Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GBTC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 5, 2018

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)
GBTC latest price $25.6910 (6.07%) ($25.4945 - $27.2088) on Fri. Jan. 5, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.44% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $25.6910(6.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GBTC advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBTC declines -10.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(9%)    BOTZ(9%)    EWJ(9%)    TAN(9%)    IWC(8%)
Factors Impacting GBTC price   GBTC will decline at least -4.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-10%)    BNDX(-7%)    BWX(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    VIXM(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.72% (StdDev 9.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.34(5.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.47(9.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.63(4.31%)
To recent high   -32.5%
To recent low   293.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 19.16% (three month std-dev: 9.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2018	12.1	24.63	23.47	24.34	24.81	25.2	25.69(6.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	170	13	-64	7.36	72%	1.51	36.6	9.44%	0	0.2	54	INF
2	Jan_4_2018	11.92	24.25	23.46	23.46	23.82	24.88	24.22(-2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	360	6	-78	4.9	72%	1.45	31.3	9.43%	0	-0	53	INF
3	Jan_3_2018	11.75	23.9	24.25	23.34	23.19	24.41	24.78(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	350	7	-60	7.65	72%	1.56	30.5	9.42%	0	0.2	56	INF
4	Jan_2_2018	11.57	23.64	25.44	23.57	23.01	22.77	24.85(12.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-140	8	-19	10.68	72%	2.03	35.7	9.44%	0	0.2	62	INF
5	Dec_29_2017	11.34	23.29	25.89	22.97	23.63	21.97	22.15(4.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-410	2	-3	6.35	71%	1.52	37.8	9.36%	0	-0.2	63	INF

6	Dec_28_2017	11.17	23.02	26.33	22.44	22.52	23.25	21.29(-9.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	240	-20	-3	9.55	71%	1.45	38.9	9.37%	0	-0.3	59	INF
7	Dec_27_2017	11.01	22.81	26.84	23.42	22.6	25.29	23.63(-8.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	730	-0	38	11.76	73%	1.66	49.8	9.27%	0	0.1	63	INF
8	Dec_26_2017	10.83	22.43	26.93	25.33	23.55	21.78	25.93(18.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-740	-16	84	16.71	73%	1.98	65.8	9.18%	0	0.6	67	INF
9	Dec_22_2017	10.62	21.85	26.35	27.76	25.66	19.91	21.87(12.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-1800	-57	125	30.29	72%	1.14	82.6	8.89%	0	0	59	INF
10	Dec_21_2017	10.5	21.37	26.03	29.31	29.92	25.32	19.47(-25.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	6	-1010	-50	172	25.72	68%	0.86	94.7	8.8%	0	-0.3	59	INF

11	Dec_20_2017	10.41	20.98	26.13	30.64	31.62	31.41	26.19(-21.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	52	50	-16	255	24.26	75%	1.66	102	8.17%	0	0.7	69	INF
12	Dec_19_2017	10.24	20.2	25.34	30.53	30.93	34.51	33.2(-12.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	113	850	43	321	23.31	82%	2.4	102.9	7.63%	0	1.8	75	INF
13	Dec_18_2017	10	19.02	23.64	28.64	28.82	31.84	38.05(28.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	144	750	84	322	20.85	87%	3.09	99.9	7.45%	0	2.8	82	INF
14	Dec_15_2017	9.7	17.52	21.61	24.89	25.55	27.35	29.66(13.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	105	570	53	262	13.4	87%	2.32	95.6	7%	0	2.2	80	INF
15	Dec_14_2017	9.48	16.48	20.32	22.41	23.06	25.79	26.1(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	920	41	219	9.78	83%	1.94	85.9	7.26%	0	1.9	83	INF

16	Dec_13_2017	9.3	15.61	19.27	20.99	21.01	23.75	25.66(8.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	95	920	53	220	24	77%	1.97	80.3	7.39%	0	2.1	83	INF
17	Dec_12_2017	9.12	14.72	18.28	19.35	19.36	20.33	23.73(22.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	78	350	38	198	22.6	76%	1.9	72.3	7.8%	0	2.1	83	INF
18	Dec_11_2017	8.95	13.95	17.4	17.89	18.28	18.27	19.32(12.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	60	1	187	15.44	74%	1.36	65.5	7.36%	0	1.4	81	INF
19	Dec_8_2017	8.83	13.44	16.87	17.84	17.96	18.39	17.23(-9.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	57	190	-1	231	15.76	69%	1.03	67	7.27%	0	1	80	INF
20	Dec_7_2017	8.74	13.06	16.32	17.87	18.19	18.29	19(8.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	81	90	17	271	23.38	72%	1.39	69.3	7.27%	0	1.6	86	INF

21	Dec_6_2017	8.62	12.57	15.48	17.24	17.78	17.54	17.46(6.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	69	-0	2	271	18.24	72%	1.29	69.5	7.25%	0	1.4	86	INF
22	Dec_5_2017	8.51	12.15	14.78	17.02	17.26	18.08	16.43(-13.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	79	370	5	301	28.45	72%	1.07	72.6	7.26%	0	1.3	86	INF
23	Dec_4_2017	8.42	11.8	14.16	16.8	17.11	18.03	19.06(9.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	112	430	33	348	11.97	77%	1.57	78.4	7.03%	0	2.2	90	INF
24	Dec_1_2017	8.29	11.31	13.18	15.76	16.33	16.45	17.39(9.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	103	160	30	323	11.8	69%	1.34	85	7.01%	0	2.2	86	INF
25	Nov_30_2017	8.18	10.89	12.37	14.53	15.33	16.19	15.88(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	84	560	27	255	16.65	70%		86.1	7.45%	0	2.1	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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