Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $21.8406 (1.83%) ($21.4582 - $22.0662) on Wed. Feb. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.65% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $21.8406(1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(76%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(45%)    GDXJ(37%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-16%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(3%)    XHB(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.825% (StdDev 3.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.67(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.73(0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.31(2.49%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   35.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 4.18% (three month std-dev: 3.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2015	19.66	21.31	21.73	21.67	21.66		21.84(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	10	3	7	37.9	60%	-0.05	79.4	3.65%	0	0.6	65	INF
2	Feb_3_2015	19.67	21.22	21.76	21.61	21.47	21.69	21.45(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	50	-4	15	52.86	61%	-0.1	89.4	3.69%	0	0.3	61	INF
3	Feb_2_2015	19.69	21.11	21.86	21.81	21.52	21.62	22.02(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10	5	38	41.39	61%	-0.05	93.4	3.7%	0	0.9	56	INF
4	Jan_30_2015	19.7	20.95	21.83	21.75	21.63	21.26	21.86(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-140	1	43	51.65	55%	-0.1	88.7	3.77%	0	0.8	60	INF
5	Jan_29_2015	19.72	20.76	21.76	21.64	21.58	21.42	21.17(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-60	-12	45	48.28	54%	-0.15	90.5	3.88%	0	0.4	63	INF

6	Jan_28_2015	19.75	20.62	21.66	21.8	21.71	21.99	21.55(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	80	-0	59	69.66	54%	-0.1	88.7	3.92%	0	0.7	62	INF
7	Jan_27_2015	19.77	20.43	21.53	21.92	21.8	21.73	22.44(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-40	3	68	52.58	56%	-0.05	83.2	3.89%	0	1.4	64	INF
8	Jan_26_2015	19.78	20.2	21.39	21.92	21.84	21.42	21.72(1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-150	-8	81	38.33	56%	-0.15	79.1	3.87%	0	1	67	INF
9	Jan_23_2015	19.81	19.99	21.25	21.93	21.84	21.87	21.32(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-50	-4	98	51.41	56%	-0.15	77.7	3.87%	0	0.9	68	INF
10	Jan_22_2015	19.84	19.78	21.08	21.88	22.11	22.26	21.99(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	80	11	116	37.73	55%	-0.15	78.1	3.85%	0	1.5	75	INF

11	Jan_21_2015	19.87	19.54	20.85	21.46	21.8	22.35	22.11(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	220	19	115	60.2	55%	-0.15	70.3	3.87%	0	1.7	75	INF
12	Jan_20_2015	19.9	19.33	20.64	21.07	21.27	21.97	22.5(3.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	45	260	20	121	73.78	56%	-0.2	62.6	3.86%	0	2	79	INF
13	Jan_16_2015	19.94	19.1	20.29	20.79	20.86	21.24	21.73(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	140	17	120	68.95	54%	-0.2	62.2	3.84%	0	1.9	73	INF
14	Jan_15_2015	19.98	18.88	19.97	20.5	20.68	20.57	21.07(5.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10	12	118	84.36	54%	-0.25	58.4	3.82%	0	1.7	73	INF
15	Jan_14_2015	20.03	18.66	19.67	20.17	20.45	20.47	19.92(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	50	-2	111	64.26	53%	-0.25	44.5	3.76%	0	1.1	72	INF

16	Jan_13_2015	20.08	18.51	19.5	20.13	20.32	20.78	20.15(-4.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	190	7	124	75.39	53%	-0.25	36.4	3.76%	0	1.3	72	INF
17	Jan_12_2015	20.13	18.4	19.25	20.11	20.07	20.43	21.08(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	48	120	21	130	62.92	54%	-0.25	36.5	3.72%	0	2.2	68	INF
18	Jan_9_2015	20.18	18.26	18.92	19.71	19.79	19.85	20.31(4.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	30	14	107	56.34	51%	-0.25	31.3	3.7%	0	2	63	INF
19	Jan_8_2015	20.23	18.16	18.63	19.37	19.48	19.71	19.41(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	100	11	91	46.81	52%	-0.34	24.6	3.68%	0	1.3	64	INF
20	Jan_7_2015	20.3	18.14	18.39	19.09	19.1	19.73	19.7(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	230	19	82	45.81	51%	-0.29	20	3.79%	0	1.8	71	INF

21	Jan_6_2015	20.36	18.07	18.12	18.77	18.65	19.25	20.08(5.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	40	210	29	74	76.09	51%	-0.34	6.1	3.81%	0	2.3	71	INF
22	Jan_5_2015	20.43	17.96	17.9	18.25	18.23	18.47	19.07(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	90	15	42	46.02	50%	-0.34	-10.5	3.76%	0	1.5	55	INF
23	Jan_2_2015	20.5	17.96	17.8	18.01	17.94	18.05	18.57(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	30	8	26	47.29	48%	-0.68	-27.1	3.79%	0	0.9	50	INF
24	Dec_31_2014	20.64	17.94	17.69	17.78	17.89	17.99	18.03(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	60	10	6	29.11	48%	-0.43	-42.6	3.77%	0	0.1	45	INF
25	Dec_30_2014	20.73	17.97	17.56	17.57	17.7	17.83	18.09(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	70	8	-26	61.26	48%		-52.2	3.77%	0	0.2	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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