Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $19.8988 (1.35%) ($19.6831 - $19.9479) on Tue. May. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.25% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $19.8988(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(76%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(45%)    GDXJ(35%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    TBT(-16%)    VIXM(-0%)    UNG(3%)    XHB(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.125% (StdDev 2.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.58(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.76(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.6(1.52%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 2.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.07%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.32%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.55%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.88%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.61%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.89%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2015	19.68	19.6	19.76	19.58	19.54	19.7	19.9(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	50	4	12	32.36	60%	0.15	46.2	2.25%	0	0.8	62	INF
2	May_11_2015	19.65	19.56	19.78	19.57	19.49	19.56	19.63(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	10	-1	16	15.76	60%	0.1	46.4	2.25%	0	0.2	51	INF
3	May_8_2015	19.63	19.52	19.76	19.64	19.6	19.38	19.59(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-80	-6	19	24.67	60%	0.05	46	2.25%	0	0.2	52	INF
4	May_7_2015	19.62	19.5	19.76	19.7	19.74	19.43	19.45(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-100	-13	17	48.92	60%	0.1	50.7	2.27%	0	-0.1	53	INF
5	May_6_2015	19.6	19.46	19.71	19.76	19.86	19.82	19.33(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	0	-14	22	46	54%	0.15	48.7	2.28%	0	-0.3	51	INF

6	May_5_2015	19.57	19.43	19.68	19.95	19.88	20.05	19.83(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	50	0	34	30.22	56%	0.15	66.8	2.37%	0	0.8	53	INF
7	May_4_2015	19.54	19.38	19.65	20.01	19.93	19.89	20.02(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-30	10	50	20.46	56%	0.1	79.8	2.37%	0	1.4	61	INF
8	May_1_2015	19.52	19.35	19.59	19.89	19.87	19.71	19.88(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-60	3	46	30.99	56%	0.05	84.5	2.37%	0	1.2	62	INF
9	Apr_30_2015	19.51	19.28	19.54	19.71	19.79	19.98	19.72(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	80	4	37	58.55	56%	0.1	72	2.38%	0	1	58	INF
10	Apr_29_2015	19.49	19.24	19.5	19.64	19.65	20.03	20.32(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	31	140	24	50	48.17	60%	0.05	68.8	2.39%	0	2.4	69	INF

11	Apr_28_2015	19.48	19.12	19.42	19.37	19.4	19.61	20.13(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	80	14	37	61.17	55%	0.05	36.2	2.4%	0	2.1	65	INF
12	Apr_27_2015	19.47	19.02	19.3	19.26	19.24	19.28	19.38(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	10	1	27	56.81	52%	0.1	18.6	2.39%	0	0.8	58	INF
13	Apr_24_2015	19.45	18.97	19.26	19.27	19.27	19.19	18.99(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-30	-4	22	41.54	52%	0	14.5	2.41%	0	0	47	INF
14	Apr_23_2015	19.45	18.96	19.27	19.34	19.3	19.2	19.4(2.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-40	-3	33	43.06	52%	0.05	22.6	2.42%	0	1	60	INF
15	Apr_22_2015	19.44	18.93	19.19	19.33	19.36	19.35	18.94(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	0	-8	28	52.3	49%	0	27.7	2.42%	0	0	53	INF

16	Apr_21_2015	19.44	18.95	19.18	19.47	19.44	19.4	19.59(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-20	6	55	18.31	53%	0	53.6	2.39%	0	1.4	70	INF
17	Apr_20_2015	19.44	18.93	19.1	19.36	19.41	19.36	19.45(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10	4	55	22.55	53%	0.1	65.1	2.4%	0	1.2	65	INF
18	Apr_17_2015	19.42	18.9	19.08	19.24	19.34	19.48	19.34(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	70	4	57	25.58	53%	0	74.8	2.44%	0	1	59	INF
19	Apr_16_2015	19.42	18.85	19.01	19.19	19.22	19.45	19.36(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	90	14	58	36.43	53%	0	77.2	2.46%	0	1.2	56	INF
20	Apr_15_2015	19.42	18.81	18.96	19.03	19.09	19.19	19.59(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	50	14	44	45.62	58%	-0.05	75.8	2.49%	0	1.9	55	INF

21	Apr_14_2015	19.43	18.71	18.79	18.85	18.88	19	19.04(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	50	2	12	24.95	56%	0	62.7	2.57%	0	0.7	47	INF
22	Apr_13_2015	19.43	18.65	18.7	18.81	18.83	18.99	18.89(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	60	0	-6	24.57	51%	0	57.4	2.57%	0	0.5	44	INF
23	Apr_10_2015	19.43	18.59	18.66	18.9	18.84	18.77	19.08(2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-40	5	-4	41.73	54%	0	54.4	2.65%	0	0.9	51	INF
24	Apr_9_2015	19.43	18.53	18.61	18.81	18.91	18.67	18.55(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-70	-7	-11	19.14	56%	-0.05	32.3	2.65%	0	0	54	INF
25	Apr_8_2015	19.44	18.5	18.66	18.87	18.94	18.91	18.72(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	0	3	2	30.5	56%		19.8	2.71%	0	0.4	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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