Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $18.4048 (0.75%) ($17.8008 - $18.7507) on Mon. Dec. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.39% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $18.4048(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(77%)    SLV(67%)    GDXJ(39%)    PCY(31%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-16%)    BWX(-2%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.695% (StdDev 3.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $18.67
5 Day Moving Average   $18.57(-0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.83(-2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.67(-1.42%)
To recent high   -23.1%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 4.07% (three month std-dev: 3.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.82%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.26%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2014	22	18.67	18.83	18.57	18.58	18.36	18.4(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-80	-10	-34	52.92	42%	-0.36	45.5	3.39%	0	-0.4	49	0
2	Dec_5_2014	22.08	18.66	18.92	18.73	18.67	18.66	18.27(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10	-1	-16	46.72	42%	-0.36	60.9	3.41%	0	-0.5	51	0
3	Dec_4_2014	22.16	18.59	19.02	18.65	18.79	18.8	18.71(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	30	-2	-6	49.54	41%	-0.31	46.4	3.41%	0	0.1	60	0
4	Dec_3_2014	22.23	18.48	19.03	18.83	18.61	18.67	18.76(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-10	-11	7	52.49	41%	-0.31	31.4	3.43%	0	0.3	58	0
5	Dec_2_2014	22.3	18.39	19.13	19.05	18.88	18.78	18.71(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-60	-1	40	58.67	40%	-0.31	22.2	3.43%	0	0.3	58	0

6	Dec_1_2014	22.37	18.33	19.15	19.13	19.08	18.56	19.21(7.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-200	-8	59	87.97	40%	-0.36	15.1	3.44%	0	0.8	65	0
7	Nov_28_2014	22.45	18.21	19.09	19.16	19.16	18.98	17.89(-8.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-70	-20	64	113.27	36%	-0.53	2.6	3.3%	0	-0.3	51	0
8	Nov_26_2014	22.57	18.2	19.08	19.42	19.46	19.6	19.58(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	60	11	105	36.64	40%	-0.27	-0.2	3.12%	0	1.3	67	0
9	Nov_25_2014	22.63	18.17	18.9	19.24	19.33	19.34	19.87(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	20	1	110	72.98	39%	-0.22	-7.6	3.13%	0	1.5	71	0
10	Nov_24_2014	22.68	18.15	18.69	19.23	19.25	19.33	19.09(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	30	1	124	40.83	37%	-0.18	-10.6	3.09%	0	0.8	64	0

11	Nov_21_2014	22.72	18.16	18.49	19.19	19.33	19.32	19.36(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	20	10	125	46	37%	-0.26	-15.2	3.08%	0	1	60	0
12	Nov_20_2014	22.78	18.18	18.37	19.02	19.11	19.18	19.2(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	40	12	133	58.49	37%	-0.31	-19.5	3.09%	0	0.9	63	0
13	Nov_19_2014	22.85	18.2	18.13	18.68	18.79	19.34	18.7(-5.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	220	15	106	120.99	37%	-0.31	-29.6	3.06%	0	0.4	55	0
14	Nov_18_2014	22.92	18.25	17.89	18.49	18.42	19.05	19.78(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	230	32	74	79.93	38%	-0.26	-34.9	3%	0	1.2	51	0
15	Nov_17_2014	22.98	18.27	17.57	18.09	18.01	18.24	18.89(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	80	25	12	58.66	36%	-0.3	-42.4	2.94%	0	0.4	44	0

16	Nov_14_2014	23.05	18.34	17.41	17.71	17.75	17.8	18.53(6.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	30	5	-42	110.74	36%	-0.26	-48.3	2.92%	0	0.1	45	0
17	Nov_13_2014	23.11	18.41	17.23	17.63	17.63	17.77	17.48(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	60	7	-83	56.2	33%	-0.34	-47.4	2.81%	0	-0.6	38	0
18	Nov_12_2014	23.19	18.57	17.24	17.49	17.62	17.71	17.77(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	60	20	-113	46.63	34%	-0.3	-48.3	2.8%	0	-0.5	39	0
19	Nov_11_2014	23.26	18.72	17.36	17.17	17.34	17.5	17.75(4.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	90	11	-144	86.72	34%	-0.34	-54	2.82%	0	-0.6	40	0
20	Nov_10_2014	23.34	18.87	17.55	16.97	17.02	17.52	17(-6.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-40	210	3	-170	111.61	31%	-0.34	-54.6	2.75%	0	-1.2	33	0

21	Nov_7_2014	23.42	19.06	17.8	17.06	16.93	17.18	18.16(8.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-24	80	26	-173	136.48	33%	-0.34	-55.7	2.66%	0	-0.6	36	0
22	Nov_6_2014	23.5	19.16	17.95	16.78	16.82	16.53	16.77(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-68	-110	-14	-229	103	29%	-0.3	-60	2.42%	0	-1.5	30	0
23	Nov_5_2014	23.57	19.36	18.27	16.98	16.86	16.69	16.16(-3.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-92	-90	-43	-240	86.23	26%	-0.34	-60.5	2.39%	0	-2.1	22	0
24	Nov_4_2014	23.65	19.63	18.66	17.57	17.36	17.12	16.77(-3.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-80	-130	-36	-212	67.54	27%	-0.25	-57.2	2.36%	0	-2.2	23	0
25	Nov_3_2014	23.71	19.8	19.04	18.22	17.97	17.03	17.45(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-74	-410	-40	-177	74.23	28%		-54.7	2.33%	0	-2	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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