Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $25.3809 (-1.06%) ($25.1179 - $25.6245) on Wed. Feb. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.25% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $25.3809(-1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(77%)    SLV(67%)    GDXJ(43%)    PCY(30%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(2%)    XLF(5%)    SHY(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.125% (StdDev 2.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.78(-1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.48(-0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.43(3.89%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   28.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 5.24% (three month std-dev: 2.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.63%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.43%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.73%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.82%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.49%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2014	22.78	24.43	25.48	25.78	25.81	25.62	25.38(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-50	-6	117	37.42	72%	0.26	62.2	2.25%	0	0.7	71	NAN
2	Feb_25_2014	22.72	24.3	25.45	25.69	25.86	25.98	25.65(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	50	0	137	33.27	72%	0.31	59.1	2.26%	0	1	69	NAN
3	Feb_24_2014	22.65	24.13	25.3	25.72	25.73	26.01	26.01(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	80	10	161	26.24	72%	0.35	57.8	2.26%	0	1.4	73	NAN
4	Feb_21_2014	22.57	23.98	25.04	25.65	25.64	25.73	25.85(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	20	11	165	38.9	72%	0.36	63.4	2.29%	0	1.5	70	NAN
5	Feb_20_2014	22.49	23.84	24.73	25.52	25.59	25.45	25.99(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-30	13	158	48.88	72%	0.4	69.9	2.31%	0	1.8	71	NAN

6	Feb_19_2014	22.4	23.65	24.4	25.15	25.37	25.55	24.97(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	80	-1	127	49.73	70%	0.31	70.8	2.28%	0	1.2	61	NAN
7	Feb_18_2014	22.33	23.56	24.2	25.16	25.17	25.72	25.78(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	150	28	149	30.55	74%	0.4	78.9	2.22%	0	2.1	71	NAN
8	Feb_14_2014	22.24	23.39	23.89	24.81	24.9	25.19	25.67(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	61	90	36	136	52.61	74%	0.41	85.6	2.25%	0	2.4	73	NAN
9	Feb_13_2014	22.15	23.21	23.6	24.34	24.44	25.19	25.21(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	60	25	100	59.22	74%	0.36	90.8	2.27%	0	2.5	63	NAN
10	Feb_12_2014	22.07	23.03	23.35	23.82	24.01	24.61	24.13(-3.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	200	26	67	58.46	72%	0.27	86.6	2.22%	0	1.5	57	NAN

11	Feb_11_2014	22.01	22.9	23.27	23.51	23.55	24.27	24.99(3.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	49	220	43	67	60.18	77%	0.41	75.2	2.14%	0	2.9	68	NAN
12	Feb_10_2014	21.92	22.75	23.03	23.11	23.1	23.41	24.07(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	30	90	29	32	46.12	75%	0.32	82.5	2.1%	0	2.3	57	NAN
13	Feb_7_2014	21.85	22.62	22.85	22.84	23.1	22.82	23.3(3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-0	5	-2	41.64	73%	0.18	73.7	2.07%	0	1.2	55	NAN
14	Feb_6_2014	21.81	22.49	22.82	22.75	22.83	22.79	22.59(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-0	-5	0	17.13	71%	0.14	53.6	2.05%	0	0.2	57	NAN
15	Feb_5_2014	21.78	22.42	22.87	22.81	22.9	22.84	22.61(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10	-7	18	26.27	71%	0.09	54.8	2.09%	0	0.3	59	NAN

16	Feb_4_2014	21.76	22.37	22.86	22.97	22.88	22.88	22.98(1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10	-1	44	25.41	71%	0.23	67.5	2.08%	0	0.8	65	NAN
17	Feb_3_2014	21.71	22.29	22.87	22.93	22.97	22.95	22.7(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-0	6	56	29.25	71%	0.14	69.8	2.12%	0	0.5	57	NAN
18	Jan_31_2014	21.68	22.22	22.88	22.85	22.88	22.87	22.88(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	0	-4	61	28.87	71%	0.23	69.4	2.14%	0	0.8	63	NAN
19	Jan_30_2014	21.63	22.15	22.8	22.89	22.8	23	22.89(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	50	-0	81	39.12	71%	0.19	78.7	2.18%	0	0.9	68	NAN
20	Jan_29_2014	21.59	22.03	22.7	22.93	22.88	22.89	23.39(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-0	14	103	45.32	71%	0.37	85.6	2.15%	0	1.7	68	NAN

21	Jan_28_2014	21.51	21.87	22.52	22.75	22.86	22.6	22.8(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-70	-9	84	35.81	69%	0.23	81.5	2.16%	0	1.2	61	NAN
22	Jan_27_2014	21.46	21.77	22.45	22.81	22.88	22.88	22.3(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	10	-9	99	39.4	67%	0.19	0	2.18%	0	0.6	59	NAN
23	Jan_24_2014	21.42	21.68	22.37	22.9	22.92	23.11	23.06(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	60	17	127	36.43	74%	0.33	0	2.06%	0	1.6	66	NAN
24	Jan_23_2014	21.35	21.55	22.15	22.69	22.77	22.89	23.11(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	50	19	104	45.88	74%	0.38	0	2.1%	0	1.9	64	NAN
25	Jan_22_2014	21.27	21.39	21.94	22.43	22.5	22.73	22.5(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	80	14	90	36.79	71%		0	2.11%	0	1.4	67	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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