Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $17.7216 (0%) ($17.2165 - $17.8197) on Fri. Mar. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.01% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $17.7216(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX declines -7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(77%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(45%)    GDXJ(36%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-16%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(3%)    XHB(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.505% (StdDev 3.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $6.6(-62.76%)
Resistance Level   $19.43
5 Day Moving Average   $17.64(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.55(-4.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.43(-8.79%)
To recent high   -21.2%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 6.18% (three month std-dev: 3.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.98%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.99%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.3%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -4.89%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.94%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.73%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2015	19.33	19.43	18.55	17.64	17.62	17.73	17.72(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-39	40	-4	-143	38.43	44%	-0.15	-67	3.01%	0	-1.4	28	0
2	Mar_12_2015	19.36	19.59	18.85	17.74	17.71	17.67	17.72(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-44	-20	-14	-135	50.2	44%	-0.1	-72.8	3.03%	0	-1.6	29	0
3	Mar_11_2015	19.38	19.73	19.13	18.13	17.91	17.51	17.85(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-190	-22	-115	72.57	44%	-0.15	-75	3.04%	0	-1.7	29	0
4	Mar_10_2015	19.41	19.89	19.39	18.49	18.47	17.74	17.33(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-52	-280	-34	-104	57.61	44%	-0.15	-74.2	3.02%	0	-2.5	20	0
5	Mar_9_2015	19.44	20.09	19.68	19.02	19.06	18.32	17.56(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-49	-270	-39	-80	66.27	48%	-0.15	-75.5	3.04%	0	-2.9	28	0

6	Mar_6_2015	19.47	20.27	19.96	19.58	19.62	19.2	18.22(-7.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-38	-140	-32	-54	106.78	50%	-0.15	-85.8	3.04%	0	-3.2	28	0
7	Mar_5_2015	19.5	20.47	20.17	20.11	20.11	19.8	19.69(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-110	-13	-25	19.23	56%	-0.05	-65.5	2.9%	0	-1.4	38	0
8	Mar_4_2015	19.51	20.58	20.22	20.29	20.38	20.04	19.65(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-100	-13	-19	34.87	56%	-0.05	-52.4	2.92%	0	-1.5	42	0
9	Mar_3_2015	19.52	20.67	20.32	20.43	20.58	20.42	19.99(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-30	-6	-10	36.24	56%	-0.05	-55.1	2.91%	0	-1.2	41	0
10	Mar_2_2015	19.53	20.76	20.34	20.44	20.6	20.73	20.36(-2.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	70	3	-16	51.33	56%	0	-49.8	2.9%	0	-0.6	39	0

11	Feb_27_2015	19.53	20.84	20.39	20.4	20.45	20.74	20.87(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	110	11	-14	33.9	54%	0.05	-45.8	3.2%	0	0	49	0
12	Feb_26_2015	19.52	20.85	20.36	20.23	20.25	20.48	20.56(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	80	8	-35	23.79	54%	-0.05	-57.9	3.22%	0	-0.4	34	0
13	Feb_25_2015	19.53	20.9	20.35	20.15	20.15	20.17	20.39(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	10	0	-54	42.52	56%	0	-64.6	3.23%	0	-0.7	36	0
14	Feb_24_2015	19.53	21	20.39	20.2	20.17	20.03	20.03(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-50	-3	-58	27	56%	0	-58.5	3.26%	0	-1.3	38	0
15	Feb_23_2015	19.53	21.08	20.51	20.23	20.26	20.14	20.14(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-40	-7	-65	29.43	56%	0	-59.6	3.26%	0	-1.3	35	0

16	Feb_20_2015	19.53	21.15	20.59	20.37	20.32	20.3	20.06(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10	-7	-66	28.2	56%	-0.05	-56.5	3.27%	0	-1.6	36	0
17	Feb_19_2015	19.54	21.25	20.79	20.51	20.49	20.39	20.14(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-40	-2	-51	44.35	53%	-0.05	-40.2	3.28%	0	-1.7	44	0
18	Feb_18_2015	19.55	21.35	20.96	20.57	20.57	20.34	20.63(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-80	-6	-47	62.46	55%	0	-26.2	3.34%	0	-1.2	44	0
19	Feb_17_2015	19.55	21.44	21.04	20.62	20.65	20.6	20.17(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10	-11	-55	47.9	55%	-0.15	-13.7	3.38%	0	-2	34	0
20	Feb_13_2015	19.58	21.52	21.23	20.84	20.81	20.81	20.85(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-0	1	-38	20.5	58%	-0.05	6.4	3.41%	0	-1.2	45	0

21	Feb_12_2015	19.59	21.54	21.33	20.85	20.89	20.7	20.74(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-60	-10	-39	36.04	58%	-0.05	20.8	3.42%	0	-1.4	48	0
22	Feb_11_2015	19.6	21.54	21.38	21.13	21.01	20.81	20.46(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-80	-14	-34	37.44	60%	-0.1	32.2	3.42%	0	-1.6	41	0
23	Feb_10_2015	19.62	21.51	21.5	21.41	21.31	21.08	20.87(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-90	-7	-23	35.88	56%	0	43.7	3.44%	0	-1	43	0
24	Feb_9_2015	19.62	21.53	21.65	21.52	21.52	21.2	21.27(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-100	-9	-19	31.12	56%	-0.05	63.8	3.54%	0	-0.4	42	0
25	Feb_6_2015	19.63	21.49	21.7	21.67	21.61	21.53	20.92(-5.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-30	-10	-13	83.7	61%		77.9	3.68%	0	-0.8	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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