Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $22.7016 (-0.77%) ($22.7016 - $23.3836) on Mon. Feb. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.12% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $22.7016(-0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(77%)    GDXJ(44%)    PCY(30%)    LQD(28%)    TIP(27%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(3%)    SHY(10%)    XBI(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.06% (StdDev 2.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.93(-1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.87(-0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.29(1.85%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 2.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2014	21.71	22.29	22.87	22.93	22.97	22.95	22.7(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-0	6	56	29.25	71%	0.14	69.8	2.12%	0	0.5	57	NAN
2	Jan_31_2014	21.68	22.22	22.88	22.85	22.88	22.87	22.88(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	0	-4	61	28.87	71%	0.23	69.4	2.14%	0	0.8	63	NAN
3	Jan_30_2014	21.63	22.15	22.8	22.89	22.8	23	22.89(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	50	-0	81	39.12	71%	0.19	78.7	2.18%	0	0.9	68	NAN
4	Jan_29_2014	21.59	22.03	22.7	22.93	22.88	22.89	23.39(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-0	14	103	45.32	71%	0.37	85.6	2.15%	0	1.7	68	NAN
5	Jan_28_2014	21.51	21.87	22.52	22.75	22.86	22.6	22.8(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-70	-9	84	35.81	69%	0.23	81.5	2.16%	0	1.2	61	NAN

6	Jan_27_2014	21.46	21.77	22.45	22.81	22.88	22.88	22.3(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	10	-9	99	39.4	67%	0.19	0	2.18%	0	0.6	59	NAN
7	Jan_24_2014	21.42	21.68	22.37	22.9	22.92	23.11	23.06(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	60	17	127	36.43	74%	0.33	0	2.06%	0	1.6	66	NAN
8	Jan_23_2014	21.35	21.55	22.15	22.69	22.77	22.89	23.11(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	50	19	104	45.88	74%	0.38	0	2.1%	0	1.9	64	NAN
9	Jan_22_2014	21.27	21.39	21.94	22.43	22.5	22.73	22.5(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	80	14	90	36.79	71%	0.33	0	2.11%	0	1.4	67	NAN
10	Jan_21_2014	21.2	21.25	21.83	22.24	22.22	22.65	23.09(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	42	130	22	101	36.62	79%	0.43	0	2.02%	0	2.4	76	NAN

11	Jan_17_2014	21.11	21.25	21.64	22.04	21.97	22.26	22.73(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	80	26	10	39.78	79%	0.48	0	2.07%	0	29.9	66	NAN
12	Jan_16_2014	21.01	21.25	21.49	21.78	21.78	21.79	22.04(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	0	17	7	17.87	76%	0.29	0	2.05%	0	32.4	64	NAN
13	Jan_15_2014	20.95	21.25	21.42	21.52	21.59	21.68	21.81(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	40	8	3	25.07	76%	0.24	0	2.11%	0	33.6	63	NAN
14	Jan_14_2014	20.9	21.25	21.3	21.36	21.42	21.76	21.53(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	120	9	4	44.79	76%	0.19	0	2.17%	0	34.2	66	NAN
15	Jan_13_2014	20.86	21.25	21.17	21.34	21.24	21.51	22.07(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	70	19	8	41.02	85%	0.43	0	2.08%	0	35	72	NAN

16	Jan_10_2014	20.77	21.25	21.03	21.2	21.12	21.07	21.44(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-30	3	1	48.86	82%	0.24	0	2.08%	0	38.3	50	NAN
17	Jan_9_2014	20.72	21.25	20.93	21.16	21.16	20.98	20.72(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-60	-14	-6	26.82	78%	0	0	1.98%	0	37.7	50	NAN
18	Jan_8_2014	20.72	21.25	20.92	21.31	21.3	21.16	21.06(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-50	-1	-0	32.74	78%	0.14	0	1.98%	0	36.9	50	NAN
19	Jan_7_2014	20.69	21.25	20.81	21.22	21.34	21.34	21.41(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	20	14	6	20.75	78%	0.34	0	1.94%	0	36.3	50	NAN
20	Jan_6_2014	20.62	21.25	20.65	20.96	21.12	21.44	21.37(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	130	12	5	27.91	78%	0.39	0	2.03%	0	37.5	50	NAN

21	Jan_3_2014	20.54	21.25	20.65	20.83	20.84	21.35	21.27(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	170	23	9	24.08	78%	0.49	0	2.15%	0	39.4	50	NAN
22	Jan_2_2014	20.44	21.25	20.65	20.68	20.64	20.79	21.46(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	50	22	9	50.94	78%	0.69	0	2.18%	0	42.9	50	NAN
23	Dec_31_2013	20.3	21.25	20.65	20.48	20.47	20.33	20.59(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-50	4	2	45.94	67%	0.25	0	1.92%	0	62.4	50	NAN
24	Dec_30_2013	20.25	21.25	20.65	20.34	20.44	20.48	20.11(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	2	30	2	1	41.98	54%	-0.15	0	1.93%	0	59.1	50	NAN
25	Dec_27_2013	20.28	21.25	20.65	20.28	20.31	20.62	20.7(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	369	110	434	174	20.87	100%		0	1.22%	0	57.5	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.