Trading Signals: GD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: GD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(General Dynamics Corporation)
GD latest price $129.1545 (-1%) ($128.7767 - $130.6199) on Fri. Nov. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $129.1545(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GD advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(70%)    XHB(53%)    XAR(26%)    XLI(26%)    XLB(21%)
Factors Impacting GD price   GD will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    BNDX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $129.79(-0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.09(0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $121.07(6.68%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   23.1%
Market Cap   $37.059b

General Dynamics Corp. is an aerospace and defense company, which engages in the provision of tanks, rockets, missiles, submarines, warships, fighters and electronics to all of the military services. It is organized into four business segments: Aerospace, Combat Systems, Information Technology, Mission Systems and Marine Systems. The Aerospace segment delivers a family of Gulfstream aircraft and provides a range of services for Gulfstream aircraft and aircraft produced by other original equipment manufacturers. The Combat Systems segment offers combat vehicles, weapons systems and munitions for the U.S. government and its allies around the world. The Information Technology segment provides technologies, products and services in support of thousands of programs for a wide range of military, federal civilian, state and local customers. The Mission Systems segment provides mission-critical C4ISR products and systems. The Marine Systems segment designs, builds and supports submarines and surface ships. The company was founded on February 21, 1952 and is headquartered in Falls Church, VA.

$. GD price fluctuates within 6.85% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.89%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.88%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.75%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -4.99%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 7.42%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.24%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2014	113	121.07	128.09	129.79	130	130.25	129.15(-1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	59	20	-5	249	1.99	69%	0.18	57.1	1.22%	0	1	93	INF
2	Nov_6_2014	112.8	120.2	127.43	129.72	129.74	130.55	130.46(-0.27%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	120	40	52	322	1.49	67%	0.19	57.2	1.21%	0	1.2	98	INF
3	Nov_5_2014	112.59	119.25	126.42	129.12	129.25	129.76	130.82(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	145	30	72	365	1.92	67%	0.2	58	1.23%	0	1.5	99	INF
4	Nov_4_2014	112.36	118.34	125.02	128.11	128.2	128.94	129.75(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	122	40	39	370	1.97	67%	0.19	57	1.23%	0	1.5	99	INF
5	Nov_3_2014	112.15	117.35	123.51	127.33	127.33	128.75	128.77(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	171	80	93	405	2.34	67%	0.18	54	1.23%	0	1.6	95	INF

6	Oct_31_2014	111.95	116.51	121.86	126.11	126.3	127.47	128.8(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	193	70	121	410	2.76	64%	0.19	50.4	1.23%	0	1.9	95	INF
7	Oct_30_2014	111.74	115.68	120.13	124.77	124.66	125.91	127.45(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	152	70	81	364	2.28	64%	0.17	46.3	1.26%	0	2	82	INF
8	Oct_29_2014	111.55	114.84	118.26	123.31	123.38	125.12	125.75(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	185	100	130	348	1.83	62%	0.13	42.1	1.25%	0	2	79	INF
9	Oct_28_2014	111.4	114.19	116.56	121.44	121.85	123.41	125.89(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	185	100	148	296	2.05	62%	0.14	34.1	1.26%	0	2.5	73	INF
10	Oct_27_2014	111.24	113.64	114.85	119.1	119.92	121.63	122.66(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	166	120	141	242	1.99	59%	0.12	25.1	1.23%	0	2.2	74	INF

11	Oct_24_2014	111.11	113.28	113.44	116.92	117.61	120.28	122.11(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	177	180	173	190	1.41	59%	0.11	10.8	1.23%	0	2.5	66	INF
12	Oct_23_2014	110.99	112.95	112.31	114.78	115.2	118.21	120.12(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	207	190	224	154	2.19	60%	0.11	-9.3	1.21%	0	2.4	62	INF
13	Oct_22_2014	110.87	112.63	111.4	112.48	112.99	114.94	116.41(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	172	130	199	89	2.62	57%	0.08	-40.2	1.17%	0	1.4	60	INF
14	Oct_21_2014	110.78	112.59	111.02	110.94	110.73	112.19	114.18(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	75	90	98	7	1.78	55%	0.05	-59.3	1.15%	0	0.6	49	INF
15	Oct_20_2014	110.72	112.63	110.64	109.97	109.49	111.03	111.79(0.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	64	90	100	-45	1.12	52%	0.04	-68.7	1.12%	0	-0.3	37	INF

16	Oct_17_2014	110.68	112.89	110.71	109.41	109.03	109.27	111.4(2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	0	55	-95	1.93	52%	0.04	-67.4	1.13%	0	-0.5	36	INF
17	Oct_16_2014	110.64	113.24	110.86	109.47	109.11	107.95	108.61(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-101	-80	-78	-169	2.16	49%	0.02	-60.4	1.1%	0	-1.4	27	INF
18	Oct_15_2014	110.62	113.73	111.19	110.15	110.13	108.8	108.73(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-131	-90	-114	-180	2.29	49%	0.02	-53.8	1.1%	0	-1.6	37	INF
19	Oct_14_2014	110.6	114.19	111.72	111.1	111.29	110.26	109.31(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-95	-60	-76	-153	2.47	49%	-0.01	-47.7	1.1%	0	-1.7	34	INF
20	Oct_13_2014	110.61	114.59	112.42	111.37	111.91	111.47	109(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-75	-10	-55	-135	2.32	49%	0.04	-47	1.1%	0	-2.1	37	INF

21	Oct_10_2014	110.57	114.98	113.21	112.14	112.08	112.31	111.72(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	10	-17	-106	2.44	54%	0.06	-43.7	1.07%	0	-1.4	37	INF
22	Oct_9_2014	110.5	115.21	113.73	112.46	112.43	112.35	111.98(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10	23	-91	2.09	54%	0.06	-41	1.07%	0	-1.4	35	INF
23	Oct_8_2014	110.43	115.43	114.01	112.4	112.48	111.85	113.5(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-60	-40	-34	-136	1.77	56%	0.1	-40.5	1.05%	0	-0.9	38	INF
24	Oct_7_2014	110.32	115.6	114.29	112.49	112.5	112.51	110.66(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-95	0	-73	-161	1.78	52%	0.05	-35.9	1.01%	0	-2.4	33	INF
25	Oct_6_2014	110.26	115.89	114.81	113.66	113.28	113.11	112.88(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-20	-10	-116	1.49	55%		-16.4	0.98%	0	-1.7	39	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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