Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GBTC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sat. Feb. 10, 2018

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)
GBTC latest price $14.3400 (2.83%) ($13.5400 - $14.6700) on Sat. Feb. 10, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.18% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $14.3400(2.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GBTC advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBTC declines -16.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GBTC price   GBTC will decline at least -5.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.59% (StdDev 11.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-18.21(-226.99%)
Resistance Level   $16.42
5 Day Moving Average   $12.87(11.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.08(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.42(-12.67%)
To recent high   -62.3%
To recent low   71.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 19% (three month std-dev: 11.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.83%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5.93%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 14.64%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -6.51%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 23.85%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.65%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2018	14.53	16.42	14.08	12.87	13.37	14.31	14.34(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	610	11	-82	3.94	63%	0.55	-68.7	11.18%	0	-0.7	40	-1.7
2	Feb_8_2018	14.45	16.65	14.41	12.4	12.41	13.94	13.95(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	870	11	-92	5.21	63%	0.49	-78.7	11.17%	0	-0.9	37	-2.5
3	Feb_7_2018	14.38	17.02	14.84	12.23	11.86	12.43	13.69(11.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-24	250	2	-101	9.82	63%	0.42	-81.8	11.17%	0	-1	34	-1.8
4	Feb_6_2018	14.32	17.51	15.29	12.61	11.83	10.87	12.31(22.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-750	-19	-104	9.41	62%	0.35	-77.1	11.11%	0	-1.5	38	-2
5	Feb_5_2018	14.27	18.1	15.88	13.65	13.07	11.3	10.05(-16.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-50	-1080	-34	-99	12.17	60%	0.21	-68.8	10.77%	0	-2.3	24	-2.9

6	Feb_2_2018	14.24	18.89	16.78	15.47	14.97	12.79	12(-8.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-40	-1120	-28	-77	10.2	63%	0.49	-56.8	10.56%	0	-2.1	23	-2.2
7	Feb_1_2018	14.17	19.52	17.55	16.69	16.69	14.85	13.11(-15.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-770	-26	-55	12.84	63%	0.57	-52.2	10.54%	0	-2.1	38	-0.5
8	Jan_31_2018	14.09	20.11	18.31	17.77	17.84	17.14	15.59(-10.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-260	-14	-37	8.46	67%	0.57	-49.1	10.31%	0	-1.6	37	-1.6
9	Jan_30_2018	14.01	20.58	18.59	18.32	18.37	17.14	17.51(-8.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	70	-2	-38	5.06	69%	0.79	-41.2	10.31%	0	-1.1	37	-1.9
10	Jan_29_2018	13.9	20.82	18.75	18.45	18.51	18.54	19.14(5.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	20	3	-47	4.82	69%	0.87	-37	10.24%	0	-0.6	39	-2.1

11	Jan_26_2018	13.78	20.94	18.97	18.33	18.3	18.21	18.08(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-40	-5	-62	2.93	69%	0.73	-46.1	10.24%	0	-1.1	33	136.8
12	Jan_25_2018	13.68	21.22	19.05	18.6	18.42	18.49	18.52(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-0	-5	-71	2.36	69%	0.74	-60.1	10.23%	0	-1	38	137.4
13	Jan_24_2018	13.58	21.58	19.34	18.98	18.82	18.39	18.35(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-190	-0	-71	3.17	69%	0.82	-75.8	10.23%	0	-1.3	37	-1.4
14	Jan_23_2018	13.47	21.78	19.85	18.9	19.21	18.35	18.16(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-260	-5	-76	5.42	69%	0.37	-86.1	10.24%	0	-1.4	36	0.1
15	Jan_22_2018	13.42	21.88	20.43	19.08	18.94	19.25	18.53(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	90	-11	-72	4.53	69%	0.75	-97.3	10.24%	0	-1.3	45	0.9

16	Jan_19_2018	13.32	22.26	21.12	19.71	19.05	20.07	19.43(-4.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	270	8	-47	6.75	69%	0.76	-98.1	10.21%	0	-1.2	49	1
17	Jan_18_2018	13.22	22.91	21.6	19.58	19.23	18.63	20.41(13.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-270	1	-50	8.6	69%	0.84	-86.6	10.17%	0	-1	46	0
18	Jan_17_2018	13.11	23.72	22.02	19.8	19.15	18.03	17.98(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-510	-24	-60	15.65	68%	0.69	-53	10.07%	0	-2.3	36	0
19	Jan_16_2018	13.02	24.31	22.73	20.96	20.46	19.83	19.08(-11.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-290	-15	-35	10.06	68%	1.32	-16.4	10.02%	0	-1.6	49	0
20	Jan_12_2018	12.85	24.69	22.73	21.99	21.59	20.27	21.65(15.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-480	-14	-15	8.53	71%	1.1	1.2	9.81%	0	-0.7	59	0

21	Jan_11_2018	12.71	24.9	23.09	22.79	22.37	21.09	18.77(-12.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-460	-24	-19	12.25	69%	0.95	14.9	9.7%	0	-1.4	42	0
22	Jan_10_2018	12.59	25.19	23.62	23.88	24	22.91	21.55(-9.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-300	-11	-21	9.75	72%	1.12	32.1	9.58%	0	-0.9	38	0
23	Jan_9_2018	12.45	25.14	24.06	24.53	24.43	23.65	23.74(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-240	-11	-39	4.77	72%	1.38	38.4	9.5%	0	-0.3	36	0
24	Jan_8_2018	12.28	24.86	23.9	24.75	24.98	25.08	24.23(-5.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	60	3	-47	7.96	72%	1.49	38.5	9.49%	0	-0.1	48	0
25	Jan_5_2018	12.1	24.63	23.47	24.34	24.81	25.2	25.69(6.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	170	13	-64	7.36	72%		36.6	9.44%	0	0.2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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