Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. Apr. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $19.3398 (-0.1%) ($19.2761 - $19.6733) on Sun. Apr. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.44% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $19.3398(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.22% (StdDev 2.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.24(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.08(1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.9(2.33%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 2.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(71%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 0.48%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -1.26%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 0.96%(14%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.74%(86%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2015	19.42	18.9	19.08	19.24	19.34	19.48	19.34(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	70	4	57	25.58	53%	0	74.8	2.44%	0	1	59	0
2	Apr_16_2015	19.42	18.85	19.01	19.19	19.22	19.45	19.36(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	90	14	58	36.43	53%	0	77.2	2.46%	0	1.2	56	0
3	Apr_15_2015	19.42	18.81	18.96	19.03	19.09	19.19	19.59(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	50	14	44	45.62	58%	-0.05	75.8	2.49%	0	1.9	55	0
4	Apr_14_2015	19.43	18.71	18.79	18.85	18.88	19	19.04(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	50	2	12	24.95	56%	0	62.7	2.57%	0	0.7	47	0
5	Apr_13_2015	19.43	18.65	18.7	18.81	18.83	18.99	18.89(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	60	0	-6	24.57	51%	0	57.4	2.57%	0	0.5	44	0

6	Apr_10_2015	19.43	18.59	18.66	18.9	18.84	18.77	19.08(2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-40	5	-4	41.73	54%	0	54.4	2.65%	0	0.9	51	0
7	Apr_9_2015	19.43	18.53	18.61	18.81	18.91	18.67	18.55(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-70	-7	-11	19.14	56%	-0.05	32.3	2.65%	0	0	54	0
8	Apr_8_2015	19.44	18.5	18.66	18.87	18.94	18.91	18.72(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	0	3	2	30.5	56%	-0.05	19.8	2.71%	0	0.4	54	0
9	Apr_7_2015	19.45	18.43	18.7	18.7	18.87	19.14	18.82(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	130	11	12	51.15	56%	0	-8.8	2.72%	0	0.6	63	0
10	Apr_6_2015	19.45	18.37	18.75	18.56	18.62	18.97	19.32(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	140	17	23	50.55	60%	0.15	-34.4	2.71%	0	1.5	65	0

11	Apr_2_2015	19.42	18.31	18.7	18.39	18.35	18.59	18.62(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	90	6	21	47.54	57%	0.05	-58.3	2.75%	0	0.5	61	0
12	Apr_1_2015	19.41	18.36	18.68	18.4	18.31	18.27	18.84(5.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-30	1	27	82.6	57%	0.05	-59.6	2.77%	0	0.7	64	0
13	Mar_31_2015	19.4	18.39	18.65	18.43	18.43	18.1	17.89(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-130	-19	29	34.26	53%	0.05	-57.1	2.71%	0	-0.6	53	0
14	Mar_30_2015	19.39	18.49	18.64	18.71	18.73	18.35	18.11(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-140	-21	51	37.55	53%	0	-44.1	2.71%	0	-0.4	63	0
15	Mar_27_2015	19.39	18.59	18.61	18.96	19.02	18.76	18.48(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-90	-12	76	35.14	53%	0.1	-31.3	2.73%	0	-0.1	63	0

16	Mar_26_2015	19.37	18.7	18.55	19.06	19.19	19.12	18.7(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10	1	84	53.92	53%	0.1	-23.5	2.74%	0	0	55	0
17	Mar_25_2015	19.35	18.78	18.46	18.98	19.14	19.28	18.99(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	80	7	61	32.8	53%	0.16	-22.8	2.75%	0	0.2	42	0
18	Mar_24_2015	19.32	18.84	18.34	18.88	18.91	19.26	19.26(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	130	21	41	27.59	53%	0.1	-26.2	2.77%	0	0.4	44	0
19	Mar_23_2015	19.3	18.87	18.15	18.55	18.57	19	19.37(2.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	17	170	25	-8	37.94	53%	0.1	-34.1	2.79%	0	0.4	42	0
20	Mar_20_2015	19.28	18.9	17.96	18.23	18.18	18.56	18.96(3.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	140	20	-59	55.47	48%	0.1	-43.8	2.84%	0	0.1	36	0

21	Mar_19_2015	19.26	18.95	17.87	17.98	17.91	18.15	18.35(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	80	13	-105	30.14	45%	-0.05	-50.7	2.83%	0	-0.5	26	0
22	Mar_18_2015	19.27	19.04	17.98	17.85	17.74	17.79	18.48(5.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	0	8	-124	83.46	49%	-0.1	-53.9	2.84%	0	-0.5	31	0
23	Mar_17_2015	19.29	19.14	18.07	17.73	17.7	17.66	17.58(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-35	-20	2	-144	41.38	49%	-0.1	-57.3	2.82%	0	-1.2	22	0
24	Mar_16_2015	19.31	19.28	18.3	17.68	17.67	17.68	17.76(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	0	1	-145	28.04	49%	-0.1	-64.1	2.89%	0	-1.2	29	0
25	Mar_13_2015	19.33	19.43	18.55	17.64	17.62	17.73	17.72(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-39	40	-4	-143	38.43	44%		-67	3.01%	0	-1.4	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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