_8_2015	19.63	19.52	19.76	19.64	19.6	19.38	19.59(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-80	-6	19	24.67	60%	0.05	46	2.25%	0	0.2	52	0
20	May_7_2015	19.62	19.5	19.76	19.7	19.74	19.43	19.45(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-100	-13	17	48.92	60%	0.1	50.7	2.27%	0	-0.1	53	0

21	May_6_2015	19.6	19.46	19.71	19.76	19.86	19.82	19.33(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	0	-14	22	46	54%	0.15	48.7	2.28%	0	-0.3	51	0
22	May_5_2015	19.57	19.43	19.68	19.95	19.88	20.05	19.83(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	50	0	34	30.22	56%	0.15	66.8	2.37%	0	0.8	53	0
23	May_4_2015	19.54	19.38	19.65	20.01	19.93	19.89	20.02(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-30	10	50	20.46	56%	0.1	79.8	2.37%	0	1.4	61	0
24	May_1_2015	19.52	19.35	19.59	19.89	19.87	19.71	19.88(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-60	3	46	30.99	56%	0.05	84.5	2.37%	0	1.2	62	0
25	Apr_30_2015	19.51	19.28	19.54	19.71	19.79	19.98	19.72(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	80	4	37	58.55	56%		72	2.38%	0	1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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