Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $18.7220 (-0.52%) ($18.5356 - $19.0554) on Wed. Apr. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.71% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $18.7220(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(77%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(45%)    GDXJ(36%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    TBT(-16%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(3%)    XHB(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.355% (StdDev 2.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.87(-0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.66(0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.5(1.2%)
To recent high   -16.8%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 3.03% (three month std-dev: 2.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2015	19.44	18.5	18.66	18.87	18.94	18.91	18.72(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	0	3	2	30.5	56%	-0.05	19.8	2.71%	0	0.4	54	0
2	Apr_7_2015	19.45	18.43	18.7	18.7	18.87	19.14	18.82(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	130	11	12	51.15	56%	0	-8.8	2.72%	0	0.6	63	0
3	Apr_6_2015	19.45	18.37	18.75	18.56	18.62	18.97	19.32(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	140	17	23	50.55	60%	0.15	-34.4	2.71%	0	1.5	65	0
4	Apr_2_2015	19.42	18.31	18.7	18.39	18.35	18.59	18.62(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	90	6	21	47.54	57%	0.05	-58.3	2.75%	0	0.5	61	0
5	Apr_1_2015	19.41	18.36	18.68	18.4	18.31	18.27	18.84(5.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-30	1	27	82.6	57%	0.05	-59.6	2.77%	0	0.7	64	0

6	Mar_31_2015	19.4	18.39	18.65	18.43	18.43	18.1	17.89(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-130	-19	29	34.26	53%	0.05	-57.1	2.71%	0	-0.6	53	0
7	Mar_30_2015	19.39	18.49	18.64	18.71	18.73	18.35	18.11(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-140	-21	51	37.55	53%	0	-44.1	2.71%	0	-0.4	63	0
8	Mar_27_2015	19.39	18.59	18.61	18.96	19.02	18.76	18.48(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-90	-12	76	35.14	53%	0.1	-31.3	2.73%	0	-0.1	63	0
9	Mar_26_2015	19.37	18.7	18.55	19.06	19.19	19.12	18.7(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10	1	84	53.92	53%	0.1	-23.5	2.74%	0	0	55	0
10	Mar_25_2015	19.35	18.78	18.46	18.98	19.14	19.28	18.99(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	80	7	61	32.8	53%	0.16	-22.8	2.75%	0	0.2	42	0

11	Mar_24_2015	19.32	18.84	18.34	18.88	18.91	19.26	19.26(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	130	21	41	27.59	53%	0.1	-26.2	2.77%	0	0.4	44	0
12	Mar_23_2015	19.3	18.87	18.15	18.55	18.57	19	19.37(2.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	17	170	25	-8	37.94	53%	0.1	-34.1	2.79%	0	0.4	42	0
13	Mar_20_2015	19.28	18.9	17.96	18.23	18.18	18.56	18.96(3.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	140	20	-59	55.47	48%	0.1	-43.8	2.84%	0	0.1	36	0
14	Mar_19_2015	19.26	18.95	17.87	17.98	17.91	18.15	18.35(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	80	13	-105	30.14	45%	-0.05	-50.7	2.83%	0	-0.5	26	0
15	Mar_18_2015	19.27	19.04	17.98	17.85	17.74	17.79	18.48(5.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	0	8	-124	83.46	49%	-0.1	-53.9	2.84%	0	-0.5	31	0

16	Mar_17_2015	19.29	19.14	18.07	17.73	17.7	17.66	17.58(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-35	-20	2	-144	41.38	49%	-0.1	-57.3	2.82%	0	-1.2	22	0
17	Mar_16_2015	19.31	19.28	18.3	17.68	17.67	17.68	17.76(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	0	1	-145	28.04	49%	-0.1	-64.1	2.89%	0	-1.2	29	0
18	Mar_13_2015	19.33	19.43	18.55	17.64	17.62	17.73	17.72(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-39	40	-4	-143	38.43	44%	-0.15	-67	3.01%	0	-1.4	28	0
19	Mar_12_2015	19.36	19.59	18.85	17.74	17.71	17.67	17.72(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-44	-20	-14	-135	50.2	44%	-0.1	-72.8	3.03%	0	-1.6	29	0
20	Mar_11_2015	19.38	19.73	19.13	18.13	17.91	17.51	17.85(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-190	-22	-115	72.57	44%	-0.15	-75	3.04%	0	-1.7	29	0

21	Mar_10_2015	19.41	19.89	19.39	18.49	18.47	17.74	17.33(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-52	-280	-34	-104	57.61	44%	-0.15	-74.2	3.02%	0	-2.5	20	0
22	Mar_9_2015	19.44	20.09	19.68	19.02	19.06	18.32	17.56(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-49	-270	-39	-80	66.27	48%	-0.15	-75.5	3.04%	0	-2.9	28	0
23	Mar_6_2015	19.47	20.27	19.96	19.58	19.62	19.2	18.22(-7.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-38	-140	-32	-54	106.78	50%	-0.15	-85.8	3.04%	0	-3.2	28	0
24	Mar_5_2015	19.5	20.47	20.17	20.11	20.11	19.8	19.69(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-110	-13	-25	19.23	56%	-0.05	-65.5	2.9%	0	-1.4	38	0
25	Mar_4_2015	19.51	20.58	20.22	20.29	20.38	20.04	19.65(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-100	-13	-19	34.87	56%		-52.4	2.92%	0	-1.5	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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