Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $26.1117 (-3.35%) ($26.1117 - $26.9106) on Mon. Mar. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $26.1117(-3.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(77%)    SLV(67%)    GDXJ(44%)    PCY(30%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(2%)    XHB(4%)    XLF(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.35(-0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.01(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.8(1.21%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   31.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2014	23.46	25.8	26.01	26.35	26.53	26.78	26.11(-3.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	21	90	9	56	57.39	69%	0.17	75.8	2.15%	0	0.6	55	0
2	Mar_14_2014	23.42	25.78	25.97	26.19	26.28	26.8	27.02(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	36	150	30	52	33.47	72%	0.3	89.4	2.11%	0	2.4	58	0
3	Mar_13_2014	23.35	25.68	25.78	25.88	25.86	26.27	26.92(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	22	110	21	24	51.29	72%	0.26	115.6	2.12%	0	2.9	59	0
4	Mar_12_2014	23.29	25.54	25.61	25.72	25.62	25.76	26.23(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	30	10	3	48.33	71%	0.26	113.9	2.12%	0	1.5	51	0
5	Mar_11_2014	23.23	25.48	25.52	25.64	25.63	25.45	25.46(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-50	-1	-3	40.19	70%	0.17	136.4	2.12%	0	-0	58	0

6	Mar_10_2014	23.19	25.42	25.54	25.63	25.66	25.48	25.3(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-50	-10	-8	22.47	70%	0.17	124.5	2.14%	0	-0.2	46	0
7	Mar_7_2014	23.15	25.33	25.61	25.7	25.65	25.8	25.51(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	40	1	4	41.18	70%	0.17	101.1	2.15%	0	0.3	49	0
8	Mar_6_2014	23.11	25.2	25.64	25.64	25.71	25.83	26.1(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	40	16	13	30.05	72%	0.26	75.6	2.13%	0	1	59	0
9	Mar_5_2014	23.05	25.03	25.62	25.48	25.52	25.5	25.82(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-0	2	16	24.85	72%	0.26	59.4	2.16%	0	0.8	67	0
10	Mar_4_2014	22.99	24.89	25.54	25.39	25.48	25.59	25.43(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	40	-1	9	21.13	72%	0.22	54.9	2.17%	0	0.5	55	0

11	Mar_3_2014	22.94	24.76	25.57	25.44	25.49	25.55	25.62(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	20	1	30	38.96	72%	0.26	54.5	2.19%	0	0.7	63	0
12	Feb_28_2014	22.88	24.63	25.57	25.51	25.5	25.38	25.22(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-30	-8	55	26.89	72%	0.22	54.1	2.21%	0	0.5	66	0
13	Feb_27_2014	22.83	24.52	25.58	25.64	25.7	25.42	25.3(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-70	-11	88	24.16	72%	0.22	55.2	2.23%	0	0.6	70	0
14	Feb_26_2014	22.78	24.43	25.48	25.78	25.81	25.62	25.38(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-50	-6	117	37.42	72%	0.26	62.2	2.25%	0	0.7	71	0
15	Feb_25_2014	22.72	24.3	25.45	25.69	25.86	25.98	25.65(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	50	0	137	33.27	72%	0.31	59.1	2.26%	0	1	69	0

16	Feb_24_2014	22.65	24.13	25.3	25.72	25.73	26.01	26.01(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	80	10	161	26.24	72%	0.35	57.8	2.26%	0	1.4	73	0
17	Feb_21_2014	22.57	23.98	25.04	25.65	25.64	25.73	25.85(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	20	11	165	38.9	72%	0.36	63.4	2.29%	0	1.5	70	0
18	Feb_20_2014	22.49	23.84	24.73	25.52	25.59	25.45	25.99(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-30	13	158	48.88	72%	0.4	69.9	2.31%	0	1.8	71	0
19	Feb_19_2014	22.4	23.65	24.4	25.15	25.37	25.55	24.97(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	80	-1	127	49.73	70%	0.31	70.8	2.28%	0	1.2	61	0
20	Feb_18_2014	22.33	23.56	24.2	25.16	25.17	25.72	25.78(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	150	28	149	30.55	74%	0.4	78.9	2.22%	0	2.1	71	0

21	Feb_14_2014	22.24	23.39	23.89	24.81	24.9	25.19	25.67(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	61	90	36	136	52.61	74%	0.41	85.6	2.25%	0	2.4	73	0
22	Feb_13_2014	22.15	23.21	23.6	24.34	24.44	25.19	25.21(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	60	25	100	59.22	74%	0.36	90.8	2.27%	0	2.5	63	0
23	Feb_12_2014	22.07	23.03	23.35	23.82	24.01	24.61	24.13(-3.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	200	26	67	58.46	72%	0.27	86.6	2.22%	0	1.5	57	0
24	Feb_11_2014	22.01	22.9	23.27	23.51	23.55	24.27	24.99(3.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	49	220	43	67	60.18	77%	0.41	75.2	2.14%	0	2.9	68	0
25	Feb_10_2014	21.92	22.75	23.03	23.11	23.1	23.41	24.07(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	30	90	29	32	46.12	75%		82.5	2.1%	0	2.3	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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